Honouring Those to Whom Honour is Due
"I believe that in the geopolitical circumstances I was taking office ... the threats to the North were actually quite serious."
"I think I've been borne out in that regard, I didn't anticipate that being our southern neighbour."
"I
think the reality is, the federal government manages this country
right, puts the stress on unity and not on ideological tangents, and
there's no reason why we can't pull the country together at this
moment."
Former Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper
"During
his tenure as prime minister, Mr. Harper emphasized the importance of
Arctic sovereignty to Canada, foreshadowing recent geopolitical
developments in that region."
"His
government oversaw the creation of Canada's first urban national park
in the Rouge Valley, protected Sable Island as a national park reserve,
expanded Nahanni National Park and created Naats'ihch'oh National Park
in the Northwest Territories."
Royal Canadian Geographic Society press release
 |
| Former prime ministers Jean Chrétien, left, and Stephen Harper, centre,
take part in a discussion of Canadian unity moderated by RCGS CEO John
Geiger. (Photo: Charlie Woolf/Can Geo) |
When
Stephen Harper was Canada's Conservative prime minister in three
governments; a minority and two majorities, he focused on the Canadian
Arctic and the need to protect it. At that time it was primarily Russia (and China) who
contested Canada's boundaries in the Canadian Arctic. Russia began the
militarization of the Russian Arctic, restoring old Siberian military
bases, expanding and stationing Russian military operatives there. It
claims the Lomonosov Ridge gives Russia entitlement over areas of the
seabed allocated to Canada and Denmark.
Suddenly,
it appears that although Russian claims while not diminished, have been
pushed back somewhat in light of the Trump administration's claims that
for security purposes against the malign intentions of Russia and China
make it imperative for the United States to claim Denmark's Greenland
as a protectorate of the U.S., to give it sole authority over the
island, while casting the same type of ownership claims over the
Canadian Arctic.
Mr.
Harper, speaking on a panel at the Royal Canadian Geographic Society
described his concerns over the necessity to reinforce Canada's Northern
sovereignty. At the time he could never have envisioned that a threat
to Canada's sovereignty in the North would emanate from the United
States. Yet, there it is: U.S. President Trump argues for greater U.S.
military presence in the Arctic, and where Greenland was involved, went
so far as to suggest military action to achieve his goal. That threat of
expansionism is interpreted by many, to include Canada's northern
territories.
As
sea ice recedes, routes through the North West Passage presage a new
era of shipping in routes from the Atlantic to the Pacific. Mercantile
trade worldwide will be affected, and Northern nations stand to benefit
from the potential easing of maritime routes in trade opportunities,
which is precisely what has lured China to stake its own claim as a
'near-Arctic' (laughable as it is) stakeholder. Russia is
prepared to begin mining for the natural resources known to entice
interests from natural gas to minerals.
 |
| A view of Canadian-owned Helsinki Shipyard in Helsinki, Finland, on Jan. 28, 2026. Photo by Alessandro Rampazzo/AFP via Getty Images |
Canada
now is alert to a changing world order, and Mr. Harper exhorted the
need to defend the nation's land, airspace and waterways, on its own, no
longer depending on its neighbour to the south to respect its
territorial integrity. He had ordered Arctic icebreakers to be built for
Canada. The occasion of Mr. Harper's speech was linked to the
Geographical Society's honouring the former prime minister with a gold
medal to celebrate his outstanding public service on the 20-year
anniversary of his first of three election wins that brought him to the
prime ministership.
A
few days later another event took place on Parliament Hill, the hanging
of the former prime minister's official portrait. At that event he
urged political parties to recognize the need for unity at this critical
time in Canada's history; to work against "external
forces that threaten our independence and against domestic policies
that threaten our unity. We must preserve Canada, this country handed
down to us by providence, preserved by our ancestors, and held in trust
for our descendants."
"He
served as prime minister of Canada for nearly a decade -- the
sixth-longest tenure in our history -- leaving an extensive record of
policy and legislative accomplishments."
"In a political climate increasingly buffeted by noise, he brought composure, intellect and decisiveness to public life."
Liberal Prime Minister Marc Carney
 |
| Former prime minister Stephen Harper, right, at the
unveiling of his official portrait during a ceremony in Ottawa, on
Tuesday, Feb 3, 2026. Photo by HYUNGCHEOL PARK/Postmedia |
Labels: Canadian Arctic, Former Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Gold Medal, Official Portrait, Royal Canadian Geographical Society, Sovereignty
ME -- The Stage Is Set ... Will the Play Commence?
"What
they're doing is setting the theatre to provide an expanded set of
offensive options should the president direct military strikes."
"[This
time the administration does not appear to have such a] discrete
objective [as was witnessed before strikes against the nuclear program
in Iran last year]."
Dana Stroul, former deputy assistant secretary of defence for the Middle East
"[While
Iran has the right to] operate professionally in international airspace
and waters ... any unsafe and unprofessional behaviour near U.S.
forces, regional partners or commercial vessels increases risks of
collision, escalation, and destabilization."
U.S. Central Command
"[If
the U.S. brings in more F-35s, that would suggest that it plans on]
operating inside Iranian airspace in a more considerable way."
"[These
movements -- of the U.S. fleet in the Red Sea and eastern Mediterranean
-- indicate that] both the U.S. and Israel are very concerned about an
Iranian retaliation against Israel, even if Israel is not directly
involved."
Gregory Brew, senior Iran analyst, Eurasia Group
 |
The
Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Roosevelt (DDG 80)
transits the Arabian Gulf while operating in the U.S. Central Command
(CENTCOM) area of responsibility. U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Indra Beaufort |
Dozens
of aircraft have been deployed by the U.S. military to bases near Iran,
while some dozen warships have been assembled in or near the Middle
East in the past month, according to satellite imagery, tracking data
and U.S. defence officials. The stage certainly appears to be set for a
potential U.S. strike against the Islamic Republic of Iran within a few
weeks, as tensions continue to rise. Prior to strikes last year against
the Iranian nuclear program, there was an even greater buildup of
military might than on this occasion, lending an air of real uncertainty
as to the outcome of what is currently a standoff between the
abrasively defiant regime and the challenge of the powerful United
States.
Not
all experts on the Middle East and Iran are convinced that this show of
force will culminate in an actual invasion to remove the Ayatollah-led,
IRGC-fortified regime. The death toll from Iran's violent crackdown on
protests is still rising, with activists and human rights groups
claiming over 6,000 Iranians have been killed through the government
crackdown, though some insist the death toll reaches even higher -- in
the tens of thousands.
President
Trump speaks of his 'armada' whose purpose he hints, is to place
pressure on Tehran over its nuclear program. Iran, he stated, is "talking to us, and we'll see if we can do something, otherwise, we'll see what happens". For his part, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has stated "Just as (Iran) is ready for negotiations, it is also ready for war." While "Structural arrangements for #negotiations are progressing", senior Iranian security official Ali Larijani stated on social media.
 |
The
USS Roosevelt (DDG-80) is armed with powerful Aegis systems, featuring
Mk 41 Vertical Launching Systems (VLS) for Standard missiles, Tomahawks,
and ASROC; a 5-inch Mk 45 gun; Phalanx CIWS/SeaRAM; 25mm machine guns;
and Mk 32 torpedo tubes for lightweight torpedoes U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Indra Beaufort |
Accompanied
by three guided missile destroyers, the aircraft carrier USS Abraham
Lincoln entered Central Command's area of responsibility and is now in
the north Arabian Sea. Air defences and dozens of missiles are carried
by each destroyer, including Tomahawks, a type of munition U.S. forces
used back in June when they struck Iranian nuclear targets. While
historically the U.S. has maintained an aircraft carrier in the Middle
East there had been none in the region, when the Lincoln was redirected
from the South China Sea.
According
to defence officials, at least eight other warships are now positioned
in the area, including at least two guided-missile destroyers, the USS
McFaul and USS Mitscher, near the Strait of Hormuz. In this same area in
recent days, Iran deployed drones. Analysts identified an Iranian drone
carrier from satellite imagery, the Shahid Bagheri. Over three dozen
U.S. aircraft, among them fighter jets, drones and planes used for
refuelling reconnaissance and transport have been forwarded to U.S.
bases.
F-15
aircraft from the squadron that fought the 12-day war between Israel
and Iran in June have been deployed now, along with nine A-10C
Thunderbolt IIs, used to protect groups on the ground from enemy forces,
stationed at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan. America's ME allies
like Jordan, the UAE and Saudi Arabia and Qatar have alerted Washington
that they will not allow the U.S. to use the bases on their soil to
attack Iran. Which is where the USS Lincoln steps into the picture since
assaults can be launched directly from its position at sea.
EA-19G
Growlers, electronic warfare aircraft that jam radars and disrupt
communications which are on board the USS Lincoln, would be useful
should the U.S. intend to enter Iranian airspace to hit targets in the
interior. The USS Delbert D. Black visited Israel and left port from
there on Sunday, moving further into the Red Sea. Additionally, two more
destroyers are in the eastern Mediterranean, the USS Bulkeley and the
USS Roosevelt, according to American defence officials.
 |
| USS Abraham Lincoln, The War Zone |
Labels: Iranian Protests, Nuclear Program, Regional Tensions, Standoff, Tehran's Bloody Response, United States/Islamic Republic
Recognizing Iran for Its Terrorist Credentials
"We need to name and shame the perpetrators."
"It stands out that the architect of all of this repression, Ayatollah Khamenei, is not on Canada's sanctions list."
Brandon Silver, director, policy and projects, Raoul Wallenberg Centre for Human Rights
"It
is very frustrating for Iranians to be walking the streets [of Canada]
and [to] see our oppressors alongside with us and having no real tools
to put them behind bars, even though we've reported many of them."
"We
see them at our local gyms, we see their sons and daughters spending
millions of dollars in expensive houses, cars, living lavish
life-styles, while our people back home can't afford even a loaf of
bread."
Nazanin Afshin-Jam MacKay
"This is a moment, perhaps as significant as the Berlin Wall falling itself."
"Can
you imagine for a moment what a world of peace might look like if we
listen to the call of the Iranian people, of whom tens of thousands have
now been brutally massacred?"
Conservative MP Shuvaloy Majumdar
 |
| Protesters
burn pictures of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as they
march in support of regime change in Iran during a protest in Toronto,
on Sunday, Feb. 1, 2026. Photo by Sammy Kogan /THE CANADIAN PRESS |
In
2012, the-then Conservative government of Prime Minister Stephen Harper
took the step of responding to the Islamic Republic of Iran's
interference in Canadian affairs, its operatives' presence in Canada and
the harassment of Iranian-Canadians, by closing the Iranian Embassy in
Ottawa and obliging Iranian diplomats to leave. Some Iranian government
assets were frozen. And Iran took steps to counter the situation by
expelling Canada's diplomatic staff and closing the Canadian mission in
Tehran.
When
Justin Trudeau took over the helm of Canada's government in 2015 he
mused for a while about restoring diplomatic relations with Iran. It
became impossible to overlook the Iranian government's support of
terrorism, the implications of its interference in Canada, including
money laundering, so the diplomatic fissure remained. Eventually Canada
outlawed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, placing them alongside
Hezbollah and Hamas, its proxies, on Canada's terror list.
That
occurred in the wake of the 2020 targeting of Ukraine International
Airlines Flight PS752 where 55 Canadian citizens were killed as the
plane exploded in mid-air. The IRGC shot missiles at the airliner as it
left the Iranian capital during a period of high tension, but Tehran
denied the event until it no longer could, given the damning evidence.
The al Quds branch of the IRGC has been involved in terrorist plots
abroad targeting enemies of the regime, most notably from among the
Jewish and Israeli eeecommunity.
 |
| Demonstrators in Iran (MAHSA/Middle East Images/AFP/Getty Images) |
The
regime is known to have tasked Canadian expatriate Iranians to launch
assassinations in the United States. Similarly assassination plots meant
to take place in Canada were foiled by the RCMP; former federal
Solicitor General Irwin Cotler was one of those on the Iranian
assassination list, as a high-profile human rights campaigner. After the
October 7 Iran-inspired-and-enabled Hamas atrocity in southern Israel,
pro-Hamas protests on Canadian university campuses were promoted by
Iran.
Iranian
government agents as well as those belonging to the IRGC have
notoriously moved about freely in Canada, both for personal relaxation
in a country where their presence is not opposed by the government, and
to pursue the Iranian objective of money laundering through Canadian
real estate. Some 20 senior members of the regime have bypassed Canada's
immigration system while others are under active investigation.
Having
done so, the government took no action on removing IRGC operatives from
Canadian soil. Now, members of Parliament and human rights activists
have joined in a move to press Canada's Liberal government to place
pressure on Iran; the official sanctioning of its supreme leader and and
focusing on an increased criminal investigation into regime
perpetrators, would represent a good start for a government that has
scarcely moved itself to mobilize condemnation against the regime that
has been using military means to stifle a popular uprising demanding the
end of the Iranian Republic dominating their lives.
Conservative
MP Shuvaloy Majumdar, Liberal MP Miville-Dechene and Iranian Canadian
human rights activist Nazanin Afshin-Jam MacKay joined other
morally-principled activists in calling on Canada to make overtures to
allies to list the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as the terrorist
entity it is. An energetic commitment to advance investigation into
human rights violations perpetrators and crimes committed in Iran in
response to mass protests that struck against the regime across the
country is called for.
Brandon
Silver of the Raoul Wallenberg Centre urged that such an "structural
investigation" is required, to have the RCMP launch a thorough
investigation for the purpose of assembling evidence implicating
Canadian residents who have been involved in war crimes and atrocities. "We
must go beyond issuing statements, we must act. This means supporting
independent international investigations and treating the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization in practice, not
just in name", stated Afshin-Jam MacKay.
A
timely call to action in the wake of thousands of Iranians killed by
the Iranian regime's crackdown against widespread anti-government
protests in January. While the European Union foreign ministers agreed
to list the IRGC as a terrorist group last week, the United Kingdom has
made no such commitment. 210 Iranian individuals and 254 Iranian
entities have been sanctioned by Canada under the criminal code. Yet
only one such IRGC designation has resulted in deportation.
 |
| The IRGC is a major military, political and economic force in Iran EPA |
Labels: Canadian Sanctions, Crackdown on Protests, Diplomatic Isolation, Iranian Terrorism, Islamic Republic of Iran, Islamic Republican Guard Corps, Mass Demonstrations
"Choose Another Fighter"
"Obviously we're looking at the important questions around Canada's security and over sovereignty."
"We have to consider facts like interoperability, we have to consider facts like benefits, industrial benefits around the country, something that's being worked out."
"And, so what's happening now is no final decision has been made, and the review continues."
Defence Minister David McGuinty
"Canada has been flying different aircraft from the USAF in NORAD for 40+ years and controls its jets through Winnipeg, and the F-35s stealth is irrelevant in NORAD because Russian bombers do not have air-to-air radar."
"[Hoekstra is] babbling nonsense."
Bill Sweetman, U.S. aviation writer
"The F-35 remains the most advanced fighter in the world, but too many of them are sitting idle."
"The readiness rates of our aircraft continue to fall short of Pentagon goals."
Republican Senator Roger Wicker
"[Estimates for maintenance were factored into future defence spending plans]."
"DMD remains committed to minimizing future cost growth for the F-35 and continues to work with partner Nations acquiring the planes under the F-35 program in implementing appropriate cost containment measure."
Department of National Defence spokeswoman Cheryl Forest
 |
| USAF-Lockheed F-35 Lightning Jet Soos Jozsef / Shutterstock.com |
U.S. Ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra has on occasion relieved himself of frustration over Canada['s hesitation to fully commit to ordering 88 F-35 fighter jets, hovering between settling for a quarter of that number and turning to Sweden's Gripens to make up the balance; a far less expensive cost with a reliability and performance record that now appears to match that of the F-35s, with far less maintenance and fewer breakdowns.
The U.S., Mr. Hoekstra huffed recently didn't need anything from Canada. Followed by a warning that Canada could face dire consequences should the Canadian government fail to commit unreservedly to the F-35s. Failure to commit would, he warned, alter the U.S.-Canada NORAD agreement given that the Gripens would not be as 'interchangeable, interoperable' with the F-35s. Moreover, he warned darkly, the US. may have to resort to flying its F-35s into Canadian airspace to meet any perceived threats.
A review of Canada's purchase of F-35 prospect had been ordered by the Liberal government following threats by US. President Donald Trump against Canadian sovereignty. Canada has committed to buying 16 of the jets, and whether to proceed with purchasing another 72 of the stealth fighters has yet to be decided. The Royal Canadian Air Force argues that the F-35 is superior to the Saab Gripen.
 |
| Saab |
Previously it was reported, but unconfirmed, that the purchase of 40 F-35s and up to 80 Gripens was being considered by the Liberal government. The F-35s to be used in North America defence and the Gripens meant for use on other operations. According to those supporting the F-35s, the Gripens cannot be used in conjunction with the stealth fighter since they are not interoperable with the U.S. jets.
Defence insiders reject that contention, marking it as a marketing ploy by manufacturer Lockheed Martin and the Trump administration. Sweden, Hungary and the Czech Republic in fact use Gripens that have flown with the F-35s in NATO. There are complicating issues for Canada with the F-35 acquisition given the software updates to the F-35s for operational purposes. The concern is that a hostile government could decide to stop upgrades which would render the jets unusable.
.jpg) |
| The Saab-made Swedish Gripen fighter jet has become a cornerstone of eastern Europe's defense (Jonathan Nackstrand / AFP) |
Added to the fact that the U.S. continues to own all parts for F-35s purchased by Canada, even those siting within Canadian bases. The issue of spare parts has the potential to compromise Canadian national security or operational effectiveness. Rasmus Jarlov, head of the Danish parliament's defence committee is deeply concerned over his country deciding that the F-35 would remain its sole operational fighter jet in the wake of President Trump's threats over Greenland.
An academic paper by the Canadian Forces College noted that the F-35 jets require significant support equipment, and problems procuring spare parts for the planes along with other maintenance issues affect the level of readiness of the fleet. The F-35A, the variant considered purchasing by Canada, achieved a full mission-capable rate of a mere 36 percent in 2023. Unease over costs was augmented when the U.S. government's audit agency reported costs in sustaining the F-35 fleet kept rising, leaving the Pentagon planning to fly the aircraft less than estimated originally, resulting from ongoing reliability issues.
The U.S. Congressional Budget Office noted in 2025 that the U.S. had been flying the F-35 since 2011, with significant problems. Availability and use lower than those of other fighter aircraft of the same vintage. "For example, the average availability rate of a 7-year-old F-35A has been about the same as that of a 36-year-old F15C/D and a 17-year-old F-22", the Budget Office report stated.
"Choose another fighter jet."
"They're in for repairs about half the time or even more."
"The Americans have all the power of actually destroying our air force just by shutting down [parts] supplies."
Rasmus Jarlov, head, Danish parliament defence committee
 |
| An F-35 is seen being assembled at the Lockheed Martin factory in Fort
Worth, Texas. Canada's first F-35 is expected to be delivered this year. (Chris Hanoch/Lockheed Martin) |
Labels: Interoperability, Lockheed Martin F-35, Saab Gripen, United States/Canada
Terra Nullius -- Svalbard: Cold Shore
"Norway now finds itself in the most serious security situation since 1945."
"[Svalbard
has for too long been seen by nations as a place where] everyone who
wants to can come up and do almost whatever they want."
"That's not the fact. This is Norwegian sovereign territory. So we're making that a bit clearer."
Eivind Vad Petersson State Secretary, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Norway
 |
| The Svalbard Archipelago Photo: Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP via Getty Images |
Following World War 1, Norway's
claim to the Arctic archipelago and its islands was officially
recognized. The Svalbard Treaty of 1920 banned the presence of activity
linked to the military while granting all other nations choosing to sign
on to the agreed-upon treaty access to hunting, fishing, mining and
land ownership. Over the years, close to fifty countries added their
names to the treaty which allowed them access.
Of
late, studies of the geology of Svalbard and the ocean floor
surrounding it have identified vast amounts of copper, zinc, cobalt,
lithium and rare earth elements buried in the ocean floor. These are
eagerly-sought-after minerals that power electric car battery
technologies and wind turbines. It was generally taken that the
Svalbard Treaty granted signatories rights to its surrounding seas and
seabed. Until January 2024 when Norway's governing party announced it
would pursue deep-sea mineral exploration in an enormous sweep of its
seabed.
The
remote, frigid island, viewed as hostile to human life on a prolonged
basis where minus 34 Celsius temperatures were not unknown, were
initially home to Norwegian miners and Russian fur trappers.
Longyearbyen, Svalbard's largest town, these days boasts candlelit
restaurants, hotels, daily flights to the mainland, and is home to 2,500
people from 50 countries. According to the town's mayor, a surge in
investment, official visits and strategic attention has recently focused
on Svalbard.
Recently,
the Energy Ministry of Norway publicly declared that Norway's goal in
exploiting the natural geology of the area had a defined purpose; the
goal of "profitable and sustainable" pursuit
of seabed minerals, including the seabed around Svalbard. As Norway
moves toward consolidating its sovereign rule over the island, its
attitude toward foreigners and civil rights has hardened. Foreigners
since 2021 were able to cast a vote in the political arena.
That
changed when authorities declared that voting in local elections would
be off limits to foreigners living on Svalbard if they had not lived on
Norway's mainland for the previous three years. "Should have been done a long time ago", said Mr. Petersson. The Svalbard Treaty guaranteed "equal access, not equal rights", he said, pointing out that in other countries foreigners are not given the right to vote.
Svalbard
is located about 800 kilometers from the North Pole, one of the only
places on Earth where instant connection is possible with polar-orbiting
satellites, leading to uninterrupted, clearer feeds and faster
downloading speeds; more advantageous than anywhere else on the planet.
In fact SvalSat, the world's largest satellite downloading station is
based on Svalbard.
 |
Telecommunications domes of KSAT, Kongsberg Satellite Services, on a mountain near Longyearbyen. Photo: Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP via Getty Images |
Fur
traders from the Pomor region in northwestern Russia arrived at
Svalbard some 300 years ago. The Soviets established several coal mining
towns in Svalbard a century ago and had signed the Treaty. Of the
mining towns, only one, Barentsburg, remains and still operates
minimally. Once there was a population of 1,000, now reduced to around
300. One Russian official claimed the archipelago should be renamed the "Pomor Islands".
A
powerful radar system monitoring space weather and the atmosphere is at
the service of Chinese scientists. Data gathered from this equipment
have been shared with the China Research Institute of Radiowave
Propagation, a Chinese defense organization. Members of the U.S. House
Select Commission on the Chinese Communist Party are convinced China is
performing military research on Svalbard in defiance of the Treaty
proscription.
Outside the Yellow River Station where the Chinese scientists live a pair of granite lions stands guard.
Norway
ordered the Chinese to remove the lions, each of which weighs 900
kilograms, installed 20 years ago when the Chinese government agents
arrived on Svalbard. For the first time last summer, the archipelago's
sole university, the University Center, operated by the Norwegian
government, barred entry to Chinese students, identified by Norwegian
intelligence agencies as a potential security risk.
Criticisms of China's activities represent "nothing but distortion of facts and groundless speculation",
according to officials at the the Chinese Embassy in Norway. As for the
lions standing guard, they continue to remain where they were placed
two decades earlier.
"While the Russian geopolitical threat remains paramount, Chinese
encroachments facilitated by an isolated Russia may complicate the
Arctic security landscape in the longer term. The coast guard agencies
of Russia and China recently signed a cooperation agreement on
strengthening maritime law enforcement to great fanfare in Murmansk, a
city on Russia’s western flank close to Norway."
"Moreover, when all other
Arctic coast guard agencies suspended their participation in the Arctic
Coast Guard Forum, Russia invited China to join the forum—clear
signs of China’s expanding presence in the High North."
"As Iris A.
Ferguson, U.S. deputy assistant secretary of defense for arctic and
global resilience, has put it, Chinese efforts aim “to normalize its
presence and pursue a larger role in shaping Arctic regional governance
and security affairs.”"
Center for Strategic and International Studies
 |
| The world’s northernmost Lenin statue looks over the abandoned Russian city of Pyramiden on Svalbard, summer 2018. Photo: Alina Bykova |
Labels: Arctic, China, Norway, Russia, Sovereignty Challenges, Svalbard Archipelago
Autocratic Regimes
"[Havana]
aligns itself -- and provides support to numerous hostile countries,
transnational terrorist groups and malign actors adverse to the United
States [including Russia, China and Iran]."
"[The
communist government provides] defense, intelligence and security
assistance to adversaries in the Western Hemisphere [while violating the
human rights of its citizens]."
"[Cuba] will be failing pretty soon. They got their oil from Venezuela. They're not getting that anymore."
"[I will impose tariffs on any country that] directly or indirectly provides oil to Cuba."
U.S. President Donald J. Trump
"We
did not touch on the topic of Cuba [during their 40-minute telephone
conversation], and in the evening then this [executive order] came out."
"The
imposition of tariffs on countries that provide oil to Cuba could
create a far-reaching humanitarian crisis [severely impacting the
operations of hospitals, the electrical grid and the food supply]."
"[Cuba is currently] going through a difficult moment [but Mexico cannot be put] at risk in terms of the tariffs."
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum
 |
| A drone view shows the Pajaritos terminal of Mexico's state-owned oil company Pemex, in Coatzacoalcos, Veracruz state. (Angel Hernandez/Reuters) |
An executive order was signed on Thursday by U.S. President Donald Trump when he declared Cuba represented an "unusual and extraordinary threat"
to U.S. national security for which tariffs would be imposed on all
U.S. imports from any country supplying Cuba with oil. In the wake of
the lightning military raid on Caracas in mid-January that took
Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro into U.S. custody for trucking with
drug cartels, Mr. Trump turned his attention directly on Cuba.
Subsequent
to the raid, the Trump administration now controls Venezuela's oil
exports and took the occasion to block deliveries of oil to Cuba, long
reliant on its regional ally in Venezuela to supply it with petroleum.
Mexico, under critical trade duress found it necessary to cancel its
latest scheduled delivery for the month to Cuba, taking into account the
looming renegotiation of Mexico's free-trade pact with the United
States and Canada.
Under
these constraining issues, the sobering 'sovereign decision' was made
to temporarily halt Mexican oil shipments to Cuba. Earlier in the day
following the Trump order appearing on the White House website, the
Cuban government attempted to rally Latin American and Caribbean
neighbours to its rescue. "The peace, security and stability of Our America are in danger", Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez stated in a social media post, denouncing the U.S. for imposing "peace through force".
In
an appearance before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee the day
before, Secretary of State Marco Rubio -- of Cuban descent -- was asked
whether he would rule out forcing "regime change" in Cuba. "I think we would like to see that regime change", responded Mr. Rubio. "That
doesn't mean that we're going to make a change, but we would love to
see a change. There's no doubt about the fact that it would be of great
benefit to the United States if Cuba was no longer governed by an
autocratic regime".
Long
dependent on Venezuelan supplies of oil which it trades for security
and medical personnel with Venezuela under Maduro and previously Hugh
Chavez, Cuba produces little oil of its own. Imports averaged 37,000
barrels daily, the bulk of which arrived from Venezuela in 2025. Cuba is
now left with a mere 15 to 20 days of oil, according to the Financial Times. Island-wide blackouts are common and frequent, impacting basic human services like drinking water.
 |
| Preparing dinner during a blackout in Havana on Wednesday, as
Cubans from all walks of life hunker into survival mode, navigating
seemingly interminable blackouts and soaring prices for food, fuel and
transport as the U.S. increases pressure on the communist‑run nation. (Reuters) |
Signing
a new defence co-operation pact with Havana last fall, Moscow pledged
$1 billion in investment over the next five years in efforts to retain a
hemispheric foothold. Diplomatic support has emanated to Cuba by both
China and Russia. The determination of the U.S. to direct oil supplies
away from Cuba along with a fleet of navy and coast guard ships in the
Caribbean for operations against Venezuela tasked to stop drug
smuggling, the oil blockade of Cuba was next on the agenda.
Seven
sanctioned oil tankers carrying Venezuelan crude have been seized by
the U.S. to date -- blockading legitimate shipments to Cuba risks global
criticism of violating international law, according to maritime
experts. In response to questions in the immediate aftermath of the
Caracas raid, the U.S. president responded that he felt no additional
actions were required against Cuba, since lacking oil from Venezuela, "Cuba looks like it's ready to fall".
Labels: Cuba, Influencing Allies, Mexico, Oil Exports, Punishing Enemies, U.S. President Conald Trump, Venezuela
In Hindsight : Losing Canada
"Unfortunately, literally everything I said would happen in 2015 has now come to pass."
"Trudeau's
deficits will not be small. Mr. Trudeau has made tens of billions of
dollars of spending promises; he said the budget will balance itself, he
has no idea what he is talking about when it comes to these things."
2015
"These
guys [2015 leadership opponents] would have had, in the last two weeks,
us throwing open our borders and literally hundreds of thousands of
people coming in without any kind of security checks or documentation."
"That would have been an enormous mistake."
Former (2006-2015) Prime Minister Stephen Harper
 |
| Stephen Joseph Harper, who led the Conservatives for 13 years, saw
his party win the first majority government in over a decade in the May
2, 2011, election, with 166 seats, representing an increase of 23 seats
from the October 2008 election, in which Harper won a strong minority.
(Geoff Robins/AFP/Getty) |
He
was one of the most effectively reliable prime ministers Canada has
had; principled, intelligent, informed, a man of earnest integrity and
love of country. Some of those who voted him into office -- one minority
and two majority governments -- missed him from the moment the
Conservative Party of Canada lost the 2015 election and the Liberal
Party of Canada became the governing body under the most unsuitable,
unprepared and unprincipled prime minister Canada has ever had; Justin
Trudeau.
Now,
the current Liberal Prime Minister Mark Carney promises to be the
second-most unsuitable, out-of-his-depth prime minister of Canada.
Former
Prime Minister Stephen Harper was an economist before he became prime
minister and his administration bears no resemblance whatever to the
current office-holder, a central banker, whose grasp of economics seems
fairly incompetent. Perhaps not so much as his predecessor, Justin
Trudeau, who felt the economy would look after itself: "The commitment needs to be a commitment to grow the economy, and the budget will balance itself".
To
that end, after inheriting a balanced budget, the Liberals claimed they
would run a $10B deficit for three years to 'build infrastructure'
after which a balanced budget would be produced by 2019. The first three
years of Liberal mismanagement of the economy saw the deficit come in
at $19 billion for starters. By 2025, when Trudeau left the prime
ministership the national debt was $1.2 trillion, somewhat higher than
the $612 billion he had inherited a decade earlier.
While
in office, when the opposition Liberals and NDP insisted the government
bring Syrian refugees into Canada en masse, PM Harper responded: "We
do not want to pick up our entire communities ... and move them out of
the region where they have lived for as long as history has been
written. They do not want that. They want us to help them. That is why
we provide refugee placements, friends. That is why we provide
humanitarian aid."
 |
| August 2015 long weekend, Harper stood outside Rideau Hall — dressed in
Conservative blue — after asking Gov. Gen. David Johnston to dissolve
Parliament, launching his fifth federal election campaign as party
leader. He appealed to Canadians to consider leadership (and his
experience) as the central issue at play. (Blair Gable/Reuters) |
Fast forward ten years and "hundreds of thousands of people"
entered Canada with scant security checks as the Liberal government
ignored entire categories of quotas and checks on temporary immigration
(many dating from the Harper government); in the process seeing
an unprecedented surge of temporary migrants entering Canada The number
of 'non-permanent' residents soared by 1.7 million in three years,
overwhelming the capacity to screen them. Leading to a 'standard' of
foreign nationals claiming refugee status through an ever-so-convenient
app.
The
Harper-era government brought in a measure to prevent corruption in
awarding of contracts by government, leading to the Public Prosecutions
Act, designed to prevent political interference in criminal
prosecutions. The law enacted by the Harper government placed the
situation in control of a politically independent 'director of public
prosecutions'. It was this act that succeeded in revealing the 2019
episode when Trudeau pressed his then-justice minister to forgo a
bribery case against a Quebec engineering company with close ties to the
Liberals.
During
his administration, PM Harper removed home delivery at the request of
Canada Post management, reflecting the downward spiral of mail volumes
making it too costly for letter-carriers to continue door-to-door daily
deliveries. At that juncture, the national mail corporation still turned
a profit and closing down home delivery meant the spigot of losing
money was turned off. The Liberals campaigned on a promise to restore
home delivery. Almost immediately it was restored hundreds of billions
annually began hemorrhaging for Canada Post, leading it to the door of
bankruptcy.
In
2010 the Harper government suspended Canada's contributions to the
UNRWA agency, a central provider of aid ad-infinitum to Palestinians in
Gaza and the West Bank. Accusations the agency was intermingled with
Palestinian terror groups such as Hamas led to that cancellation. The
Liberals restored funding to UNRWA in 2015. By 2023 following the
October 7 terrorist attack on southern Israel, hard evidence emerged of
UNRWA employing members of Hamas and Islamic Jihad; including a top
Hamas commander.
When
the Liberals took the reins of power in Canada they spoke of an
intention to 'modernize' the criminal justice system with the
introduction of 'restorative justice' to reduce the number of Indigenous
offenders in prison. Bill C-75, a crime bill, was made law in 2018 to
simplify bail for accused criminals and codifying treating offenders
more leniently based on race. Stemming from a 'vulnerable population',
criminals received bail faster and were released earlier from prison.
Since
then, Statistics Canada's crime severity stats reflect that when Mr.
Harper left office, homicides and violent crime were at lows never
before seen in the history of Canada. Since his departure from office as
prime minister, however, crime began trending uphill steadily, sitting
now at the point where homicides have hit 30-year highs. This
represents the Liberal version of progress.
 |
| Mr. Harper and his wife, Laureen, visit the Mount of Olives, in Jerusalem in
2014. The Mideast featured throughout Harper's tenure, including most
recently the exodus of refugees from the war in Syria. Harper pointed to
ISIS as the root cause of the refugee crisis in Europe and reiterated
Canada's military commitment to combating the extremist group. (Sean
Kilpatrick/Canadian Press) |
Labels: Conservative Government, Crime, Downward Spiral, Economic Immigration, Liberal Government, PM Stephen Harper
Canada, Diminished and Faltering
"One could argue that we've lost that unifying sense of right and wrong."
"The
very sense of [the] liberal, permissive, non-judgmentally embracing
society that our countries were fundamentally founded on is now being
openly exploited for the purpose of reshifting the balance."
Former Vice-Chief of the Canadian Defence Staff, Mark Norman
"Symbolic
politics has never been sufficient, it is a sign of weak leadership.
Condemnations without enforcement, statements without consequences and
gestures without policy are not leadership."
"Canadians
do not need additional legislation layered over existing statutes. We
need the consistent application of the laws already in force.e"
"Canada
is lost and no longer immune. A nation cannot remain open if it forgets
how to be a nation. The choice is not between tolerance and cohesion.
It is between a confident pluralism anchored in shared civic norms, and a
politics of endless accommodation that dissolves the very framework
that makes diversity possible."
Larry Maher, CEO, Exigent Foundation
 |
| Anti-Israel protesters block a downtown Toronto street to pray as police watch. Photo by Caryma Sa’d/X |
It
took no more than a decade to fundamentally alter Canada, reverse many
of its values, not the least the outstanding human right assurance of
equality and rights under the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.
With that assurance came the expected responsibility of each member of
society to respect the social contract that ensured equal opportunities (if not equal outcomes)
to succeed and prosper for Canadian citizens who obeyed Canadian laws
and whose experience in the general education system helped them to
understand their citizen obligations to the country.
In
an earlier era those rights and obligations were unevenly applied and
issues of discrimination against minority groups reflected a European
heritage of entitlement and belittlement of the exotic 'others' who had
made their way into North America, many as refugees fleeing persecution
and conflict. Under moderately good governance evinced by leaders who at
best understood their own guiding obligations to the people they
served, laws were passed that ushered Canada into an era of fair justice
and social cohesion.
Migrants
from abroad who entered Canada in the first half of the 20th century as
immigrants from impoverished backgrounds to make a home for themselves
in a new country where opportunities abounded worked hard, obeyed laws,
and accommodated themselves to a new culture with values that suited
their own notions of being and belonging. Canadian authorities refined
immigration rules to eventually reflect Canada's needs in a point system
that rewarded education, professional qualifications, age suitability
and an assessed philosophical fit.
A
succession of Liberal governments in more recent times gradually
morphed toward the kind of liberal progressivism that loosened
qualifications and requirements of suitability to join the Canadian
population. Sympathy for people searching for haven from authoritarian
governments, from endemic poverty, from societal crime rates, from
conflict zones opened the gates of entry to Canada wide, including the
refugee class and illegal migrants who bypassed normal entrance
procedures to declare themselves refugees.
 |
| Prime Minister Mark Carney, left, is greeted by Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani, centre, as he arrives in Doha on Jan. 18. Photo by Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press |
The
intake swelled, fulfilling what government and business leaders
professed to be a need to replace an aging, low-child-bearing population
with new recruits to build Canada's working population. Entry to the
country no longer relied on screening for adaptability and suitability
for integration into the prevailing culture, its values and its laws. To
the point where landed immigrants and new citizens openly declared
their defiance of those values and accompanying laws, bringing havoc and
division and open discrimination to the very streets of the cities
throughout the country where they settled in influential numbers.
Newcomers
to the country felt no loyalty to the country that had adopted them and
there were no expectations from government that they should integrate
and accept the prevailing social order as it was. Instead religious and
ideological divisions erupted and with no amending reaction from
government and institutions at any level, those divisions deepened,
becoming more publicly expressed, including through deliberate acts of
law-breaking.
Canadians
of long standing were treated to displays of overt challenges to the
public order in universities and cultural institutions where mass
protests took to the streets, bringing foreign campaigns, conflicts,
ideological convictions averse to Canada's own, to the fore, with no
government intervention at any level. All the while Canada congratulated
itself as a bastion of liberal democracy. Politicians rather than
applying themselves to Canada's and its populations' defense, eyeing the
numbers of voluble protests and the votes they represented, chose
appeasement of activist groups.
 |
| Canadian PM Mark Carney : China's President Xi Jinping AP |
And
from the outside world, lax attention to the actions of foreign powers
that invaded Canada's sovereignty through the infiltration of foreign
agents acting on their behalf on the social, academic and political
levels exercised the 'soft power' of authoritarian regimes and of
extremist movements, effectively interfering in Canada's politics as
well as the social contract unique to Canada. Russia, China, Iran,
Qatar, Turkey and the Muslim Brotherhood all have made an indelible impact within Canada with their malign presence.
The
moral, institutional foundations of Canada's principles of equality and
human rights have been assailed by Islamist, Marxist, socialist and
other radical engagements in destabilizing Canada, as well as other
Western nations they have entered both legally and under the radar. What
all these Western nations appear to have in common is an attitude of
oblivious disinterest in the interference and subtle changes being
wrought in normalizing abnormal social behaviour and its effect on their
institutions.
The
exploitation of liberal societies, priding themselves on their
Democratic principles of inclusion appear willing to accept the slow
erosion of their adherence to the public weal rather than risk being
labelled racist, exclusionary or 'Islamophobic'. Identity politics,
moral relativism, and DEI guide governments content to do nothing in
response to the unravelling of their nations' stability and social
coherence. If there is a solution to Western democracies' inaction in
the face of this dilemma, it has not yet shown its face.
 |
| Canadian universities have seen a surge of pro-Palestinian protests following similar demonstrations across North America. University Affairs |
Labels: Canada, China, Destabilization, Immigration, Iran, Migrants, Muslim Brotherhood, Qatar, Refugee Intake, Russia