generalspeaking

Iran in the Affirmative

"Since 2002, the agency has become increasingly concerned about the possible existence in Iran of undisclosed nuclear-related activities involving military related organizations, including activities involving military related organizations, including activities related to the development of a nuclear payload for a missile."
"The agency is not in a position to provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran and therefore to conclude that all nuclear material in Iran is in peaceful activities."
Moreover, Iran had:

• Not provided information about undeclared nuclear material;
• Not suspended enrichment;
• Not suspended work at Arak;
• Failed to tell inspectors which centrifuges were enriching up at 5% and which up to 20% at Fordow;
• Failed to provide details of a production hall at Natanz.

The IAEA and Iran met ten times between January 2012 and May 2013. "No concrete results were achieved during those talks."
November 2013 report from the International Atomic Energy Agency to the United Nations

Figure 1. Satellite imagery from June 7, 2012 showing considerable vehicle and earth moving activity near the building at the Parchin complex that the IAEA suspects was used in high explosive tests related to nuclear weapons development. Image courtesy of Institute for Science and International Security /AFP / Getty Images

No mention in the new jubilantly-signed agreement between the G5+1 and Iran, of inspections at the Parchin military site. Despite that for years inspectors from the IAEA have demanded they be permitted to visit, believing that explosives connected to developing nuclear weapons took place in a specially designed building, since removed. Activity in the area from satellite surveillance showed asphalting covering over where soil samples would have been taken. Yukiya Amano IAEA's director general demanded access be provided without further delay.

Reporting that the signed deal effectively freezes Iran's nuclear program appear to be stated for the purpose of misleading the public. Some limits were placed on Iran's program, but those do nothing to stop it. Under the agreement, thousands of centrifuges, including the advanced IR-2 version, will continue to spin, producing enriched uranium, within defined limits. Nor does the agreement insist on a dilution of Iran's 20% enriched uranium stock, nor for further work to be halted at Natanz and Fordow and Arak.

The deal: "The goal for these negotiations is to reach a mutually agreed long-term compromise solution", without giving a timetable for that final agreement. The initial six months period is "renewable by mutual consent", leaving the option of a final agreement open of never being attainable. What remains in this open-ended deal will be a series of partial agreements, stretching into just enough time to satisfy Iran's options for buying time to fulfill its anticipated goals, and then all bets are off.

That's some spectacular deal that Iran achieved. What's that old saying? "More power" to them...

Labels: Capitulation, G5+1, Iran, Negotiations, Nuclear Technology, Sanctions, United States

posted by Pieface @ Wednesday, November 27, 2013