Saturday, December 08, 2007

Abandoned. Again.

Israel on her own, once again. Nothing new in that, but it is somewhat disappointing, if not downright alarming for its potential consequences. It is no secret that the developed world, along with the countries of the Middle East - aside from the very country whose fearful aspiration is at the centre of the situation - remain very well aware of the threat that Iran poses.

Given that Iran itself continues to bludgeon its international audience with its intention to annihilate its neighbour Israel, and to triumphantly celebrate its successes in nuclear technology, it is hardly a secret that the country is deeply committed to accessing nuclear weapons proficiency.

The better to achieve its long-range plans of regional ascendancy as the one true voice of Islam, enabling it to bring to reality the eagerly-awaited global Caliphate.

Iran appears to revel in provocation. Its theocracy struts righteously on the world stage, comfortable in its self-revealed entitlement as the authentic voice of Allah. For God Himself has sanctioned their need to enrich uranium, to achieve nuclear armaments; we know this because their leading Ayatollahs have thus pronounced.

Similarly, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is only voicing the opinion of the fundamentalist Islamic world when he pronounces the illegality of the existence of the State of Israel; in this he has the support of much of the rest of the world of Islamist fascism. Despite that Iran's larger, more long-range vision of supremacy in the world of Islam is a source of exquisite pain to its Arab neighbours.

Israel is understandably nervous; who would not be, after all, faced with the existential threat promised it by a powerful neighbour? Which has for 40 years been training and funding violent extremist jihadists, grooming them for ongoing and final confrontation with the State of Israel. There was a certain degree of comfort in that it was felt there was time to spare before Iran was successful in obtaining a nuclear device.

For Israel had the aid and encouragement and assistance of its great good friend, the powerful United States. However, Iran too had its great good friends - in Russia whose nuclear scientists have obligingly been of great practical assistance to Iran, and in North Korea, another rogue state which has proven, through its friendship with Pakistan's premier nuclear merchant to be another source of support.

The combined intelligence services of the United States in their recently released report on Iran's nuclear programme has caused no little consternation internationally, let alone internally. Aside from the fact that these intelligence services have proved themselves to be pliable when pressed to produce certain results in the past, their own report expressed doubts as to the complete veracity of their conclusions.

In any event, they concluded that despite their feeling that Iran has temporarily abandoned its nuclear weapons search, it would be resumed, and shortly, inevitably producing the desired results. So what, exactly, has been established? It's clear that even if the U.S. Congress is satisfied with the dependability of the intelligence, its many partners remain to be convinced.

Germany and France feel Iran's nuclear programme remains a distinct and direct threat. They are determined to forge ahead with sanctions. Foreign ministers of the European Union and NATO meeting separately in Brussels appear also to feel they have been given no real reason to alter their position in threatening sanctions against Iran based on the data at hand.

China and Russia, always resistant against imposing sanctions against human-rights defilers, and IAEA-inspections-deniers are content to continue digging in their heels. It's nice to know that the United States remains committed to pursuing its agenda in bringing censure to Iran. Their more latent threats construed as a grim promise to physically engage Iran are shelved.

Their interests in pursuing Iran are now narrowed toward its entrenched policy of encouraging, arming and funding terrorist militias. Especially as they impact on American interests and their troops stationed in both Iraq and Afghanistan. This multi-pronged grievance with the fundamentalist Islamist state has seen its focus shifted.

And Israel is left semi-adrift, partially supported by the world's political leaders as an aside to the real show of nudging Iran into acceptance of nuclear oversight which, in any event, as matters now demonstrate, will only be a temporary measure. The threat to the world may appear to be diminished and further off in time. The threat to Israel remains dominant and looming near on the horizon.

Israel is troubled but resigned to her traditional position of self-defence in the face of world disengagement to imminent threats to her survival. That is, after all, the way it has always been. A reflection of the world's seeming disinterest in the face of unnerving data presented to it of the planned and ongoing execution of Jews during World War II.

It is the primary reason for the existence of the State of Israel; self-protection as a nation comprised mainly of Jews, whose birth as a nation was for that singular purpose. For all its trials and tribulations, for all its too-human errors and misjudgements and adventures in supporting itself against all odds; for all its frailties and faults as a human institution, it has thus far succeeded.

And hope does spring eternal. There is no comparison to the urgent need Israel has to collect verifiable intelligence in its ongoing determination to protect its existence, through the use of human agents installed through subterfuge within the heart of its antagonists' inner circles. And when its senior intelligence personnel meet with the senior U.S. military official in Tel Aviv, Israeli intelligence reports will be provided to him, setting out reliable data on Iran and its indefatigable search.

With that and $2.50 he can take a ride on the Manhattan ferry.

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