Monday, February 28, 2022

Orwellian Doublespeak Meets Russian Resistance

Orwellian DoublespeakMeets Russian Resistance

"My country is committing a horrible crime in Ukraine that can have no justification."
"We all bear a part of responsibility. There is no good way out of that."
Sergei Utkin, head, strategic assessment, Institute of World Economy and International Relations 

"President Putin has made a decision to launch a special military operation to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine in order to liberate it from this yoke so that Ukrainians can be free in making choices about their future."
"[This is a limited military operation not to target civilians with aims to] liberate [Ukrainians from their pro-Western government."
  Vladimir Putin & Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov
Sergey Lavrov, Russian foreign minister
"No one is going to occupy Ukraine. [Ukrainian troops must surrender and rid themselves of] this gang of drug addicts and neo-Nazis that holed up in Kyiv."
Russian President Vladimir Putin

"Hitler was saying in 1941 that he was also out there to liberate people of the Soviet Union from the junta of Communists."
Andrei Makarevich, 68, frontman Russian rock band
"The judge [who sentenced him to 20 days in custody for resisting arrest at an antiwar demonstration in Moscow] couldn't raise her eyes to look at me when I asked."
"The police report is one big lie."
Ilya Fomintsev, founder, Moscow cancer hospital
 
"He [her son] was sent to the border and was told they would be there for a while. He has no idea where he would be deployed."
"Our boys had no idea where they were going. He thought it was just drills again."
Tatyana Denisyuk, eastern Siberia
A demonstrator wearing a face mask with a 'No to war' inscription stands in front of a line of police officers during a protest in central Saint Petersburg on Sunday. (Sergei Mikhailichenko/AFP via Getty Images)

Ordinary Russians by their thousands see through the transparent web of lies expressed by their president and his entourage, to villainize and discredit the current government of Ukraine under their president, Volodymyr Zelenski; a ruse to slander and turn Russian public opinion in favour of Vladimir Putin's punishing invasion against neighbouring Ukraine. A sudden, albeit expected yet disbelieved turn of events that shocked Russians almost as much as it did Ukrainians.

It is Ukraine that is bearing the vicious brunt of Vladimir Putin's cynical criminality; their lives and their country forced to take up arms against an enemy determined to jerk the country out of the democratic mould it has patterned itself toward, to alienate it from the West and coerce it violently back into the Russian embrace of a satellite without the power to select its own future.

The military invasion of a neighbour by a rapacious psychopathic dictator has not endeared Mr. Putin to the privileged within his own society, let alone the congregate masses. Russian officials themselves dare not express misgivings or to denounce a decision to take Russia to war against its vulnerable neighbour, but condemnation comes from younger Russians, resulting in nationwide protests and mass arrests. 

On the streets of Moscow, protesters made their voices heard against the Russian invasion of Ukraine on Sunday. (Evgenia Novozhenina/Reuters)

Social media has been flooded with posts by Russians condemning their own leadership for aggression against Ukraine. Posts such as that of Liza Peskova, the cosmopolitan 24-year-old daughter of Dmitry Peskov, spokesman for the Kremlin, when she posted a black square, captioning it with "No to war!" on her Instagram account. The post was deleted soon afterward.

Prior to her post, the daughter of Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich insisted on a social media post the war was Putin's and his alone, the Russian people had no part in it. "The biggest and most successful lie of Kremlin's propaganda is that most Russians stand with Putin", the post by 26-year-old Sofia Abramovich based in London, clarified.

Police officers detain a demonstrator in central Saint Petersburg on Sunday. Outside the upmarket Gostiny Dvor downtown department store, hundreds stood together, linking arms and chanting. (Sergei Mikhailichenko/AFP via Getty Images)

Russian tennis player, 24-year-old Andrey Rublev, wrote "No war please" after his semi-final win in Dubai. Most protesters at the antiwar rallies in Russia hard on the first day of invasion were young, speaking of their disbelief and shame that their president has brought to Russia. 1,700 protesters were detained at rallies taking place in dozens of cities across Russia. Some will continue to be held, charged with 'resisting arrest'.

 "Adolf Putin" was scrawled across buildings and underpasses in St.Petersburg. "No to War" graffiti was sprayed on walls in Moscow, including on the front door of Russia's parliament. "Putin is a Hitler with a nuclear bomb", Leonid Volkov, an ally of jailed opposition leader Alexei Navalny, stated. Such rallies "are not allowed by law", Dmitry Peskov, said in defence of the mass arrests.

An open letter condemning the war was produced by Russian foreign policy journalists. Their protest gained them the advantage of being removed from the pool that accompanies Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on his travels abroad when state media is given access to events they witness enabling them to write stories published in Russian news outlets.

Police officers detain a man in Moscow during an anti-war protest against the Russian invasion of Ukraine on Sunday. A monitoring group says over 2,000 were detained at protests in 48 cities across Russia that day. (Evgenia Novozhenina/Reuters)


 

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Sunday, February 27, 2022

Defending Ukraine

"I am a Russian warship."
"I ask you to lay down your arms and surrender to avoid bloodshed and unnecessary deaths."
"Otherwise , you will be bombed."
 
"Russian warship."
"Go f--- yourself."
​Ukrainians Defending Island Tell Russian Forces To ‘Go F**k Yourself’ Before Their Final Standoff
Audio has emerged of a dramatic standoff between Russian forces attempting to capture Snake Island off the coast of Ukraine and those charged with defending it.

Positioned on a desolate rocky island, a small team of Ukrainian border guards received a message warning them of immediate peril should they refuse to surrender the outpost. The Ukrainian response was immediate and visceral; they had no intention whatever of attempting to preserve their lives at the cost of surrendering to a Russian military vessel, part of the invasion pounding targets across Ukraine with bombs and missiles.
 
The predictable result of their defiance against all odds, with full knowledge that instead of surrendering their duty to defend their country, they were surrendering their lives willingly, the Russians opened fire with a series of bombs. And before long all thirteen border guards were dead. The stand on the Black Sea lifted Ukrainian morale and pride in themselves, refusing to bow to Russian tyranny.
 
The thirteen Russian border guards had stood down the grim orders to betray their country's trust in its servicemen and in so doing became heroes that championed their nation's honour and aspirations to remain free and at liberty to make decisions leading it toward increasing democracy and away from the stultifying, degradation of remaining a vassal state of the Russian Federation.
 
'Go f*** yourself': Ukrainian soldiers to Russian troops before being killed in Black Sea island
Snake Island, in the Black Sea. Image credit: Ukraine MoD

They were being awarded with the highest honour their country could bestow on men who exhibited extraordinary courage in the face of an enemy onslaught, the 'Hero of Ukraine' titled honorific award. The Ukrainian news outlet Ukrayinska Pravda posted on their website a copy of the recording of the dramatically terse and sinister conversation between the Ukrainian border agents and the Russian vessel.

Another recording was posted on TikTok, illustrating a border guard in helmet and balaclava on the atoll Zmiinyi Island (Snake Island) cursing under fire. He was a 23-year-old,from Odessa, a Ukrainian port city on the Black Sea. The border guards had attempted to secure the island on Thursday for hours, before they were killed. 

The 42-acre, sparsely populated island sits on the edge of Ukraine's territorial waters, a strategic area within the Black Sea that connects a shipping corridor to the cities of Odessa, Mykolaiv and Kherson, Ukraine.

https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/interactive/uploads/20220225-ukraine-snake-island-map-780px.png

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Saturday, February 26, 2022

The Drums of War

The Drums of War

"Peace on our continent has been shattered. Russia is using force to try to rewrite history, and deny Ukraine its free and independent path."
"This is a deliberate, cold-blooded and long-planned invasion. Russia's unjustified, unprovoked attack on Ukraine is putting countless innocent lives at risk with air and missile attacks."
NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg
Missiles pounded Kyiv on Friday, Feb. 25, 2022, as Russian forces advance to the outskirts of the Ukrainian capital — a day after Russian President Vladimir Putin launched an invasion of Ukraine that has shocked the world. Here, Natali Sevriukova is seen next to her home in Kyiv after a rocket attack. (Emilio Morenatti/The Associated Press)
 
NATO plans to create combat units in Romania and Bulgaria, possibly Hungary and Slovakia as well, to reflect those already set up several years earlier in Poland and the Baltic states, as a deterrent to potential Russian aggression in Vladimir Putin's pathological delusion that he will go down in history with a legacy project fulfilled; the reincarnation of the Soviet Union by re-creating the forcible union that most of its neighbours dread.

No NATO troops were to be sent to Ukraine to aid its resistance to the Russian invasion. Ukraine is on its own. Its delicate state of ongoing oppression by Russia was what led NATO to keep Ukraine at arm's length, even though other former USSR satrapies have been accepted into the Alliance. Foreseeing just such an event occurring at some future date -- albeit not quite in the violent form currently seen -- led NATO to err on the side of caution.
"As recently as 2016, an operation on this scale would have required every battalion tactical group in Russia's ground forces; with more contract personnel, and thus more BTGs, Moscow can now undertake such a move while still retaining substantial forces elsewhere in Russia."
IISS Military Balance 2022 global military capacity survey
Ukraine, the second-largest country in Europe, is hugely outmatched against the largest geographic country in the world, Russia, despite materiel support that NATO countries have provided to the Ukraine military to help beef up its military arsenal. In 2020, military spending in Ukraine came in at about $6 billion, roughly a tenth of the figure for Russian military expenditures for the same year; $62 billion.

Russia has had quite a bit of practise in nipping away bits and pieces of the geography of former Soviet member-countries. As it did in Georgia, and that former Soviet satellite was left to defend itself and still lost two of its territories to Russia. Russian warplanes have had ample practise, not just the war games of recent vintage with Belarus, but real-time conflict flying aerial missions over Syria where it bombed civilian enclaves, along with hospitals.

Its practise run in 2014 with ethnic Russian rebels culminating for the time being with the seizing of the Crimean peninsula and portions of eastern Ukraine in the Donbas gave it ample practise for a long-range plan for total control and absorption of Ukraine in its bid for imperial influence over the former Soviet Union states. Ukraine has been viewed by President Putin as the jewel in its imperial crown, first to be wholly re-absorbed, leaving other former states in fear.

After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, when Russia was left a crumbling vestige of its former self, the ascension of Vladimir Putin to the presidency several decades ago saw Russia's vast reserves of gas and oil in huge demand throughout Europe. That source of income built Russia a formidable treasury, quite a bit of it used for rebuilding its military.

Enabling him at this juncture to deploy over 100,000 troops to the border with Ukraine and 30,000 in Belarus, a show of purpose for that military investment in the past 35 years. Reclaiming Abkhazia and South Ossetia were mere trifles to practise on; the absorption of Ukraine is more to the point for Mr. Putin's reemerging Greater Russia ambitions.

12 Russian battalion tactical groups were put into action around northeast Ukraine in 2015 during the war that wasn't quite a war, but as U.S. President named it, a 'minor incident'. Not, however, so minor to Ukraine which lost Crimea in that bitter encounter. Now, well over 100 battalion tactical groups have been deployed to make for this full-scale invasion from Russia and Belarus.

Ukraine has 290,000 military personnel, to Russia's 900,000, and Russia can call up another two million reservists, as compared to Ukraine's 900,000. The Russian army has over 12,000 tanks, with Ukraine in possession of less than 3,000. A similar imbalance exists in the numbers of armoured vehicles and artillery. Ukraine with its 34 attack helicopters and 98 jets is up against Russia's 500 attack helicopters and 1,500 fighter jets.

Ukrainian President Vlodomir Zelensky insists he's not leaving Kyiv as Russian forces close in on the Ukrainian capital.


 

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Friday, February 25, 2022

Vladimir Putin's Little Psychopathic War

Vladimir Putin's Little Psychopathic War

Inhabitants of Kyiv leave the city following pre-offensive missile strikes of the Russian armed forces and Belarus on 24 February 2022
People try to leave the capital Kyiv.   Getty Images

"He is as ready as he can be. They have advanced their readiness to a point where they are literally ready to go -- now -- if they get the order." 
"We do have indications that they plan to use reserves and their equivalent of the National Guard and that is concerning because that would connote to us -- long-term goals."
Senior U.S. Defense Official
 
"Predicting what might be the next step of Russia, the separatists or the personal decisions of the Russian president -- I cannot say."
Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky
Ukrainian servicemen stand on a tank as they get ready to repel an attack in Ukraine's Lugansk region.
Ukrainian servicemen get ready to repel an attack in the Lugansk region   AFP
 
Speculation has been on high alert of a planned, imminent invasion by Russia of its neighbour Ukraine. The stress has been palpable for weeks, building on the alert expressed months earlier at the buildup of Russian troops and equipment near the border with Ukraine, inside Russia. There could only be one reasonable explanation for the unreasonable imagery interpreted by military and intelligence experts in the West as clear and ominous signs of an impending strike against Ukraine.

By a neighbour that had been responsible for an earlier military strike by proxy in 2014, one that has been on standby ever since, an uneasy 'truce' that the ethnic Russian-Ukrainian rebels had been persuaded to accept with Ukraine through international intervention, approved by Moscow who claimed then as it claimed now that it was in no way involved, despite training, arming and militarily supporting the separatist element to Ukraine's territorial detriment.

Even as France and Germany made diplomatic overtures in visits to Moscow, conferring with Vladimir Putin, and Britain and the United States stuck to their warnings of imminent conflict, the Russian President scoffed at the hysteria of the West, determined to smear Russia's reputation with unfounded accusations. Scheduled war games with Belarus, simply put. While inveighing against the perfidy of Ukraine in aspiring to join NATO, leaving behind its glorious past with the Soviet Union.

Spurning Russia's love for Ukraine! Despite which the West, NATO and the United States in particular were on a witch-hunt; the Kremlin had no reason to assault Ukraine, would never think of it even though Ukraine was rife with fascists and war-mongers. If Russia were to intervene in the Donbas it would be to send peacekeepers, not a military invasion. 
 
Civilians shelter in a metro station in Kharkiv, Ukraine
Civilians shelter in a metro station in Kharkiv, Ukraine, in a photo taken by Victoria Vota. "We are trying to stay strong," she said.
 
Two dozen warships deployed in the Black Sea with landing ships and Marines aboard, artillery and missile forces, over 150,000 Russian forces assembled. Over 120 battalion tactical groups. The alarmist United States intelligence stated the Russian military assembled close to one hundred percent of forces required to mobilize for a large scale attack. Plus the mobilization of reserve forces.

More alarmism when the Ukrainian parliament approved a declaration of a state of emergency to last 30 days. Even as the Russian parliament approved formal Russian recognition of the two rebel-held territories in the Donbas, the 'Republic of Luhansk' and the 'Republic of Dunetsk'; independent of Ukraine because Russia deems it so. Echoes of the stealth military capture and annexation of Crimea. Slow and steady; inexorable territorial pillage.
 
People wait for buses at a bus station as they attempt to evacuate the city on February 24, 2022 in Kyiv, Ukraine
Crowds attempt to evacuate the capital by bus   Getty Images
 
An intelligence and military expert warned that just prior to an invasion there would be a wholesale cyberattack on Ukrainian government and state websites; Ukraine's parliament, cabinet and foreign ministry websites. Then, on Wednesday, Russia removed its flags from its Kyiv embassy, ordering Russian diplomats to evacuate for 'safety reasons'. 

And in the small hours of Thursday morning the denouement of Russia's innocent claims of business-as-usual. Kyiv residents rudely awoken to the sounds of the bombardment of war. 

Rescuers work at the crash site of a Ukrainian Armed Forces' Antonov aircraft, shot down in the Kyiv region, Ukraine
Ukrainian State Emergency Service / Reuters
Handout picture from the Ukrainian State Emergency Service, rescuers work at the crash site of a Ukrainian Armed Forces' Antonov aircraft, shot down in the Kyiv region.

 

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Thursday, February 24, 2022

Ukraine's Lonely Plight

Ukraine's Lonely Plight

"[The only way that Ukraine can end the crisis would be to surrender ambitions to join NATO, declaring neutrality], demilitarize, [and give up any territorial claim to Crimea]."
"We expect, and I want to underline this, that all the difficult questions will be solved during negotiations [between Kyiv and the separatist leadership]."
Russian President Vladimir Putin 
 
"We are committed to the peaceful and diplomatic path. We will follow it and only it."
"But we are on our own and, we are not afraid of anything and anybody."
"We owe nothing to no one, and we will give nothing to no one."
Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky thanked Western nations for sanctions against Russia and warned that the future of European security is being decided 'now, here, in Ukraine.
"If Russia goes further with its invasion we stand prepared to go further with sanctions. Russia will pay an even steeper price if it continues its aggression."
Who in the Lord's name does Putin think gives him the right to declare new so-called countries on territory that belongs to his neighbours? This is a flagrant violation of international law. [He is] carving out a chunk of Ukraine."
"I have authorized additional movements of U.S. forces and equipment, already stationed in Europe, to strengthen our Baltic allies, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania."
"There is still time to avert the worst case scenario that will bring untold suffering to millions of people."
U.S. President Joe Biden
Ukrainian service members take part in tactical drills at a training ground in an unknown location in Ukraine, in this handout picture released Feb. 22, 2022. (Press service of the Ukrainian Armed Forces General Staff/Handout via Reuters)
 
How much 'further with its invasion' must Moscow go to enable Washington to identify geographical theft that goes somewhat beyond the 'minor incident' that Mr. Biden mused about several weeks ago, leaving the impression that NATO and the U.S. could somehow overlook something as 'minor' as, say a repeat of the 2014 invasion and annexation of Crimea? The U.S. is a large country geographically, though not as large as Russia.

What would be the NATO and U.S. response if Russia looked with avarice at a territory it once owned and sold to the United States for a pittance? What would happen in response, as an example of a 'minor incident', if Russia decided to invade Alaska reclaiming it as a territorial imperative, that it should never have been released from Russian ownership. It is, after all, much closer geographically to Russia than it is to the United States....

Alaskans would be threatened by the 'occupation' and the governance of a country for whom violence is of little account in claiming what it insists is its by historical account, a heritage property beyond dispute... The social, civil upheaval with the resulting dispersal of civilian populations would be enormous and tragic; reflecting what Ukrainian citizens living in the occupied and now virtually annexed Donbas region of Donetsk and Luhansk face.
 
Ukrainians attend a rally Wednesday to protest after Moscow's decision to formally recognize two Russian-backed regions of Eastern Ukraine as independent. (Carlos Barria/Reuters)

Anger and determination to oppose Russia, on the part of those territories' civilian populations will have them bearing arms and fighting for their right to remain under Ukraine governance for they are Ukrainian and it is their country and their children's futures they fight for. Using the pretext of 'backing' the territorial claims of ethnic Russian separatists is a transparent ploy to invite Ukraine to order its military to greater action in defending Ukraine territory.

Giving Vladimir Putin the final reason he agitates toward to ignite a wider conflict. Mr. Biden's words of assurance to Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania, along with Poland and others, will ring empty when viewed through the lens of European and NATO inaction in supporting Ukraine. It is the entire Donbas region that will find its way into the Russian Federation, and a little more gradually, more of Ukraine, as it defends itself against a vastly superior military machine.

Of course, Mr. Putin himself expanded the message of 'diplomatic action' when he stated it to be "impossible to predict" just how far he planned to probe  his military into Ukraine; his troops would enter and it would "depend on the specific situation on the ground". As though to say that if Ukraine is unreasonable and decides to defend itself irrespective of the losses -- of human life and territory -- then poor, abused Russia will have little choice but to bulldoze through all of Ukraine....

Police officers and members of the Ukrainian National Guard are seen outside the Russian Embassy in Kyiv on Wednesday. (Valentyn Ogirenko/Reuters)

 

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Wednesday, February 23, 2022

Commander-in-Chief -- In Command

"I deem it necessary to make a decision that should have been made a long time ago -- to immediately recognize the independence and sovereignty of the Donetsk People's Republic and the Luhansk People's Republic."
"If Ukraine was to join NATO it would serve as a direct threat to the security of Russia."
"[Russia and Ukraine are] parts of what is essentially the same historical and spiritual space; [their] spiritual unity [is under attack]." 
"[What is happening to Ukraine today, is a] forced change of identity. And the most despicable thing is that the Russians in Ukraine are being forced not only to deny their roots, generations of their ancestors but also to believe that Russia is their enemy."
"So you [Ukraine] want de-communization? That suits us. But let's not stop half way. We are prepared to show you what real de-communization looks like."
"[Ukraine is not a real country, but one] created [by Russia in the 1920s] on ancient Russian lands".
Russian President Vladimir V. Putin
Vladimir Putin (l) at a meeting of Russia's national security chiefs on Monday (Photo: kremlin.ru)

The Russian commander of all that is Russia convened a meeting on Monday of his lieutenants in a special session of the Russian security council, meeting in St.Catherine's Hall in the Kremlin, resplendent in gleaming marble. An august setting for a theatre of impending conflict. A special convening, one where the musical accompaniment heard in the subconscious of all those present, was a slow rumble of the drums of war.
 
It was too splendid a theatre, too seriously onerous a decision not to share with all of Russia to view at a remove the seriousness with which their president views the impending danger their nation faces under the sinister denial of a neighbour unwilling to consider the Kremlin's offers of reinstatement of Ukraine in the bosom of Russia's fond historical memories. 
 
Where an ingrate nation determined to rule itself as a sovereign right, makes a mockery of its own historical, heritage alignment with Russia. An insult not to be borne without a suitable response.
President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine speaking at the Munich Security Conference on Saturday.
   Credit...Pool photo by Ronald Wittek
What the meeting revealed to the enquiring eyes focused on the unfolding drama of top-echelon investigators and intelligence lieutenants was their striking reluctance to recommend war, outweighed by their fearful inhibitions over displeasing their interlocutor, he who cannot be denied. Moscow's foreign intelligence chief Sergei Naryshkin was invited by Mr. Putin to express  his opinion whether Russia should recognize the separatist governments in the Donbass' Donetsk and Luhansk regions.

To do so would obviously be construed as a call to regional war with Russian troops dispatched to the territories prepared for a confrontation with Ukraine's military which would, as would any nation's military, defend Ukraine's geographic territorial imperative as a fully sovereign nation which another nation's defiance of national boundaries has placed at risk, including that posed to its citizens. 
 
That the leaders of Donetsk and Luhansk had earlier evacuated hundreds of thousands of civilians from the territories to Russia, speaks of a pre-arranged agreement whose time had come.

In so doing, the invasion that the West warned was imminent and that Ukraine's President Volodomyr Zelensky beseeched the West for modern weaponry with which to counter Russia's move had anticipated. Naryshkin's first response was a hesitant feeling that Russia should allow Ukraine "one last chance to seek peace", an opinion that failed to impress Mr. Putin who responded, with a rictus smile:

"Do you want to recognize their sovereignty or do you want to launch talks?" The startled, sputtering intelligence chief was harshly prompted to "Speak up!". The immediate response was that the spy chief dropped his prevaricating stance, claiming his backing of the annexation of the separatist region, after all. "We're not talking about it, we're not debating it", a sneering Putin responded, shaking his head.
 
That little episode cautioned all others present that if they were at all invested in avoiding a slap-down by their president, they might be well advised to carefully weigh both their words and any expression of doubt over the president's feigned opinion-seeking over a matter he had long since debated within himself and arrived at an irreversible conclusion that they would prefer to avoid.
 
A woman in St. Petersburg, Russia, watching President Vladimir Putin address the nation on Monday.
  Credit...Anatoly Maltsev/EPA, via Shutterstock
Western intelligence has accused spy Chief Naryshkin of mounting massive cyberattacks on Ukraine, and he was in the presence of another two dozen senior officials all of whom were expected to present reports during the meeting, ostensibly to update the president on their findings and conclusions. A sham that stretched on for an hour and a half, all of which was broadcast on all major Russian TV channels.
 
Each of the attendees, one after the other, took to a lectern in the delivery of their assessment. Several appeared to be struck with stage fright, seemingly confused over what was expected of them. Mr. Putin, their stage-master and drama coach, drummed his fingers, appearing morosely unimpressed throughout the meeting's presentations. One can only wonder what ordinary Russians who viewed these sternly implacable-faced men with fear, thought of, seeing them humbled by their master. 

"I was really struck not just by the toxic atmosphere, but also the King Lear vibe as courtiers were expected to vie with each other in playing the lunacy of the day", opined Mark Galeotti, a Russia expert and associate fellow with the Council on Geostrategy who compared the scene to witnessing a Shakespearean drama.

A column of Russian armored vehicles, military trucks and supply units about 60 miles away from the border with Ukraine on Monday.
   Credit...Sergey Ponomarev for The New York Times

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Tuesday, February 22, 2022

Collateral Damage

Collateral Damage

"I would say this is probably so far the most direct and most immediate type threat to people's safety."
"When workers are sitting in vehicles and they are being attacked by these assailants swinging large axes, smashing the windows, hitting the vehicle when [workers'] bodies and heads are just feet away, having torches thrown at their vehicles and [in] the boxes  of their vehicles that could compromise their lives -- this has gone way too far."
RCMP Chief Superintendent Warren Brown

Damage caused to the Coastal GasLink construction site near Houston, B.C., on Feb. 17.-/AFP/Getty Images

"[We respect people's right to conduct peaceful protests], but intimidation of workers, impacts to the environment, and destruction of property and equipment goes far beyond protest and disagreement and is something we as British Columbians and Canadians can never condone."
LNG Canada

"Will the Trudeau government now seize the bank accounts of the foreign funded eco-terrorists responsible for this violence [referencing the Emergencies At permitting authorities to target donations made to illegal convoy activities]."
British Columbia Premier Jason Kenney

"If the Trudeau government is set on using the Emergencies Act to end blockades, then they should also use it to follow the money, seize the associated vehicles and provide all the resources necessary to ensure those illegally acting here [on the Coastal GasLink pipeline in northern British Columbia] are arrested for damaging and blocking this critical export infrastructure."
Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe

The damage to the construction site was allegedly caused by 20 masked and camouflaged attackers.-/AFP/Getty Images

During his career overseeing the north district of the province of British Columbia RCMP Chief Superintendent Brown has long been accustomed to encountering the work of protesters, particularly those invested in protecting the environment as they see it, from exploitation by energy producers, but this latest episode of damaged industrial equipment, booby traps, incendiary devices and blockaded roadways represent an upscaled violence he had never before seen.

The violence took place on Thursday evening at a remote drilling site close to the Morice River. Security footage is being reviewed by investigators who are interviewing some nine Coastal GasLink employees present on the site when twenty or so masked marauders entered after midnight, brandishing axes, attacking security guards and threatening workers wih flare guns in a coordinated attack.
 
A surveillance camera captures an attacker lighting off a flare during the attack on the Coastal GasLink camp near Houston, B.C, on Feb. 17. This image, taken as the attack started, was provided by the company. The attackers disabled the cameras a short time later.
A surveillance camera captures an attacker lighting off a flare during the attack on the Coastal GasLink camp near Houston, B.C, on Feb. 17. This image, taken as the attack started, was provided by the company. The attackers disabled the cameras a short time later. Photo by Coastal GasLink /PNG
 
Heavy equipment and trailers suffered millions of dollars in damage. The attackers commandeered equipment at the site and used it to damage other machinery and to demolish site buildings. Equipment's hydraulic and fuel lines were cut by the attackers, as well, causing significant leaks. The Coastal GasLink pipeline, coming in at $6.7 billion, is owned by TC Energy Corp based in Calgary for the purpose of connecting British Columbia's shale gas resources to LNG Canada's export project in Kitimat, B.C.

The project, close to 60 percent complete for the 670-kilometre pipeline, has been stricken with demonstrations and blockades from environmentalists along with some First Nations groups, since the beginning of construction in 2019. The project has government approval, along with the support of all twenty elected First Nation councils spanning the pipeline's route through northern B.C. First Nations will see employment as a result, and will share in the pipeline's profits to an agreed-upon percentage.

It is some hereditary chiefs, not the democratically elected councils of the Wet'suwet'en people who are opposed to the project, a distinct minority. No arrests have yet been made relating to Thursday's attack; the challenge has not yet been met in identifying the assailants, disguised and masked when they arrived on foot at the site. 

The public and community must understand that the police response to the incident will not equate to a crackdown of law enforcement on lawful protest, said Chief Superintendent Brown. This was a violent, criminal act that will be treated with all the severity that the law commands. Canada's Western provincial premiers have called on the federal government for a more aggressive stance in responding to the attack, amidst heightened tensions across Canada in view of the blockade of truckers around Parliament Hill in Ottawa.

There are distinct differences in how Prime Minister Justin Trudeau addresses these two very different situations. The Truckers' Convoy is viewed by the prime minister as a direct assault on his orders, which it is, as well as a defiance of a mandate that was totally unnecessary and which led to people losing their livelihoods, as well as threatening the deliveries of critical food and medical supplies across the country. Added to which the Convoy protesters made it abundantly clear that they abhor this prime minister and he, ostensibly governing all the people of Canada, returned their contempt in spades.

He has called for the first time in history on the Emergencies Act to solve a problem that policing agencies and local municipalities should have well in hand, but which will commandeer banks to freeze the bank accounts of all those identified as taking part in the protests, deemed unlawful under the special provisions he has brought to bear. A protest that has certainly got out of hand, and has done so because of the prime minister's inept and contemptible treatment of people's legitimate concerns.
 
Police rushing to assist Coastal GasLink workers who had been attacked by a group of about 20 people said their way was blocked by booby traps, including several fires.
Police rushing to assist Coastal GasLink workers who had been attacked by a group of about 20 people said their way was blocked by booby traps, including several fires. PNG
 
The violent incident in northern British Columbia, on the other hand, has elicited no comment from him, and nor has it featured large in most mainstream media, by contrast to the coverage given to the Truckers' Convoy and the clean-up aftermath of police making hundreds of arrests and towing away big rigs. Matters of environmentalists indulging in wildly vicious criminal behaviour is of relatively little interest to this government.
"Their arrival seemed to be very well coordinated. The violence, the rhetoric, the threats -- their purpose seemed to be very coordinated."
"This was definitely coordinated and it was targeted and it was done at that time for a specific reason."
"This is not about enforcing a court injunction. This is not about measuring the volatility of protesters."
"This is about a specific criminal act that happened on February 17."
"This is about 20 or so people who have taken it far too far and we're going to find out who they are."
RCMP Chief Superintendent Warren Brown
Millions of dollars in damaged equipment and property was left behind by vandals who attacked a Coastal GasLink site near Houston on Thursday.

 

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Monday, February 21, 2022

The People Speak : Government is Deaf

The People Speak : Government is Deaf

Streets in downtown Ottawa are quieter after a massive police operation cleared protesters and convoy trucks demonstrating for weeks in the city's core. Ottawa Police Service says it would maintain a police presence and continue to identify and charge protesters. CBC

The Truckers Freedom Convoy that has paralyzed the capital city of Canada for three weeks has been dispersed.  Canadian truckers were outraged when the Trudeau Liberal government mandated that all truckers, beyond the 90 percent of Canadian truckers already vaccinated, must be inoculated against COVID-19, or their licenses would be suspended. There was already an acute shortage of truckers employed in the industry before the mandate. With delivery delays and supply lines impacted by the pandemic, the mandate would mean increasing the shortage of drivers, impacting on the reliability of deliveries even more seriously.

Truckers were outraged and vowed they would drive to Ottawa from all points of the Canadian geographic compass. As they drove to their destination, other Canadians came out to cheer the convoys on, sharing with them an anger over years of lockdowns and government control at all levels, particularly laws that seemed to make little sense. Above all, mandates that deprived people of t heir livelihoods. People were tired of being harassed, of a lack of normalcy in their lives. Many people understood what the truckers were protesting.

Police enforce an injunction against protesters, some who have been camped in their trucks near Parliament Hill for weeks, on Saturday. (Evan Mitsui/CBC)

As always with any protests, they were joined by groups having nothing to do with delivering the truckers' message; nationalists, far-right groups, racist groups and provocateurs. Other, shiftless louts came along to party as the Parliamentary Precinct became locked in with semi-trailers and other large trucking rigs, alongside smaller vehicles, blocking major streets and extending blockages to nearby residential areas. No one in authority at the municipal, provincial or federal level met with the organizers to discuss their grievances.

So they stayed on, capturing the centre of the city, blaring horns, keeping their rigs running continually, fouling the atmosphere with diesel fumes and loud noise. There were alcohol-infused night street parties and during the day harassment of locals. Public statements from the prime minister characterized the truckers as a 'fringe group' of 'racists, homophobes and fascists'. He had no intention of speaking with them, of making any effort at defusing the situation. Finally, he chose to bring in the Emergency Act, designed to deal with extraordinarily dangerous situations threatening government and society.

Police continued their efforts on Saturday to clear parts of downtown Ottawa of protesters. The Ottawa Police Service tweeted Saturday that officers at the scene would be wearing helmets and carrying batons for their safety. (Blair Gable/Reuters)

He did this at a time when protest blockages at major international crossings impeding vehicular passage serving trade between Canada and the U.S. were being broken up by law enforcement and normalcy was returning, even as Canada's trucking protest had served as an example, igniting similar protests elsewhere around the world. In New Zealand, Reuters reported Police Commissioner Andrew Coster saying that negotiations and de-escalation were the only safe ways to resolve the protest there.

Canada's prime minister, Justin Trudeau, is on record as having criticized other world leaders dealing with protesting citizenry, urging them to 'listen to the people'. A message that fit snugly with his public persona of a crusader for justice and equality, a feminist and champion of the underdog. Indian Prime Minister Modi was chastized by Trudeau for not 'listening' to the protests launched by the farming community over new legislation being brought in that was meant to modernize the industry in India, but which farmers felt would disadvantage them. That protest was a year long in New Delhi and led to the legislation ultimately being withdrawn, the protesters returning to their farms.

In May 2021 there was conflict in Israel with Gaza, where rockets were being launched by Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad at civilian enclaves in Israel. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau saw fit to issue a statement urging Israel to practise "restraint", "to act in accordance with international law". This, at a time when 3,500 rockets were being shot off into Israel and the Israel Defense Forces were engaged in self-defence. Trudeau added a week later that "peace-building initiatives" to "support dialogue and co-operation between Israelis and Palestinians" had his ongoing support. Whose support would those expedients not have? Terrorists.

A truck is towed from in front of Parliament Hill as police work to restore normality to the capital after trucks and demonstrators occupied the downtown core for more than three weeks to protest against pandemic restrictions.

Canadian truckers are not terrorists. Trudeau steadfastly expressed his contempt for the protesters. And instead of acknowledging the complaints of people protesting in Ottawa and elsewhere across Canada, he continued to use pejorative language in referring to them. Portraying the protesters as despicable misfits and dangerous fascists and racists, the prime minister of Canada accelerated the momentum of the protest, convincing other Canadians to join in a raucous disavowal of their trust in government.

What was a deplorable situation in Belarus when citizens mounted large protests against their dictator's faux re-election and the violence unleashed by government security forces against the populace, was a sight commonly seen in dictatorships when people rebel and they're pushed back harshly with maximum penalties involved for those who challenge such governments, but unusual-to-rare in democratic societies. Canada's example has inspired similar protests elsewhere in democratic societies. We can only hope that other countries handle their peoples' dissatisfaction in a manner befitting democracies.

 Canada's government did not.

Demonstrators continue their protest as police deploy to remove them on Feb. 19, 2022.
Demonstrators continue their protest as police deploy to remove them on Feb. 19, 2022. Photo by ANDREJ IVANOV/AFP via Getty Images 


 

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Sunday, February 20, 2022

Russia, Pulling Out All The Stops

Russia, Pulling Out All The Stops

Soldiers inspect wrecked car
Soldiers inspect the remains of a car that the Russian-backed separatists claim was blown up outside their headquarters in Donetsk. Photograph: Alexander Ermochenko/Reuters
 
"[NATO and European leaders shared a call with me to discuss] Russia’s buildup of military troops on the border of Ukraine and our continued efforts to pursue deterrence and diplomacy."
"The bottom line is this: The United States and our allies and partners will support the Ukrainian people."
"We will hold Russia accountable for its actions. The West is united and resolved. We’re ready to impose severe sanctions on Russia if it further invades Ukraine."
U.S. President Joe Biden
 
"While of limited impact, this recent spate of cyber attacks in Ukraine are consistent with what a Russian effort could look like, and laying the groundwork for more disruptive cyberattacks accompanying a potential further invasion of Ukraine sovereign territory."
Deputy U.S. National Security adviser for cyber and emerging technology Anne Neuberger 

"[Moscow-backed separatists were] placing its artillery systems near residential buildings [in the hope Kyiv's forces would return fire."
"A day earlier, the Russian-backed separatists were responsible for] a big provocation [after the shelling of a kindergarten in territory controlled by the Ukrainian government."
"We are constantly faced with provocations, shelling, cyberattacks, dangerous maneuvers of aviation, disabling of mobile communications."
Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov
Several hundred thousand citizens in the breakaway republics have been issued Russian passports in recent years. Nikolai Trishin / TASS
"The President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, will soon order the military to go on the offensive, implement a plan to invade the territory of the Donetsk and Luhansk people's republics."
"Their weapons are pointed at civilians today."
"Women, children and the elderly are to be evacuated first."
"[Evacuation into the neighboring Rostov region has been coordinated with] Russian leadership."
Denis Pushilin, leader of the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic
 
"All Kyiv has to do is sit down at the negotiation table with representatives of the Donbas and agree on political, military, economic and humanitarian measures to end the conflict."
Russian President Vladimir Putin   
Masked passengers in bus
People inside a bus arranged to evacuate local residents from the separatist-controlled city of Donetsk. Photograph: Alexander Ermochenko/Reuters
"Unfortunately, we don’t have a cellar, but we heard the first noises, the teachers quickly took all the children and rushed them into the corridor where there are no windows, and got them all to lie on the floor."
"Then we felt the close-up hit, the building shook and we could hear smashed glass. There was real hysteria, the children were all screaming."
Elena Yaryna, School head teacher, Vrubivka, Eastern Ukraine

Russia is fully engaged in exploring all possible scenarios where it can cast blame on Ukraine for provoking Russia into a conflict that Russia itself purportedly has ostensibly no wish to pursue. But, should Kyiv continue to tax Russia's patience and goodwill to force its neighbour into a war situation, Russia will not flinch, but will enter battle to protect its interests; namely its territory in Crimea, and the lives and future of ethnic Russian Ukrainians in the Donbass region of Ukraine.

Ukraine continues to push Russia into this impossible situation where it must engage militarily for its own security and that of its people and its territories. The Ukrainian military given orders to continue shelling positions in Donetsk and Luhansk, endangering the lives of residents there and pushing the leaders of those territories, now separate from Ukraine, to defend themselves. Ukraine forces bombing an elementary school. These scurrilous attacks on innocent people by Kyiv-ordered military are quite simply intolerable.

Or they would be, if they weren't set-ups, like the bombing of a vehicle supposedly belonging to one of the separatist leaders, all leading to incredible  reasons why Moscow has been pushed to its limits to respond to Ukrainian aggression. An aggression meant to drive out the leaders of Luhanks and Donetsk, meant to drive Russia away from the Crimean Peninsula so critical to Russia's interests. Fierce aggression on the part of Ukraine has driven the leaders of the People's Republics of Luhansk and Donetsk to consider the safety of civilians, two million people who now must be evacuated.

That's the perspective of the Russian propaganda published in Russia for the edification of Russians who have no wish to engage in a war with their neighbour but whom their government thinks of as being credulous enough to believe what it claims. For they are either patriotic, loyal to the Kremlin and Vladimir Putin, or they are traitors to the Russian Federation. Moscow claims the move to evacuate Russian Ukrainians to feed a sense of panic meant to lead to 'defensive' moves against Ukrainian aggression, was not discussed beforehand with their leadership.

A big surprise, although Moscow has offered to each of the evacuees, a bonus gift of 10,000 rubles (equivalent to US$130), food, lodging and medical care. Uprooting two million people to 'prove' that the situation is so dangerously dire as a result of Ukrainian aggression that such a desperate action is needed and justifiable. There was a response from the U.S., the administration characterizing the evacuation as a "cynical" move by Moscow.

"Announcements like these are further attempts to obscure through lies and disinformation that Russia is the aggressor in this conflict", clarified a State Department spokesperson. "It is also cynical and cruel to use human beings as pawns to distract the world from the fact that Russia is building up its forces in preparation for an attack."

But there it is; civilians packed onto buses in eastern Ukraine, headed for Russia. Russia took measures years ago to issue Russian passports to ethnic Russian Ukrainians in the Donbass. Manipulating people on such a large-scale basis to further Mr. Putin's plan of manoeuvring Ukraine into a response that would ignite the conflict he is so determined to launch is, in very fact, not only cynical but cruel. A testament to his incorrigible aspirations to absorb Ukraine once again into the Russian Federation.

"There are no orders to liberate our territories by force", responded Oleksiy Danilov, Ukraine's top security authority. Families were ordered to assemble to board buses at an evacuation point in Donetsk where the intention is to have 700,000 people transported to Russia. Some refuse to go; male civilians are urged to join the separatists to fight for their country, and the country they're urged to fight for is not Ukraine. "This is my motherland and the land is ours, I will stay and put out the fires", said 62-year-old Konstantin Lysanov.

Intense artillery bombardment has unsettled residents. Ukraine states that the separatist rebel militias initiated the violence, and Ukraine is accused by the militia leaders of Donetsk and Luhansk of launching the original volleys. As far as the West is concerned, the shelling which intensified in recent days would be just another attempt by Vladimir Putin's government for a pretext to justify an attack on Ukraine. 

Of the former 14 republics under Russian control during the days of the USSR, Ukraine's decision to leave Russia for independence was Russia's most painful loss, one that Mr. Putin refers to as the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the last century when the Soviet Union dissolved. He has set his legacy aspiration on restoring Russia's global power standing through defiance of the West. As a result, fear of a wider war in Europe has affected markets and produced a diplomatic crisis. 

"We see additional forces going to the border including leading edge forces", U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken informed the Munich Security Conference, noting that American intelligence assesses that Russia now has about 50 percent of its total forces assembled to confront Ukraine on all fronts across its vast territory bordering Russia and Belarus and the separatist territories. "This is the most significant military mobilization in Europe since the Second World War", U.S. ambassador Michael Carpenter noted.

Military strengths graphic


 

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