Wednesday, November 13, 2013

Denial, Deception, Delay

"We believe that the regime in Tehran should reach the dilemma of whether to go on with the [nuclear] project or to survive as a regime. We were just about to reach that point with economic sanctions.
"We see it happening in front of our eyes -- we have lost the momentum of the sanctions. We already see the stock market is rising, the ratio of the rial [Iranian currency] to the [U.S.] dollar has improved. The Chinese have also approached the Iranians to renew contracts that they lost [because of sanctions] in 2010."
Israeli Minister of Defence, Moshe Yaalon
 Key nuclear sites map


Speaking in Jerusalem to the General Assembly of the Jewish Federations of North America, Defence Minister Moshe Yaalon gave warning that the international community is verging on a "historic mistake", that will result from easing sanctions on Iran. Because of the seeming imminence of just such an agreement, however temporarily delayed, Great Britain has decided to re-establish its embassy in Tehran, after a long hiatus in diplomatic relations.

Iran has reached an agreement to permit UN IAEA inspectors into several of their nuclear sites. Which is to say specific sites, by no means all of them. The most controversial of the sites which inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency have been attempting to access, and meeting with no success is Parchin. This is where the IAEA believes testing has been done on triggering devices for nuclear weapons.

Uranium Conversion Facility near Isfahan (2005)
Isfahan, Uranium conversion plant

Yet this agreement too, between the IAEA and Iranian negotiators has been greeted as a great breakthrough ostensibly leading to a relaxation of pressures on the Islamic Republic of Iran and its nuclear program. A program which Tehran made perfectly clear through the words of its new president Hassan Rouhani and its foreign minister, it has no intention of surrendering to the demands of its critics.

It has been crystal-clear on its 'right' to enrich uranium, on its 'right' to complete its nuclear goal.

Reactor building at the Bushehr nuclear power plant (2010)
Bushehr, Nuclear power station
The international community appears to have been mesmerized by the prospect of a new day dawning in relations with the rigid Islamic theocracy under their new president. A man lauded for his moderate, reasonable stance, his smiling promise to usher in a new, trusting relationship between Iran and the international community. Iranian Nobel Peace laureate Shirin Ebadi has condemned Iran's human rights record under its new president.

Aerial view of a heavy-water production plant (2006)
Arak, Heavy water plant

The smiling 'humanitarian' whom diplomats and politicians in the West are eager to cultivate has presided over a marked increase in public executions. Ms. Ebadi pointed out that in the last ten days alone, no fewer than 40 people had been executed, including political prisoners. Since the inauguration of President Rouhani in August, executions have doubled in number, in comparison to the year before.

She referred to the anniversary celebrations of the storming of the U.S. Embassy in 1979 a week earlier where tens of thousands of demonstrators chanted "death to America", a dearly beloved curse, accompanied by the burning of American flags. "How do they want to have a rapprochement with America when they do that? Therefore, I think it's too early to judge whether the relations between Iran and America will improve or not", she said.

She railed against the retaliatory hanging of 16 Iranians whom authorities named as "rebels", in revenge for the death of 14 border guards killed in a clash on October 25 with government opponents, near the frontier with Pakistan. Those 'rebels' had been arrested long before the attack, having nothing to do with it. She condemned Iran's government for its abuse of human rights because of "fear, but they use religion or abuse religion in order to justify it."

This is also the administration that cultivates its ties with violent jihadist Islamist groups like Hezbollah and Hamas, arming, training and provisioning them to use them to launch terrorist attacks in the Middle East and abroad. And this is the country that the G5+1 stands on the verge of relaxing sanctions upon, imposed for fear of their intentions to achieve a breakthrough on the production of nuclear weapons.

American Secretary of State John Kerry expresses his hope that an agreement on Iran's nuclear program could be signed within months. Irwin Cotler, a former Canadian Minister of Justice under a previous administration, warned against the "charm offensive" by Hassan Rouhani. "Iran has engaged in a 3-D strategy -- denial, deception and delay", he charged.

Hello! Is anyone listening?

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