Success Breeds Resentment in Kyiv
"This [appointing Mykhailo Drapatyi, a popular and innovative general, as the new head of Ukraine’s armed forces], brings a breath of fresh air and new hope to the struggle of free people for freedom and justice. It is a voice for change that could not be ignored.""The high expectations of the Ukrainian people must be met with a clear vision for ending the war for independence, a strong team and decisive actions aimed at saving the lives of our soldiers, automating the frontline, delivering asymmetric strikes and crippling the Russian economy."Mykhailo Fedorov, former Ukraine defence minister"I offered Mykhailo a prominent position within the government that would enable him to unify the technological sector of our state and ensure its development.""Our shared wish is one – victory over the enemy and conditions at the front and in pressure on Russia that would force Russia toward peace.""A significant path has been travelled, the defence of Ukraine continues, and every warrior deserves dignified treatment.""We have come a long way. The defence of Ukraine continues. And every soldier deserves to be treated with respect.""I am grateful to Syrskyi and to] every one of our soldiers [fighting on the frontline]."Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
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| Oleksandr Syrskyi and Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kharkiv, Ukraine, in 2022. Metin Aktaş / Anadolu Agency via Getty Images file |
In
a sudden move a week ago President Volodymyr Zelenskyy decided to
remove his popular defence minister, his prime minister and several days
later the commander-in-chief of his armed forces. Puzzlingly, this at a
time when Ukrainian drones are hitting Russian refineries, while
Moscow's summer offensive has stalled on most front areas and Ukraine
has been restoring some of its sovereign territories. Relations with
Trump have settled down, and Ukraine has been given permission to
manufacture its own U.S.-style interceptor missiles.
Yet at this signal time in Ukraine's history its president has announced a new "political strategy"
through the reshuffling of its major war figures responsible for these
successes. Thousand of Ukrainians poured into the streets across the
country to protest the removal of the popular Mykhailo Fedorov,
credited as a key architect of Ukraine's advances in a drone warfare
breakthrough. With no satisfactory explanation for the removal,
Ukrainians fed up with corruption and alert to malfeasance, have
campaigned for his reinstatement as minister of defence.
On
the surface it appears that a generational conflict over how best to
wage a modern war should proceed, as well as conflicts over corruption,
inclusive of turf battles between the Defence Ministry and the generals,
plus a president with a reputed tendency to remove subordinates who
become too popular in the public regard, lest they become competitors
for his alpha-executive governing position.
With
the acute realization that he may have made some awkward decisions that
would not be well received not only by the Ukrainian public, but by the
White House and Ukraine's NATO allies, Mr. Zelenskyy has been left to
scramble in hopes of containing the fallout. It has become clear that
deep institutional tensions on command structures in Ukraine which were
brewing for months, have led to this crisis in confidence.
"Probably [Zelensyy] didn't grasp fully how Fedorov has become so closely associated with positive changes.""And the overall protest morphed into broad debate on war strategy and battlefield management."Mykola Bielieskov, Kyiv defence analyst
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| Former Ukrainian Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov holds a briefing in Kyiv on Thursday. Danylo Antoniuk / Future Publishing via Getty Images |
The
disrupter-style hacks that were championed by younger officials tended
to raise the hackles of old-guard battlefield tacticians, Mykhailo
Fedorov first among them. Fedorov's innovative approach to the
battlefield had won the approval of many officials in NATO, who
privately expressed disappointment that Mr. Zelenskyy moved against his
continuing in the role of Minister of Defence.
Five
consecutive nights saw thousands of noisy protesters outside the
president's Kyiv office following Fedorov's dismissal as Minister of
Defence, as rallies took place in over a dozen cities. The public
pressure succeeded in having the president reverse course, to fire
Ukraine's commander-in-chief, Oleksander Syrsky and to replace him with
another reform-minded commander, while offering Fedorov a new high-level
government role.
It
had been widely rumoured that bad blood in battlefield disagreements
between Fedorov and Syrsky led the commander-in-chief to demand that a
choice had to be made by Zelenskyy; either Fedorov had to leave or he
would. That choice was made, and then reversed under the weight of
public censure.
Syrsky's
appointment to lead Ukraine's military arrived two years ago, replacing
another poplar head of the armed forces, General Valery Zaluzhny, top
commander during the February 2022 Russian invasion. A number of
military issues led Zaluzhny to clash with Zelenskyy; the latter's
request to mobilize 500,000 new soldiers one of those irritants. It was
likely that political ambitions on Zaluzhny's part finally poisoned
their relations.
Disagreement
between those who believe that drones and robots should drive the war
to its winning conclusion as opposed to those who place their trust in
conventional infantry and artillery to win the war has the former now
feeling vindicated. The military tactics with the use of drones have
unquestionably turned the tide of the war in Ukraine's favour.
According
to an interpretation by a European diplomat stationed in Kyiv, the
turbulence between generational factions, corruption currents and
personal egos are all involved. "All
three of those reasons are true. But also Fedorov is a political
threat to Zelenskyy; many groups wanted to take him down."
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| Volodymyr Zelenskyy with Oleksandr Syrskyi at the handover of drone missiles to the Ukrainian army in Kyiv in December 2024. Photograph: Sergey Dolzhenko/EPA |
Labels: Drone Warfare, Leadership Ambivalence, Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Russian Losses, Ukrainian Counteroffensive, Ukrainian Gains




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