The Friend of My Enemy is My Enemy
"[Russia is] an adversary for Israel -- it supports the radical axis that is fighting against us.""[Moscow's role will grow in importance in the face the intensification of Israel's conflict with Iran and its proxy terrorist groups in the region."Shay Har-Zvi, former acting director general, Ministry of Strategic Affairs, Israel"Russia and Iran are closer than ever thanks to the war in Ukraine.""The Russians could now supply them [Islamic Republic of Iran] with some very important technology that would represent a dramatic upgrade of Iranian capabilities."Major General (Reserve) Amos Gilead, former top Israeli Defense Ministry official
Kremlin/AP |
Prior
to the October 7 atrocities committed in southern Israel by Gaza
terrorist groups alongside Hamas and enthusiastically joined by ordinary
Palestinian civilians that wreaked destructive havoc in Israeli border
farming communities, leaving 1,200 Israelis butchered, women mass raped
and mutilated, families burned to death in their homes, Israel and
Russia enjoyed fairly amicable relations, if occasionally tension arose
over nighttime aerial bombings of weapons depots in Syria.
That
was when good personal relations between Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu and Russian President Vladimir Putin reigned, and Russia's
muted approval of destroying Iranian weapons transferred through Syria
to Lebanon for Hezbollah, one of Iran's acolyte death-cult militias
allowed Israel to act without intervention by Russia protecting its
relations with Syrian Present Bashar al-Assad, much less interfering
with the presence of Russian warplanes busily aiding the Syrian regime
in bombing Syrian Sunni dissidents.
Those
close Israeli-Russian ties of convenience and good fellowship came to
an abrupt halt with the Israel Defense Forces' invasion of Gaza to rout
Hamas in a bid to destroy the Hamas infrastructure, the tunnel system,
the weapons depots, the rocket launchers, all of which have been
installed adjacent to or under hospitals, schools, mosques and civilian
infrastructure. Israel no longer routinely alerts Moscow to its
intentions to bomb areas of Syria, reflecting their frozen accord.
Iran's
axis now includes Russia which of necessity precludes the continuation
of relations with Israel. Russia is expanding its "mutually beneficial"
military cooperation with Iran, a reality that Russian Defense Minister
Sergei Shoigu stated when meeting his Iranian counterpart Mohammad-Reza
Ashtiano in the Kazakhstan capital of Astana on Friday.
The
comfortable weapons exchanges between the two now reflects the distance
that Moscow has placed between its interests and its interest in
Israel. Where given the Russian invasion of Ukraine and altered
allegiances, Israel's continued relations with Moscow were placed under
great strain to begin with. Iran now produces a reliable source of
deadly drones that Moscow uses in its attacks on Ukraine. The
Moscow-Tehran defence accord comes at a time when Israel-Iran tensions
have accelerated.
In
exchange, Russia is providing sophisticated air defence systems and
fighter jets to Iran. Courtesy of Moscow, Tehran is to be supplied with
Sukhoi Su-35 fighter planes, set to bring Iran's decades-aged air force
to a more technically advanced stage, as well as obtaining the S-400
sophisticated air defence system. Moscow is sharing its cyber warfare
expertise and intelligence, as well as helping the Islamic Republic
launch spy satellites.
Israel
fired supersonic air-to-surface missiles damaging a Russian-made S-300
battery in an airbase near Isfahan, managing to defy Iran's air defences
on April 19; a limited response to Tehran's massive missile and drone
barrage that was meant to deluge Israeli airspace a week earlier.
Following the Iranian April 13 missile strikes on Israel, its foreign
ministry describing the attack as "self-defence", when after deadly
airstrikes on Iran's Damascus diplomatic compound, Russia backed
Tehran.
The
first delivery of Yak-130 combat trainer aircraft was received by Iran
in September from Russia. Used to train pilots for the Su-35, the deputy
Iranian defence minister revealed that arrangements for delivery of the
fighter planes were finalized to replace Iran's outdated current
warplanes fleet.
Maxim Shemetov/AP/File
|
"Relations with Israel have deteriorated, though both sides retain contact.""[Ideally], Russia wants to maintain ties with Israel, while strengthening its strategic partnership with Tehran. A war between Israel and Iran would not be beneficial to Moscow.""But Russia’s ability to influence events is quite limited. ... If it were to be drawn into such a conflict, it would divert significant resources from its operations in Ukraine."Vladimir Sotnikov, IMEMO Center for International Security, Moscow
Labels: Changing Allegiances, Israel-Iran Cold War, Moscow-Tehran Pact, Russia/Israel Relations, Sophisticated Weaponry
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