generalspeaking

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

As deals go, Tehran feels at this juncture that it dealt its cards really well.

"According to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, all sanctions against Iran are terminated and Iran will no more be recognized as a sanctioned nation. The JCPA only envisages a set of temporary restrictions that will be removed after a limited and logical period of time, as stated earlier by the Iranian Supreme Leader."

"All economic, financial and banking sanctions against Iran will be terminated for good on day one after the endorsement of the deal, again as the Iranian Supreme Leader has demanded."

"Iran will no more be under any arms embargo, and according to a UN Security Council resolution that will be issued on the day when the deal is signed by the seven states, all arms embargoes against Iran will be terminated, while its annex keeps some temporary restrictions on Iran for a limited period."

"The upcoming UN Security Council resolution – that will call all the previous five resolutions against Iran null and void – will be the last resolution to be issued on Iran’s nuclear program and withdraws Iran’s nuclear dossier from under Chapter 7 of the UN Charter. This last resolution will remain valid and will be implemented for a specifically limited period of time and will then automatically end at the end of this period. This is the first time that a nation subject to Chapter 7 of the UN Charter has managed to end its case and stop being subject to this chapter through active diplomacy."

"In case of striking a final deal, the agreement has to be approved by the Iranian parliament in the same manner that it has to be approved by the US Congress."

Fars News Agency, Islamic Republic of Iran

"With respect to Iran, it is a great civilization, but it also has an authoritarian theocracy in charge that is anti-American, anti-Israeli, anti-Semitic, sponsors terrorism, and there are a whole host of real profound differences that we [have with] them. And so, initially, we have a much more modest goal here, which is to make sure Iran does not have a nuclear weapon. …"

U.S. President Barack Obama, interview with T. Friedman

In an exclusive interview with Thomas L. Friedman, the president explains why he has no second thoughts about the accord with Iran. Publish Date July 14, 2015. Photo by Zach Gibson/The New York Times.

The Islamic Republic of Iran blandly asserts it has no interest whatever in achieving its very own atomic bomb, none whatever. Perhaps it is bemused that its protests are looked on askance, that it is not believed, that it has become abundantly clear that by its own deliberately furtive actions that its ayatollahs and its Republican Guard Corps is determined to have nuclear munitions. The focus on perfecting their ballistic missiles' range and technical advance is closely related to the search for an atomic bomb.

The world powers of Russia, China (forgiving of all rogue nations looking to achieve nuclear dominance), France, Britain, United States, with the addition of Germany and the interaction of the European Union, would have done far better to insist and keep on demanding that Tehran forgo its aspirations in the interests of world stability. But since Tehran is disinterested in world stability and is in fact actively working to destroy any illusions that any compatibility with other regimes could be envisioned on their part, that much is a lost cause.

Which left two viable options: (a) insistence on compliance through force, or (b) forcing Iran to comply with the urgent insistence that it cease and desist through the continued and proven successful use of sanctions which has brought the Republic to state penury, hampering its ability to promote its terrorist incitements and human-rights abridgement agenda at home and abroad. The question is why would the success of sanctions imposed on the country that successfully stalled its economic growth, be set aside?

The answer is likely more complex than the world hunger for oil, and more likely involved with multinational corporations chafing at the bit at having to indulge in covert economic activity of a limited nature in Iran, using their powerful lobbies to agitate for a relaxation of sanctions and an opening of the Iranian marketplace, persuading those powers to approach other means of convincing Iran that it could occupy itself in other ways in its bid to control its geographic bailiwick

The leaders of the Islamic Revolution couldn't have planned this reversal of their fortunes any better than the P-5+1 did, including the agonizing theatrics of doubt and determination for the benefit of a world audience meant to admire the persistence of the doughty negotiators set up against an intransigent regime whose religious fanaticism and dedication to proxy terrorism acts alongside its oppressive reign of malign barbarism places it back in history during the medieval era.

The Obama administration lauds itself for having prevented war and chosen diplomacy instead to achieve the goal so badly required in the pursuit of a stable world. Yet the ownership of nuclear bombs in the hands of unstable regimes ensures an increasingly unstable world. Under the agreement Iran will not permit inspections unless it is forewarned, and the nuclear installation at Fordo that was to have been rid of centrifuges will still have over 1000 in operation, while the original demand of Iran working no more than 500 centrifuges at all its facilities has now grown to six thousand.

What has Tehran crowing with satisfaction at the superior bargaining techniques of its negotiators is the cessation of sanctions, a release of billions that will come none too soon to rescue the administration's plans to accelerate its destabilizing activities in the Middle East and beyond. Support for the deadly Syrian regime was not an issue, nor was the situation in Yemen or Iraq, nor the lifting of the arms embargo on Iran let alone its threats to other states in the geography.

Iran's pursuit of a region-wide Shiite renaissance despite its minority context in a wider sea of Sunni majority states will continue to agitate the region as its aspirations help to continue igniting the sectarian violence expressed by Shiites and Sunnis viewing one another as heretics worthy of jihadistic slaughter. An unstable world of religious bigotry and tribal hatred becoming more explosive by the freedom given to a regime whose malign presence on the world stage cannot be overstated.