Qatar's Foundational Gas Shipments ... Poufff!
"The damage sustained by the LNG facilities will take between three to five years to repair.""The impact is on China, South Korea, Italy and Belgium.""This means that we will be compelled to declare force majeure for up to five years on some long-term LNG contracts."Saad Sherida al-Kaabi, Qatar minister of state for energy affairs, president/CEO, QatarEnergy"The rating watch negative reflects the increased risk that the security environment for Qatar has more permanently deteriorated and the possibility that Qatar’s hydrocarbon infrastructure could again be a target.""Combined with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, [this] will have an adverse impact on Qatar’s public finances."Paul Gamble, head, Middle East and Africa sovereign ratings, Fitch Ratings"Countries that rely on Qatar for 20 or even 30 per cent of their energy imports are now asking what happens if that supply doesn’t come.""The immediate response has been to approach the US and Australia about securing alternatives."Gary Ng, senior economist Asia-Pacific, Natixis
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| In the line of fire: Qatar’s Ras Laffan complex has become a target Getty Images |
Virtually
no gas has been exported by Qatar for over two months -- this, for a
state that derives over 60 percent of its revenue from gas and
gas-related exports. Representing the kind of national wealth for a very
small country that allowed it free reign to transform a desert
peninsula into a glittering metropolis, and a political system that was
able to spend billions in investment abroad, most notably in the United
States, to the point where many academic institutions viewed Qatar's
largess in the most positive of lights as a nation fundamentally linked
to the kind of genteel, slow-motion jihad that goes largely unnoticed in
the fragrant steam of disarming diplomacy.
Since
the U.S.-Israel aerial attacks on the Islamic Republic of Irana regime
of which Qatar is a staunch ally and supporter, and Iran's reaction in
closing the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping, penalizing
global trade, Qatar has been cut off from the sea routes it so heavily
depends upon to both export its natural resources and import products
ranging from vehicles to food. Qatar's massive sovereign wealth fund of
$600 billion bought it stakes in Heathrow Airport, London, to the Empire
State Building in New York. The impact of the war's regional
instability has even told on Qatar's booming tourism, not quite booming
at present.
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| File photo of a gas platform in Qatar Photo: QatarEnergy |
"[For Qatar, gas shipments] are nothing short of foundational.""That is why Qatar is quickly falling into a very challenging fiscal situation.""If there's a migration out [a situation where the huge foreign work force leaves] then that starts to get scary."Ahmed Helal, managing director, Asia Group
Qatar's
industrial center for gas production, Ras Laffan, has been closed down.
Loading cranes stand paralyzed at the country's vast Hamad port south
of the capital Doha. Qatar has for decades shipped LNG to every corner
of the globe. Qatar stood out for most of 2010 as the wealthiest per
capita country in the world. Its economy grew at an average annual rate
of 13 percent from the 1990s to the 2010s. Qatar is heavily reliant on
foreign workers to the extent that roughly 90 percent of its 3.2 million
residents are non-citizens.
A
day following the Iranian blockade of the Strait, QatarEnergy announced
it was unable to fulfill its contracts. In another two weeks Qatar's
Ras Laffan plant was struck by Iranian missiles and drones, damaging
critical equipment, causing an immediate 17 percent production capacity
reduction. Analysts estimate that billions of dollars in revenue has
been lost by QatarEnergy since February 28, the start-date of the war.
The damage sustained by the Ras Laffan plant will take years to
correct.
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| Tourism in Qatar The State of Qatar |
Qatar's
plans to diversify beyond fossil fuels, to become a popular tourist
destination, has also been harmed, with the number of international
visitors plummeting. Multinational companies, reacting to regional
instability have recalled their staff out of the country. Importing some
90 percent of its food, Qatar has been forced to rework its supply
chains where fresh produce from Europe and grain from the Americas, once
transported by sea, are now diverted to airfreight routes or trucked
through Saudi Arabia. Government subsidies are meant to keep the cost of
food down.
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| Iran has attacked Gulf states in retaliation for Israeli and US bombing on its country AFP via Getty Images |
Labels: Dwindling State Income, Export of Fossil Fuels Interrupted, Iranian Missiles and Drones, Qatar's Production Capacity, QatarEnergy Strait of Hormuz, U.S. War in Iran




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