Saturday, May 13, 2017

The Ottoman Empire Still Lives in Cyprus

"Eide [Espen Barth Eid, UN envoy] should understand that statements or threats will produce results contrary to the goal of reunifying Cyprus ... the less is said, especially on his part, the better."
Greek Cyprus President Nicos Anastasiades

"The peacekeeping operation in Cyprus, from 1964 to today, is one of Canada's longest and best-known overseas military commitments. A large Canadian contingent served on the island from 1964 to 1993, and a small Canadian Armed Forces presence remains there today as United Nations (UN) peace efforts continue."
"In total, more than 25,000 Canadian Armed Forces members have served in Cyprus over the decades. Many of them served in Cyprus more than once, participating in several rotations."
Veterans Affairs Canada 


Turkey languishes in misery at the constant memory of what it lost in prestige and territory when the Ottoman Empire fell. It cannot restore what it lost in its entirety for obvious reasons, but there is an island geography that Turkey feels should, at the very least, be returned to its guiding influence and tender care. On Cyprus Turks and Greeks faced off on one another with murderous intent when Turkey decided to invade. To this day, Turkey maintains 35,000 of its troops on the island. Essentially, Turkey 'occupies' the northern third of Cyprus and has, since 1974.

This is the Turkey whom its President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, ascribes nobility to, as a force for peace and stability throughout its region. This is the man who sneers at the indefensibility of the Israeli occupation of  'Palestine'. The man who regards the terrorist group Hamas, as the very epogee of responsible government. This same man decries the installation of the wall separating Israel from the Palestinians who without the presence of the wall, committed countless murderous assaults on Jewish civilians in Israel. Erdogan bemoaned the fascist Jews committing a holocaust on Arabs.


Blocked and barbed. Time stopped at the old Nicosia airport in the summer of 1974, at the height of the conflict between Turkish and Greek Cypriots.
Blocked and barbed. Time stopped at the old Nicosia airport in the summer of 1974, at the height of the conflict between Turkish and Greek Cypriots. (Turgut Yeter/CBC)
 
There were 'disappearances' and mass graves, and thousands of deaths on Cyprus because of the Turkish invasion. Now Turks and Greeks live separated lives for fear of violence restoring the period of aggression and counter-aggression on the island, a place divided against itself for the past 43 years. There were hopes the island could be reunified. Mustafa Akinci, the Turkish Cypriot leader, and Nicos Anastasiades, his Greek counterpart, appeared to get on well together.

The future of Cyprus, at the time of the UN and the EU dismantling obstacles toward reunification, was envisioned as a democratic federated republic. Its Christian and Muslim communities viewing one another as equals, finally. But then, at the turn of the year in Istanbul, Recep Tayyip Erdogan said: "Turkey will be in Cyprus forever", when he was asked of the disposition of the illegal presence of the 35,000 Turkish troops on Cyprus.

That bald statement began a descent in Cyrprus' fortunes once again when following the declaration of a state of emergency post-coup attempt, Erdogan was led to dispatch naval frigates to conduct 'military exercises' in Cypriot waters. In the process harassing Cypriot ships busy with seismic research off the Cypriot coast, they being within the Cyprus Exclusive Economic Zone. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres was informed by the Cypriot government that Erdogan's behaviour was sabotaging reunification talks.

Even before that, Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Kotzias complained that the UN envoy Espen Barth Eide was demonstrating biased behaviour favouring the Turks. So now Cypriot opposition politicians demand he be removed from his post. A thousand UN troops remain on Cyprus, patrolling the 1974 green line demarcating the territory controlled by the Republic of Cyprus, the internationally-recognized portion of the island, and the northern third, illegally invaded and occupied by Turkish troops.

Four-fifths of the population of Cyprus is comprised of Greek Cypriots. One-fifth of the population represents Turkish Cypriots. Before the Turkish invasion of Cyprus, Greeks and Turks were neighbours and behaved civilly toward one another. Erdogan is busy stirring the black pot of poisonous malice as only he knows how to do. Where are UN peacekeeping troops deployed all over the world? Where Islamist threats are rife.

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Wednesday, September 02, 2015

Originally published under the title "Will ENI's Discovery in Egypt Sink Israel's Leviathan?"

Egypt's gas pipeline to Israel
The discovery of the Italian energy company ENI of a giant gas field off the coast of Egypt has transformed the East Mediterranean energy play overnight. The newly discovered field called Zohr could hold a potential of 30 trillion cubic feet of gas – the largest discovery in the region, thirty percent larger than the Israeli Leviathan field, which held the title until today.

Zohr's entry into the scene is a true game changer. It delivers a painful blow to both the Israeli and Cypriot economies, and more specifically to the gas partners, Delek Drilling and Noble Energy, which until now have held the only discoveries in the region: Tamar, Leviathan, Karish, and Tanin in Israel and Aphrodite in Cyprus. The finding will essentially annul the MOUs Israel and Cyprus recently signed with Egypt to supply gas to the domestic Egyptian market.

Egypt's Zohr gas field is 30% larger than Israel's Leviathan and easier to develop.
It will also kill any near-term hope for Israeli and Cypriot gas to feed the two idle LNG terminals in Egypt, which are craving for gas supply. Much shallower than Leviathan, Zohr would be easier to develop, and ENI, which has been operating in Egypt for decades, is not likely to face any of the regulatory obstacles Noble and Delek have faced in Israel. ENI believes it can begin to develop the field as early as next year whereas the current timing for the development of Leviathan is still unknown.

Other than being a major shot in the arm to the struggling Egyptian economy the discovery raises again the prospect of LNG export to those countries in Europe that own regasification terminals, most importantly Italy, and - with the recent expansion of the Suez Canal - even to the Asian market. For Delek and Noble this fruit is hanging too high.

Those two companies are facing a do or die moment, at least when it comes to their East Med operations. Just two weeks ago the Israeli cabinet approved the regulatory scheme to allow the consortium partners to develop Leviathan - more than five years after its discovery. However, the plan needs approval from Israel's Parliament, the Knesset, where even pre-Zohr it faced fierce opposition from many lawmakers on the ground that it does not do enough to ensure low prices and introduce competition. The new discovery is likely to give fodder to the naysayers who will refuse to surrender to Noble and Delek's price demands, reducing the chance of a Knesset approval of the deal.
Lack of LNG infrastructure in the region and huge cost of undersea pipeline construction require an alternative delivery system.
There seems to be no end to the Via Dolorosa that Delek and Noble have had to endure.

Facing the likely loss of their largest customer – even the Jordanian market is far from secure as Jordan intends to build an LNG terminal in Aqaba and could then absorb Egyptian gas – as well as the inevitable downward pressure on the price of East Med gas, the two companies will have to go back to the drawing board and rethink their entire strategy The only hope for the consortium is to focus on developing those parts of the European market where they could still have competitive advantage: Greece, Cyprus, perhaps Turkey. But the lack of LNG infrastructure in this part of the Mediterranean and the huge cost associated with construction of undersea pipelines require an alternative gas delivery system.

This is the time to take a hard look at the option of marine CNG (Compressed Natural Gas), the cheapest, simplest and safest way to transport stranded offshore gas to regional markets within the range of 2,000 kilometers. Unlike LNG, CNG does not require liquefaction of the gas and therefore it avoids the need for costly LNG facilities.

There are many other reasons why it makes more sense to squeeze the gas than to freeze it: superior energy balance, no boil off, no need for cryogenic materials and simpler gas reprocessing. More, it enables island countries like Greece and Cyprus that are either too small or too poor to enter the LNG play to switch their electricity sector from costly liquid fuels to low cost natural gas. The technology to deliver gas as CNG already exists and it is certified for maritime transportation by the American Bureau of Shipping. The problem is that to date it has never been implemented in any market. There are many customers who want to be second in line to adopt it, but no one wants to be the first. But desperate times call for desperate measures and the economic distress of the Greek and Cypriot governments coupled with the distress of the consortium members can bring about a revolution in the way natural gas is transported globally. Roughly half the offshore gas of the world is stranded in fields that are too small for LNG development. With CNG this gas can reach its markets, where it can replace oil in both power generation and as transportation fuel.

Government foot-dragging in developing Israel's gas sector is proving costly.
The discovery of Zohr reaffirms two realities. The first is that the East Mediterranean is the new frontier in oil and gas production and we can expect much more product to come online with further exploration and hence more competition to the incumbents.

The second, and this lesson is for Delek, Noble and the Israeli government, is that the energy world is not sitting idly by. The foot-dragging of the Israeli government in developing the gas sector may now cost the consortium members their hegemony in the regional gas market – if not their entire future. Only innovation can be their rescue.
Gal Luft is co-director of the Washington-based Institute for the Analysis of Global Security and a fellow at the Middle East Forum.
Related Topics:  Egypt, Israel & Zionism, Oil  |  Gal Luft

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Monday, May 12, 2014

Turkey ordered to pay 90m euros over Cyprus invasion

BBC News online -- 12 May 2014
Turkish troops in Cyprus, 1974 The Turkish invasion of Cyprus in 1974 led to the island's partition
Turkey must pay 90m euros (£73m; $123m) in damages over its 1974 invasion of Cyprus, according to a decision by the European Court of Human Rights.

The judgement is one of the largest ever ordered by the court.

It said the damages were compensation for losses endured during the invasion and in the subsequent partition.

Cyprus has been divided since 1974 when Turkey invaded the north in response to a military coup on the island which was backed by the government of Greece.

Since then, the northern third has been mainly inhabited by Turkish Cypriots and the southern two-thirds by Greek Cypriots.

In Monday's ruling, the European Court of Human Rights found that Turkey was still liable for damages, despite the passage of time.

The court ruled that Turkey should pay 30m euros for the suffering endured by relatives of people who had gone missing during the invasion.

It ordered Turkey to pay a further 60m euros for the suffering of Greek Cypriots who live in the Karpas peninsula - an enclave within northern Cyprus.

Turkey has not always complied with previous rulings by the body, Europe's top court of human rights.

Turkey still has around 30,000 troops stationed on the island, and it is the only country that recognises northern Cyprus as a separate entity.

UN peacekeeping forces estimate that 165,000 Greek Cypriots fled or were expelled from the north, and 45,000 Turkish Cypriots from the south, although the parties to the conflict say the figures are higher.

Greek and Turkish Cypriot leaders are engaged in a new round of talks aimed at reconciling differences and reuniting the island

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Sunday, July 28, 2013

Turkish Cypriots seek EU help on peace process

  • Varosha: The golden strip is now a ghost town (Photo: michael kirian)
EUObserver.com

Turkish Cypriots seek EU help on peace process

27.07.13 @ 11:54

BRUSSELS - Turkish Cypriot leader Dervis Eroglu is urging the EU to give his people a greater role in upcoming talks on the 45-year-old Cypriot conflict.

Eroglu met with European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, EU enlargement commissioner Stefan Fuele and a handful of ambassadors from some of the larger EU member states in Brussels on Thursday (25 July).

His spokesman, and the Turkish Cypriots' head negotiator in the talks, Osman Ertug, told EUobserver that Greek Cypriots are using EU structures to pass on their own solutions on the conflict directly to Ankara.

“They are trying to use the European Union as a vehicle to send some proposals to Turkey, not to us … It is the Turkish Cypriots that they should address," he said.
“It is condescending - that is the wrong message,” he added.

The island has been divided between the Turkish Cypriot north and the Greek Cypriot south since 1974, when Turkish troops invaded amid a Greek coup, in events with roots in 19th century British colonialism.
Both sides suffered heavy death tolls at the time.

Some 180,000 Cypriots, or a third of the Greek population, were also expelled from their homes and driven across the line to the south.

With the UN-mediated talks due to restart later this year, possibly in October, Ertug voiced frustration with lack of progress over the past four and a half decades.

He said the status quo has forced the north into isolation, due to trade embargoes and lack of access to an international airport.

But he has little faith the Greek Cypriots are willing to share wealth or power with his side.
“That is based not just on historic reasons but also on the present approach of the current leadership, which has so far been proven to be no different from the previous,” he said.

He accused the Greek Cypriots of raising tensions in the run-up to October by using US and Italian firms to drill for gas in disputed maritime territory.
He said they plan to buy two Israeli warships to guard the operations.

He noted that recent Greek Cypriot legislation which bans the use of Turkish names in official documents has not helped.
Amid the mistrust, he also floated the idea of a two-state solution instead of the EU-and-UN-backed idea of reunification.

“We are at a point where the Greek Cypriot side has to decide whether they will start the negotiations with us in a result-oriented manner as soon as possible with the intention to resolve the Cyprus issue once and for all,” he said.
"It is time to bury the hatchet,” he added.

A Cypriot source close to the issue, who did not want to be named, told this website that the Greek side wants dialogue with Ankara because Turkey makes all the decisions.
“Sixty percent of the budget of the Cypriot Turkish is covered directly by Ankara,” he noted.

With 40,000 Turkish troops and a large Turkish minority in the territory, the contact said establishing a foothold with Ankara via the EU is part of a broader effort to help broker a practical solution.
“We have no problems with the Turkish Cypriots, we have the same way of living, of thinking, we have only problems with Turkey’s policy,” he said.

The contact denied that Nicosia is planning to buy Israeli warships.
But he said any future gas platforms, which are to be shared with Israel, off the Cypriot coast may need military protection.

“We are working very closely with Israel. Our co-operation is based on common interest in hydrocarbons, of course the Turkish Cypriots have a right to these hydrocarbons and they can exercise that right after a solution has been found,” he noted.

Meanwhile, another bone of contention is Varosha.
Part of the divided city of Famagusta, the Varosha strip was once a favoured party spot for the rich and famous.

It is now part of Turkish Cyprus, but it is also a ghost town, with crumbling beachside hotels.
Ertug says Varosha can only be part of a comprehensive settlement, and that its fate cannot be decided in separate negotiations.

“Varosha is a very valuable piece of territory, it’s like our trump card, in a way,” he told this website.

For his part, the Cypriot contact says Greek Cypriots plan to put forward a "win-win" proposal in the new peace talks.
They want Varosha to be run by the UN in order to expedite its reconstruction.

In return, they will open trade with the port in Famagusta and allow the Cypriot Turkish side to export directly to the EU market.
The port is currently under Turkish military guard and is being used by the Turkish Cypriots, but it is not internationally recognised.

They also want Turkey itself to open its airports and ports to Greek Cypriots - if Ankara agrees, then Cyprus will lift its 2009 veto against Turkey’s accession to the EU.

“We want a reunified Cyprus and we need a game changer and a step towards a solution,” the contact said.

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