Tuesday, November 25, 2014

To Be ... Continued ...

"If there isn't quite a conclusion, we will have to search for possibilities to ensure that nothing breaks off here and the process can be continued."
Frank-Walter Steinmeier, German Foreign Minister

"[The U.S. goal is] to shut off a whole bunch of different avenues whereby Iran might get a nuclear weapon, and at the same time make sure that the structure of sanctions are (sic) rolled back step for step as Iran is doing what it's supposed to do."
"I think Iran would love to see the sanctions end immediately, and then to still have some avenues that might not be completely closed, and we can't do that."
U.S. President Barack Obama

"During these two days, all the bilateral issues were discussed, in particular, how to carry out the agreed measures and the ways forward were discussed."
"These negotiations were constructive in terms of content. They were also direct."
Reza Majafi, Iranian ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency (October 2014)

A nuclear power plant in Bushehr, south Iran, a day before the official opening ceremony in 2010. EPA/Abedin Taherkenareh

That, of course, was the Iranian take on the issue. According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran has been far less than revealing of its activities and its blueprint for the country's nuclear future. Places where the IAEA suspects explosives have been detonated of a high-impact nature leading them to suspect with good reason, small atomic experiments, have been shuttered to inspection by the IAEA.

Even while Iran insists its nuclear program has no purpose but to explore and expand domestic energy sources and produce medical isotopes, the IAEA disclosed in September that Iran had failed to meet an August 25 deadline to provide information on five points meant to set aside concerns it was developing nuclear weapons. The IAEA continues to focus on Iran's suspected experiments with large-scale high explosives, however.

An Iranian defence ministry spokesman has denied foreign media reports of an explosion at the Parchin base which Iran has steadfastly insisted it is, as a military installation, off limits for IAEA inspection. Needless to say the Parchin military base represents an installation of tremendous interest to their inspectors. It is precisely there that research in sophisticated explosive devices used to detonate a nuclear warhead is reputed to have taken place.

An American research centre, the Institute for Science and International Security, claims the blast might have hit a site south of the Parchin complex "Two buildings that were present in August 2014 are no longer there, while a third building appears to be severely damaged. In total at least six buildings appear damaged or destroyed", the centre stated after analysis of satellite imagery had taken place.

So while it remains controversial that Iran has been far less than forthcoming and cooperative, its negotiations with the G5+1, ostensibly to meet a Monday deadline for arriving at a mutually satisfactory solution to the current stalemate, the cause of which is crippling economic sanctions that Iran is anxious to have lifted, but with no surrender to negotiation demands by the G5+1, has left both sides issuing face-saving, positive statements about a 7-month renewal of the deadline.

While Iran is absent the assurances it strove to achieve that the sanctions would be expeditiously lifted, and the G5+1 has once again been stiff-armed on progress in persuading Iran to diminish the numbers of its high-tech centrifuges and to degrade the finished quality of its enriched uranium, Iran has bought additional time. In the past Iran has successfully deployed strategies of assurances that has given it more time in which it advanced its program unobserved.

Whether under the circumstances that will continue to benefit them is left to be seen. Just how serious the G5+1 is about the real perils facing the world should Iran come into possession of a nuclear arsenal will be on display in seven months' time, while Iran has given assurances that in the interim six months its behaviour leading up to the next round of negotiations will be impeccable. Plotting and scheming, in the meanwhile, will pursue their usual course in the Republic...

Imagen activa
"We have not compromised the nuclear rights of our nation, and we will never do. There are no doubts that the Iranian nuclear technology will keep on working and growing."
"Spinners won't stop moving, and the wheels of the Iranian people's life will also be moving, more efficiently than before."

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