Assad Pulls Ahead in Syrian War. Putin, Khamenei Are Co-Victors
DEBKAfile
Video
February 26, 2013, 3:42 AM (GMT+02:00)
March 5 has been set as the date for peace talks to open in Moscow between the Syrian opposition and the Assad regime, debkafile
reveals here exclusively. Opposition leader Moaz al-Khatib is waiting
to meet the Assad regime’s representative, possibly Foreign Minister
Walid al-Moallem, in the Russian capital by the end of February to set
up the talks. Bashar Assad has taken his resignation off the agenda and
insists on reserving the option to run again for president in 2014. He
is backed in this by President Vladimir Putin. And even the Syrian
opposition appears to have tacitly bowed to this precondition – an
admission that the rebel movement has reached its limit and Assad’s
genocidal, no-holds-barred tactics have paid off. With all their
acclaimed victories, rebel forces know that their desperate bid to
conquer Damascus was repulsed by the Syrian army’s superior fire power
and heavy armor. They were thrown back from the heart of Aleppo, Syria’s
largest city. And they failed to gain control of Assad’s chemical
arsenal. Ferocious fighting failed to bring the big Syrian Air Force
bases into rebel hands. Now, most of the fighting opposition to the
Assad regime is ready to negotiate terms for a ceasefire as the opening
gambit for a political settlement. They face their enemy standing firm
as the unvanquished ruler of Syria and commander-in-chief of its armed
forces at the cost of 80-100,000 Syrian lives and a ravaged
country. In so doing, Assad has cemented the Tehran-Damascus-Hizballah
alliance. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s’s sphere of influence now stretches
from the Persian Gulf up to the Mediterranean – his reward for the
billion dollars worth of aid per month he poured into buttressing Assad.
His other ally, Hassan Nasrallah, whose Hizballah operatives fought
shoulder to shoulder with Syrian troops, emerges as the strongman of
Lebanon. Russian President Vladimir Putin, Assad’s staunch backer in
diplomacy, arms and moral support, congratulates himself for picking the
winning side in Syria’s civil war and, moreover, frustrating US and
NATO designs to remove the Syrian ruler from power. Those are the
winners. And the losers are the United States, the Gulf emirates and
Saudi Arabia, Israel and Turkey. Barack Obama’s vision of a democratic,
liberal “Arab Spring” has collapsed. Al Qaeda is a ubiquitous presence
as transitional governments struggle to their feet – or not - in
Tunisia, Libya and Egypt. Israel finds a tighter than ever
Syrian-Hizballah-Iranian noose closing around its borders as Tehran’s
nuclear weapons program marches on. Turkey gambled heavily on bringing
about Assad’s overthrow as the key to its bid for regional power– and
missed.
Labels: Conflict, Defence, Hezbollah, Iran, Islamism, Israel, Revolution, Saudi Arabia, Security, Societal Failures, Syria, Turkey, United States
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