Sunday, February 08, 2026

Mysterious Assassinations of Top Russian Generals

"It's clear that such military leaders and high-ranking specialists are at risk during wartime. It's not the Kremlin's job to figure out how to ensure their safety."
"That’s a matter for the intelligence services."  
"[The intelligence services were investigating the attack and would report any findings to Russian President Vladimir Putin]. We wish the general survival and recovery."      
Dmitry Peskov, Kremlin spokesman
 
"The attack against Lieutenant General Alekseyev confirmed the Zelensky regime's intention to disrupt the negotiations [taking place in Abu Dhabi between American and Russian negotiators to end the war between Russia and Ukraine]."
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov  
https://e3.365dm.com/26/02/768x432/skynews-vladimir-alexeyev-lieutenant-general_7157403.jpg?20260206133056
Still from video, Sky News  An unknown assailant fired several shots at ​Lieutenant ​General Vladimir ‍Alexeyev in a residential building on the Volokolamskoye Highway.
 
Three senior military officials were assassinated in the past several years in Russia when explosions took place near their homes; Fanil Sarvarov, head of the General Staff's Operational Training Department; Haroslav Moskalik, deputy head of the General Staff's Operational Department; and Igor Kirillov, chief of Russia's nuclear, biological and chemical defence forces...a bomb hidden in an electric scooter exploded outside his apartment building as he walked by it. Now a fourth assassination attempt failed to achieve its goal when it targeted the deputy head of the GRU, Russia's foreign military intelligence agency.
 
Shot and severely wounded on Friday at his Moscow home, he was taken to hospital and survived surgery. "An unidentified individual fired several shots" at Lt.-Gen. Vladimir Alekseyev inside a north-west Moscow residential building, said investigators. The blame for the incident was immediately pointed by the Kremlin at Ukraine.  No evidence was provided, while there was speculation by some Russian commentators that Alekseyev had Russian enemies. 
 
Alekseyev's superior at the GRU, Adm. Igor Kostyukov was present in Abu Dhabi for meetings between Washington and Moscow, engaged in discussions over concluding the Russian war with Ukraine. The Russian delegation consisted of military and intelligence officials, hence the head of the GRU's appearance. According to some Western security officials, reasons exist to question whether Ukraine was behind the Alekseyev shooting.
 
Simply put, targeting him at the very time that his GRU chief Kostyukov was involved in U.S.-led negotiations to end the war might risk derailing the  talks while infuriating the Trump administration. A former senior U.S. intelligence official explained the logic, that while Ukraine's security services "have done these hits in the past it would be pretty crazy of them to do it now".  The very involvement of Kyrylo Budanov, former head of Ukraine's military intelligence directorate, now chief of staff for Zelenskyy, raised the stakes for Kyiv should Budanov's former agency be proven linked to the attempted assassination. "We are not stupid, believe me", a former senior Ukraine security official stated.
 
It was "much more likely", said the former official who had worked closely with Budanov, that the attempt on Alekseyev would be in relation to a "domestic issue", likely the general's part in quelling the 2023 Wagner Group uprising which Alekseyev was directly involved in putting down. He had appeared on video footage meeting with Wagner leader Yevgeniy Prigozhin before his death in a plane crash suspected of having been orchestrated by Russia's intelligence services.
 
"Let's be honest, the negotiations are already going without any visible results; there's clearly nothing to disrupt", one Russian Telegram channel called Provisional Governor 2 posted. As a senior GRU official, Alekseyev's tenure included notorious operations abroad including hacking Democratic National Committee computers prior to the 2016 U.S. presidential election, and the poisoning of Russian defector Sergei Skripal in Salisbury, England, not to mention GRU operations in Syria.  
 
https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/gettyimages-2259575245.jpg?c=original&q=w_860,c_fill/f_webp
 


Labels: , , ,

Saturday, February 07, 2026

Criminal Extortion, Shooting Threats, Arson in Surrey, B.C.

"Three suspects arrested in connection with a recent extortion-related crime are waiting another week for a full appearance in Provincial Court in Surrey. Harjot Singh, Taranveer Singh and Dayajeet Singh Billing, all between the ages of 19 and 21, appeared in court briefly Thursday morning. The full hearing has now been pushed back a week at the request of the accused’s lawyer."
"The three men were arrested by anti-extortion control Sunday after bullets were fired at a home. They have been in custody since. Each has been charged with one count of discharging a firearm."
"The latest incident shines light on the 46 extortion cases Surrey Police say they are investigating so far this year. The British Columbia Extortion Task Force says there were 32 active files across the Lower Mainland as of last month."
"Surrey Mayor Brenda Locke was in Ottawa this week to seek more help from the feds on extortion-related crimes in her community. She says she is behind efforts to amend Canada’s laws to stop people charged with extortion-related crimes from seeking asylum."
"The Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) said in December that 15 foreigners facing extortion charges had applied for refugee status in Canada. CBSA said it is unclear under what pretenses the three men charged Sunday are in the country, but that it has started an investigation into their status."
Vancouver City News, February 5, 2026 
Three South Asian men are seen in mugshots. Two of them are visibly injured.
Harjot Singh, Taranveer Singh and Dayajeet Billing have been identified as the three foreign national men charged after an alleged extortion-related shooting in Surrey, B.C., on Sunday. (Surrey Police Service)
 
An extortion czar was appointed this week by British Columbia Premier David Eby to address the problem of violent extortion wracking the Surrey suburb of Vancouver. The appointee is a former RCMP officer, Paul Dadwal, now in charge of a new community advisory committee to "close any gap between community members and police" in addressing frequent episodes of businesses in the province shaken down for protection money from gangsters. 
 
The federal government back in September placed the Lawrence Bishnoi gang -- an organized criminal group from India linked to many of the extortions -- on Canada's terrorist list. Canada's Public Safety Ministry advanced two RCMP helicopters in an effort to assist in combating the crisis. That crisis inspired Surrey City Council to place their community under  a state of emergency as foreign criminals exploit an overwhelmed Canadian immigration system.
 
Judging from the age of the three arrested criminals above, they entered Canada on student visas from India. It is a well known fact that thousands of young people from India obtain student visas to study at Canadian academic institutions, but never show up for classes and authorities have no idea where they end up. With an estimated 30% of the Surrey population originally from India, this is a demographic that has been relentlessly preyed upon by unscrupulous criminals entering Canada from India through Canada's well-known porous immigration system.
 
https://i.cbc.ca/ais/c5117a92-01ce-4aed-a988-a8e83208644d,1770080670904/full/max/0/default.jpg?im=Crop%2Crect%3D%280%2C379%2C6000%2C3332%29%3BResize%3D796
Around two dozen people turned out for the protest. (Ben Nelms/CBC)
 
The fearful embattled Indian-Canadian population in Surrey has called out for active and meaningful protection against these gangs. Plagued by threats, shootings and arsons, the criminals predominantly target the South Asian community. Crudely worded messages are sent to people and businesses, demanding cash from homes or businesses. Violence is the penalty for money not received. This menace to society's security in Surrey began in 2023.
 
Back then, the RCMP in British Columbia circulated an example of a typical extortion letter: a sheet of paper with 'WARNING' headlining the note below. "we are Indian gang members, we want our share from your business like protection money. we have links all over do not ignore us, it will efect you realy bad." What the illiterate message lacks in authority it more than makes up for in follow-up violence.
 
Small business enterprises such as auto shops were the first to be targeted, and since then local media have also become targets. A shooting attack hit the studios of Surrey's Swift 1200 AM last September. With the New Year, attacks accelerated. There are instances where businesses have been peppered with gunshots at night. On a daily basis Surrey Police announce a new shooting, threat or arson attack perpetrated by extortionists. January alone saw 36 separate extortion attacks tracked by police. 
 
Losing faith in authorities addressing the problem of criminality that has affected their lives, members of the target community have occasionally attempted to take responsibility for their own safety, reportedly shooting back. Surrey Police last month announced that homeowners were believed to have fired at alleged extortionists causing an investigation to be launched for 'vigilantism'.
 
An inefficient justice system and lax immigration have produced a double-pronged advantage for these criminal elements, who easily slip by immigration through Canada's well-known inefficiency in putting a stop to false refugee claims, and its penchant for handing out visas without due background checks, alongside a justice system that seems to favour allowing bail  to criminals who simply turn around and continue their criminal activities.
https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/vancouversun/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/png-0128n-surreyshooting-040_301016390.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=564&type=webp&sig=shVNr8iFP6hUxhmusOUoMg
In what may be an extortion related shooting, bullet holes are visible on a window of the Big Bazaar Indian grocery store at 8112 120th Street in Surrey on Wednesday morning Photo by Jason Payne /PNG
 
In December, as an example, all 15 Indian nationals that police had arrested in Surrey suspected of extortion-related crimes immediately resorted to claiming refugee status, knowingly exploiting Canada's asylum system. Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada had promised that asylum claims would not shield criminals from punishment, yet found that due to the "system" in place, removal procedures for accused criminals remain hampered.
 
Suspects are known to have entered the country on student visas leading to a surge of temporary migration that immigration officials cannot keep up with, neglecting even the most basic screening. In 2022 study permit holders soared to 807,000 in number. Some Bishnoi Gang extortionists have been among the hundreds of thousands to enter Canada on student visas. In Guelph, Ontario an accused double murderer killed a couple in a robbery less than a month after his arrival as a student.
 
Two hitmen accused of carrying out a 2023 assassination of a Sikh nationalist in Surrey, had also entered Canada on student visas, which they had boasted of having "obtained in a few days". And when criminal activity results in the charging and arrest of criminal suspects, Canada's justice system doesn't hesitate to give them bail. "The fear in our community is because [perpetrators[ are not getting punished", explained Surrey protest organizer Rasinder Kaur. 
 
https://i.cbc.ca/ais/8581a4e9-b19f-4c76-b2d6-e37ddaf67141,1769986088040/full/max/0/default.jpg?im=Crop%2Crect%3D%280%2C0%2C1183%2C788%29%3BResize%3D796
Three men have been charged after the shooting in Surrey's Crescent Beach neighbourhood early Sunday morning. (Shane MacKichan)

Labels: , , , , ,

Friday, February 06, 2026

Honouring Those to Whom Honour is Due

"I believe that in the geopolitical circumstances I was taking office ... the threats to the North were actually quite serious."
"I think I've been borne out in that regard, I didn't anticipate that being our southern neighbour."
"I think the reality is, the federal government manages this country right, puts the stress on unity and not on ideological tangents, and there's no reason why we can't pull the country together at this moment."
Former Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper 
 
"During his tenure as prime minister, Mr. Harper emphasized the importance of Arctic sovereignty to Canada, foreshadowing recent geopolitical developments in that region."
"His government oversaw the creation of Canada's first urban national park in the Rouge Valley, protected Sable Island as a national park reserve, expanded Nahanni National Park and created Naats'ihch'oh National Park in the Northwest Territories."
Royal Canadian Geographic Society press release 
https://canadiangeographic.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/IMG_2135-1440x960.jpg
Former prime ministers Jean Chrétien, left, and Stephen Harper, centre, take part in a discussion of Canadian unity moderated by RCGS CEO John Geiger. (Photo: Charlie Woolf/Can Geo)
 
When Stephen Harper was Canada's Conservative prime minister in three governments; a minority and two majorities, he focused on the Canadian Arctic and the need to protect it. At that time it was primarily Russia (and China) who contested Canada's boundaries in the Canadian Arctic. Russia began the militarization of the Russian Arctic, restoring old Siberian military bases, expanding and stationing Russian military operatives there. It claims the Lomonosov Ridge gives Russia entitlement over areas of the seabed allocated to Canada and Denmark.
 
Suddenly, it appears that although Russian claims while not diminished, have been pushed back somewhat in light of the Trump administration's claims that for security purposes against the malign intentions of Russia and China make it imperative for the United States to claim Denmark's Greenland as a protectorate of the U.S., to give it sole authority over the island, while casting the same type of ownership claims over the Canadian Arctic.
 
Mr. Harper, speaking on a panel at the Royal Canadian Geographic Society described his concerns over the necessity to reinforce Canada's Northern sovereignty. At the time he could never have envisioned that a threat to Canada's sovereignty in the North would emanate from the United States. Yet, there it is: U.S. President Trump argues for greater U.S. military presence in the Arctic, and where Greenland was involved, went so far as to suggest military action to achieve his goal. That threat of expansionism is interpreted by many,  to include Canada's northern territories.
 
As sea ice recedes, routes through the North West Passage presage a new era of shipping in routes from the Atlantic to the Pacific. Mercantile trade worldwide will be affected, and Northern nations stand to benefit from the potential easing of maritime routes in trade opportunities, which is precisely what has lured China to stake its own claim as a 'near-Arctic' (laughable as it is) stakeholder. Russia is prepared to begin mining for the natural resources known to entice interests from natural gas to minerals.
 
https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/nationalpost/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/icebreakers-1.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=564&h=423&type=webp&sig=WBkKtxV1w0ojqYluv9NZzg
 
Canada now is alert to a changing world order, and Mr. Harper exhorted the need to defend the nation's land, airspace and waterways, on its own, no longer depending on its neighbour to the south to respect its territorial integrity. He had ordered Arctic icebreakers to be built for Canada. The occasion of Mr. Harper's speech was linked to the Geographical Society's honouring the former prime minister with a gold medal to celebrate his outstanding public service on the 20-year anniversary of his first of three election wins that brought him to the prime ministership.
 
A few days later another event took place on Parliament Hill, the hanging of the former prime minister's official portrait. At that event he urged political parties to recognize the need for unity at this critical time in Canada's history; to work against "external forces that threaten our independence and against domestic policies that threaten our unity. We must preserve Canada, this country handed down to us by providence, preserved by our ancestors, and held in trust for our descendants." 
"He served as prime minister of Canada for nearly a decade -- the sixth-longest tenure in our history -- leaving an extensive record of policy and legislative accomplishments."
"In a political climate increasingly buffeted by noise, he brought composure, intellect and decisiveness to public life."
Liberal Prime Minister Marc Carney 
https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/nationalpost/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Harper-portrait.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=564&h=423&type=webp&sig=tqCDA5z3Mif4uH-cJbV7HA
Former prime minister Stephen Harper, right, at the unveiling of his official portrait during a ceremony in Ottawa, on Tuesday, Feb 3, 2026. Photo by HYUNGCHEOL PARK/Postmedia


Labels: , , , , ,

Thursday, February 05, 2026

ME -- The Stage Is Set ... Will the Play Commence?

"What they're doing is setting the theatre to provide an expanded set of offensive options should the president direct military strikes."
"[This time the administration does not appear to have such a] discrete objective [as was witnessed before strikes against the nuclear program in Iran last year]." 
Dana Stroul, former deputy assistant secretary of defence for the Middle East 
 
"[While Iran has the right to] operate professionally in international airspace and waters ... any unsafe and unprofessional behaviour near U.S. forces, regional partners or commercial vessels increases risks of collision, escalation, and destabilization."
U.S. Central Command
 
"[If the U.S. brings in more F-35s, that would suggest that it plans on] operating inside Iranian airspace in a more considerable way."
"[These movements -- of the U.S. fleet in the Red Sea and eastern Mediterranean -- indicate that] both the U.S. and Israel are very concerned about an Iranian retaliation against Israel, even if Israel is not directly involved."
Gregory Brew, senior Iran analyst, Eurasia Group
https://imageio.forbes.com/specials-images/imageserve/6966c84d024d1194b097d8f3/USS-Roosevelt/0x0.jpg?width=960&dpr=1
U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Indra Beaufort
 
Dozens of aircraft have been deployed by the U.S. military to bases near Iran, while some dozen warships have been assembled in or near the Middle East in the past month, according to satellite imagery, tracking data and U.S. defence officials. The stage certainly appears to be set for a potential U.S. strike against the Islamic Republic of Iran within a few weeks, as tensions continue to rise. Prior to strikes last year against the Iranian nuclear program, there was an even greater buildup of military might than on this occasion, lending an air of real uncertainty as to the outcome of what is currently a standoff between the abrasively defiant regime and the challenge of the powerful United States.
 
Not all experts on the Middle East and Iran are convinced that this show of force will culminate in an actual invasion to remove the Ayatollah-led, IRGC-fortified regime. The death toll from Iran's violent crackdown on protests is still rising, with activists and human rights groups claiming over 6,000 Iranians have been killed through the government crackdown, though some insist the death toll reaches even higher -- in the tens of thousands.  
 
President Trump speaks of his 'armada' whose purpose he hints, is to place pressure on Tehran over its nuclear program. Iran, he stated, is "talking to us, and we'll see if we can do something, otherwise, we'll see what happens".  For his part, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has stated "Just as (Iran) is ready for negotiations, it is also ready for war."  While "Structural arrangements for #negotiations are progressing", senior Iranian security official Ali Larijani stated on social media. 
 
https://imageio.forbes.com/specials-images/imageserve/6966c88534d465953d795d15/USS-Roosevelt/960x0.jpg?format=jpg&width=1440
U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Indra Beaufort
 
Accompanied by three guided missile destroyers, the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln entered Central Command's area of responsibility and is now in the north Arabian Sea. Air defences and dozens of missiles are carried by each destroyer, including Tomahawks, a type of munition U.S. forces used back in June when they struck Iranian nuclear targets. While historically the U.S. has maintained an aircraft carrier in the Middle East there had been none in the region, when the Lincoln was redirected from the South China Sea.
 
According to defence officials, at least eight other warships are now positioned in the area, including at least two guided-missile destroyers, the USS McFaul and USS Mitscher, near the Strait of Hormuz. In this same area in recent days, Iran deployed drones. Analysts identified an Iranian drone carrier from satellite imagery, the Shahid Bagheri. Over three dozen U.S. aircraft, among them fighter jets, drones and planes used for refuelling reconnaissance  and transport have been forwarded to U.S. bases.
 
F-15 aircraft from the squadron that fought the 12-day war between Israel and Iran in June have been deployed now, along with nine A-10C Thunderbolt IIs, used to protect groups on the ground from enemy forces, stationed at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan. America's ME allies like Jordan, the UAE and Saudi Arabia and Qatar have alerted Washington that they will not allow the U.S. to use the bases on their soil to attack Iran. Which is where the USS Lincoln steps into the picture since assaults can be launched directly from its position at sea.
 
EA-19G Growlers, electronic warfare aircraft that jam radars and disrupt communications which are on board the USS Lincoln, would be useful should the U.S. intend to enter Iranian airspace to hit targets in the interior. The USS Delbert D. Black visited Israel and left port from there on Sunday, moving further into the Red Sea. Additionally, two more destroyers are in the eastern Mediterranean, the USS Bulkeley and the USS Roosevelt, according to American defence officials. 
 
https://www.twz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/lincoln.jpg?w=1819&h=1023
USS Abraham Lincoln, The War Zone
  

Labels: , , , , ,

Wednesday, February 04, 2026

Recognizing Iran for Its Terrorist Credentials

 

"We need to name and shame the perpetrators."
"It stands out that the architect of all of this repression, Ayatollah Khamenei, is not on Canada's sanctions list."
Brandon Silver, director, policy and projects, Raoul Wallenberg Centre for Human Rights 
 
"It is very frustrating for Iranians to be walking the streets [of Canada] and [to] see our oppressors alongside with us and having no real tools to put them behind bars, even though we've reported many of them."
"We see them at our local gyms, we see their sons and daughters spending millions of dollars in expensive  houses, cars, living lavish life-styles, while our people back home can't afford even a loaf of bread."
Nazanin Afshin-Jam MacKay
 
"This is a moment, perhaps as significant as the Berlin Wall falling itself."
"Can you imagine for a moment what a world of peace might look like if we listen to the call of the Iranian people, of whom tens of thousands have now been brutally massacred?"
Conservative MP Shuvaloy Majumdar 
https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/torontosun/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/ont-iran-protest-20260201.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=564&h=423&type=webp&sig=mP0ZjBNYjFn9wIwdyQlVgw
 
In 2012, the-then Conservative government of Prime Minister Stephen Harper took the step of responding to the Islamic Republic of Iran's interference in Canadian affairs, its operatives' presence in Canada and the harassment of Iranian-Canadians, by closing the Iranian Embassy in Ottawa and obliging Iranian diplomats to leave. Some Iranian government assets were frozen. And Iran took steps to counter the situation by expelling Canada's diplomatic staff and closing the Canadian mission in Tehran.
 
When Justin Trudeau took over the helm of Canada's government in 2015 he mused for a while about restoring diplomatic relations with Iran. It became impossible to overlook the Iranian government's support of terrorism, the implications of its interference in Canada, including money laundering, so the diplomatic fissure remained. Eventually Canada outlawed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, placing them alongside Hezbollah and Hamas, its proxies, on Canada's terror list.
 
That occurred in the wake of the 2020 targeting of Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752 where 55 Canadian citizens were killed as the plane exploded in mid-air. The IRGC shot missiles at the airliner as it left the Iranian capital during a period of high tension, but Tehran denied the event until it no longer could, given the damning evidence. The al Quds branch of the IRGC has been involved in terrorist plots abroad targeting enemies of the regime, most notably from among the Jewish and Israeli eeecommunity.
 
https://justiceinconflict.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/iranprotests_db_01122026_a_a2147c_299112bbc83.jpg?w=1024
Demonstrators in Iran (MAHSA/Middle East Images/AFP/Getty Images)
 
The regime is known to have tasked Canadian expatriate Iranians to launch assassinations in the United States. Similarly assassination plots meant to take place in Canada were foiled by the RCMP; former federal Solicitor General Irwin Cotler was one of those on the Iranian assassination list, as a high-profile human rights campaigner. After the October 7 Iran-inspired-and-enabled Hamas atrocity in southern Israel, pro-Hamas protests on Canadian university campuses were promoted by Iran.
 
Iranian government agents as well as those belonging to the IRGC have notoriously moved about freely in Canada, both for personal relaxation in a country where their presence is not opposed by the government, and to pursue the Iranian objective of money laundering through Canadian real estate. Some 20 senior members of the regime have bypassed Canada's immigration system while others are under active investigation.  
 
Having done so, the government took no action on removing IRGC operatives from Canadian soil. Now, members of Parliament and human rights activists have joined in a move to press Canada's Liberal government to place pressure on Iran; the official sanctioning of its supreme leader and and focusing on an increased criminal investigation into regime perpetrators, would represent a good start for a government that has scarcely moved itself to mobilize condemnation against the regime that has been using military means to stifle a popular uprising demanding the end of the Iranian Republic dominating their lives.
 
Conservative MP Shuvaloy Majumdar, Liberal MP Miville-Dechene and Iranian Canadian human rights activist Nazanin Afshin-Jam MacKay joined other morally-principled activists in calling on Canada to make overtures to allies to list the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as the terrorist entity it is. An energetic commitment to advance investigation  into human rights violations perpetrators and crimes committed in Iran in response to mass protests that struck against the regime across the country is called for.
 
Brandon Silver of the Raoul Wallenberg Centre urged that such an "structural investigation" is required, to have the RCMP launch a thorough investigation for the purpose of assembling evidence implicating Canadian residents who have been involved in war crimes and atrocities. "We must go beyond issuing statements, we must act. This means supporting independent international investigations and treating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization in practice, not just in name", stated Afshin-Jam MacKay.
 
A timely call to action in the wake of thousands of Iranians killed by the Iranian regime's crackdown against widespread anti-government protests in January. While the European Union foreign ministers agreed to list the IRGC as a terrorist group last week, the United Kingdom has made no such commitment. 210 Iranian individuals and 254 Iranian entities have been sanctioned by Canada under the criminal code. Yet only one such IRGC designation has resulted in deportation. 
 
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/cpsprodpb/e6b7/live/13b0a610-2e75-11ef-ba8d-a9b9bfa74cb0.jpg.webp
The IRGC is a major military, political and economic force in Iran   EPA
 

Labels: , , , , , ,

Tuesday, February 03, 2026

"Choose Another Fighter"

"Obviously we're looking at the important questions around Canada's security and over sovereignty."
"We have to consider facts like interoperability, we have to consider facts like benefits, industrial benefits around the country, something that's being worked out."
"And, so what's happening now is no final decision has been made, and the review continues."
Defence Minister David McGuinty 
 
"Canada has been flying different aircraft from the USAF in NORAD for 40+ years and controls its jets through Winnipeg, and the F-35s stealth is irrelevant in NORAD because Russian bombers do not have air-to-air radar."
"[Hoekstra is] babbling nonsense." 
Bill Sweetman, U.S. aviation writer 
 
"The F-35 remains the most advanced fighter in the world, but too many of them are sitting idle."
"The readiness rates of our aircraft continue to fall short of Pentagon goals."
Republican Senator Roger Wicker
 
"[Estimates for maintenance were factored into future defence spending plans]."
"DMD remains committed to minimizing future cost growth for the F-35 and continues to work with partner Nations acquiring the planes under the F-35 program in implementing appropriate cost containment measure."
Department of National Defence spokeswoman Cheryl Forest 
https://www.aerotime.aero/images/USAF-Lockheed-F-35-Lightning-II-stealth-fighter-jet-in-formation-with-two-Czech-Saab-Gripen-jets-800x500.jpg
USAF-Lockheed F-35 Lightning Jet   Soos Jozsef / Shutterstock.com
 
U.S. Ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra has on occasion relieved himself of frustration over Canada['s hesitation to fully commit to ordering 88 F-35 fighter jets, hovering between settling for a  quarter of that number and turning to Sweden's Gripens to make up the balance; a far less expensive cost with a reliability and performance record that now appears to match that of the F-35s, with far less maintenance and fewer breakdowns. 
 
The U.S., Mr. Hoekstra huffed recently didn't need anything from Canada. Followed by a warning that Canada could face dire consequences should the Canadian government fail to commit  unreservedly to the F-35s. Failure to commit would, he warned, alter the U.S.-Canada NORAD agreement given that the Gripens would not be as 'interchangeable, interoperable' with the F-35s. Moreover, he warned darkly, the US. may have to resort to flying its F-35s into Canadian airspace to meet any perceived threats.
 
A review of Canada's purchase of F-35 prospect had been ordered by the Liberal government following threats by US. President Donald Trump against Canadian sovereignty. Canada has committed to buying 16 of the jets, and whether to proceed with purchasing another 72 of the stealth fighters has yet to be decided. The Royal Canadian Air Force argues that the F-35 is superior to the Saab Gripen.
 
https://www.aerotime.aero/images/2025/12/Saab-Gripen-and-GlobalEye-1200x800.jpg
Saab
 
Previously it  was reported, but unconfirmed, that the purchase of 40 F-35s and up to 80 Gripens  was being considered by the Liberal government. The F-35s to be used in North America defence and the Gripens meant for use on other operations. According to those supporting the F-35s, the Gripens cannot be used in conjunction with the stealth fighter since they are not interoperable with the U.S. jets. 
 
Defence insiders reject that contention, marking it as a marketing ploy by manufacturer Lockheed Martin and the Trump administration.  Sweden, Hungary and the Czech Republic in fact use Gripens that have flown with the F-35s in NATO. There are complicating issues for Canada with the F-35 acquisition given the software updates to the F-35s for operational purposes. The concern is that a hostile government could decide to stop upgrades which would render the jets unusable.
 
https://images.ladbible.com/resize?type=webp&quality=70&width=640&fit=contain&gravity=auto&url=https://images.ladbiblegroup.com/v3/assets/blt949ea8e16e463049/blt7b96748ab5f8f8f2/69790e68f8ca3abfc8f4bb17/GettyImages-2242218873_(1).jpg
The Saab-made Swedish Gripen fighter jet has become a cornerstone of eastern Europe's defense (Jonathan Nackstrand / AFP)
 
Added to the fact that the U.S. continues to own all parts for F-35s purchased by Canada, even those siting within Canadian bases. The issue of spare parts has the potential to compromise Canadian national security or operational effectiveness. Rasmus Jarlov, head of the Danish parliament's defence committee is deeply concerned over his country deciding that the F-35 would remain its sole operational fighter jet in the wake of President Trump's threats over Greenland.
 
An academic paper by the Canadian Forces College noted that the F-35 jets require significant support equipment, and problems procuring spare parts for the planes along with other maintenance issues affect the level of readiness of the fleet. The F-35A, the variant considered purchasing by Canada, achieved a full mission-capable rate of a mere 36 percent in 2023. Unease over costs was augmented when the U.S. government's audit agency reported costs in sustaining the F-35 fleet kept rising, leaving the Pentagon planning to fly the aircraft less than estimated originally, resulting from ongoing reliability issues.
 
The U.S. Congressional Budget Office noted in 2025 that the U.S. had been flying the F-35 since 2011, with significant problems. Availability and use lower than those of other fighter aircraft of the same vintage. "For example, the average availability rate of a 7-year-old F-35A has been about the same as that of a 36-year-old F15C/D and a 17-year-old F-22", the Budget Office report stated.   
"Choose another fighter jet."
"They're in for repairs about half the time or even more."
"The Americans have all the power of actually destroying our air force just by shutting down [parts] supplies."
Rasmus Jarlov, head, Danish parliament defence committee 
https://i.cbc.ca/ais/ca07ed2b-36f9-4daa-a092-a09f211db61a,1769799323134/full/max/0/default.jpg?im=Crop%2Crect%3D%280%2C89%2C1024%2C576%29%3BResize%3D860
An F-35 is seen being assembled at the Lockheed Martin factory in Fort Worth, Texas. Canada's first F-35 is expected to be delivered this year. (Chris Hanoch/Lockheed Martin)
 

Labels: , , ,

Terra Nullius -- Svalbard: Cold Shore

"Norway now finds itself in the most serious security situation since 1945."
"[Svalbard has for too long been seen by nations as a place where] everyone who wants to can come up and do almost whatever they want."
"That's not the fact. This is Norwegian sovereign territory. So we're making that a bit clearer."
Eivind Vad Petersson State Secretary, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Norway 
https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/styles/1400x600/s3/2023-09/GettyImages-1240741560_Crop1.jpg?VersionId=mWKSkGPe0GKiiz9cG_mcY1Bo2xQci7Ps&h=266da715&itok=RNVD8uor
The Svalbard Archipelago   Photo: Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP via Getty Images
 
Following World War 1, Norway's claim to the Arctic archipelago and its islands was officially recognized. The Svalbard Treaty of 1920 banned the presence of activity linked to the military while granting all other nations choosing to sign on to the agreed-upon treaty access to hunting, fishing, mining and land ownership. Over the years, close to fifty countries added their names to the treaty which allowed them access.
 
Of late, studies of the geology of Svalbard and the ocean floor surrounding it have identified vast amounts of copper, zinc, cobalt, lithium and rare earth elements buried in the ocean floor. These are eagerly-sought-after minerals that power electric car battery technologies and wind turbines. It was  generally taken that the Svalbard Treaty granted signatories rights to its surrounding seas and seabed. Until January 2024 when Norway's governing party announced it would pursue deep-sea mineral exploration in an enormous sweep of its seabed.
 
The remote, frigid island, viewed as hostile to human life on a prolonged basis where minus 34 Celsius temperatures were not unknown, were initially home to Norwegian miners and Russian fur trappers. Longyearbyen, Svalbard's largest town, these days boasts candlelit restaurants, hotels, daily flights to the mainland, and is home to 2,500 people from 50 countries. According to the town's mayor, a surge in investment, official visits and strategic attention has recently focused on Svalbard.
 
https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/styles/original_aspect_ratio_style/s3/2023-09/230913_ERE_Svalbard_Map.jpg?VersionId=6St.B4o5DWrkzOdGqX9xuMpPNfkmFdoO&itok=OWDx1xTK

 
Recently, the Energy Ministry of Norway publicly declared that Norway's goal in exploiting the natural geology of the area had a defined purpose; the goal of "profitable and sustainable" pursuit of seabed minerals, including the seabed around Svalbard. As Norway moves toward consolidating its sovereign rule over the island, its attitude toward foreigners and civil rights has hardened. Foreigners since 2021 were able to cast a vote in the political arena. 
 
That changed when authorities declared that voting in local elections would be off limits to foreigners living on Svalbard if they had not lived on Norway's mainland for the previous three years. "Should have been done a long time ago", said Mr. Petersson. The Svalbard Treaty guaranteed "equal access, not equal rights", he said, pointing out that in other countries foreigners are not given the right to vote. 
 
Svalbard is located about 800 kilometers from the North Pole, one of the only places on Earth where instant connection is possible with polar-orbiting satellites, leading to uninterrupted, clearer feeds and faster downloading speeds; more advantageous than anywhere else on the planet. In fact SvalSat, the world's largest satellite downloading station is based on Svalbard. 
 
https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/styles/original_aspect_ratio_style/s3/2023-09/GettyImages-1240634673.jpg?VersionId=QZhSaW8ej6MSzDQa6fE02YGYNHnnPq6Z&itok=xu5dbLeF

Telecommunications domes of KSAT, Kongsberg Satellite Services, on a mountain near Longyearbyen. Photo: Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP via Getty Images 

Fur traders from the Pomor region in northwestern Russia arrived at Svalbard some 300 years ago. The Soviets established several coal mining towns in Svalbard a century ago and had signed the Treaty. Of the mining towns, only one, Barentsburg, remains and still operates minimally. Once there was a population of 1,000, now reduced to around 300. One Russian official claimed the archipelago should be renamed the "Pomor Islands".
 
A powerful radar system monitoring space weather and the atmosphere is at the service of Chinese scientists. Data gathered from this equipment have been shared with the China Research Institute of Radiowave Propagation, a Chinese defense organization. Members of the U.S. House Select Commission on the Chinese Communist Party are convinced China is performing military research on Svalbard in defiance of the Treaty proscription. 
 
Outside the Yellow River Station where the Chinese scientists live a pair of granite lions stands guard.  
Norway ordered the Chinese to remove the lions, each of which weighs 900 kilograms, installed 20 years ago when the Chinese government agents arrived on Svalbard. For the first time last summer, the archipelago's sole university,   the University Center, operated by the Norwegian government, barred entry to Chinese students, identified by Norwegian intelligence agencies as a potential security risk. 
 
Criticisms of China's activities represent "nothing but distortion of facts and groundless speculation", according to officials at the the Chinese Embassy in Norway. As for the lions standing guard, they continue to remain where they were placed two decades earlier. 
"While the Russian geopolitical threat remains paramount, Chinese encroachments facilitated by an isolated Russia may complicate the Arctic security landscape in the longer term. The coast guard agencies of Russia and China recently signed a cooperation agreement on strengthening maritime law enforcement to great fanfare in Murmansk, a city on Russia’s western flank close to Norway."
"Moreover, when all other Arctic coast guard agencies suspended their participation in the Arctic Coast Guard Forum, Russia invited China to join the forum—clear signs of China’s expanding presence in the High North."
"As Iris A. Ferguson, U.S. deputy assistant secretary of defense for arctic and global resilience, has put it, Chinese efforts aim “to normalize its presence and pursue a larger role in shaping Arctic regional governance and security affairs.”"
Center for Strategic and International Studies  
https://www.thearcticinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Lenin-statue_Pyramiden-Svalbard.jpg
The world’s northernmost Lenin statue looks over the abandoned Russian city of Pyramiden on Svalbard, summer 2018. Photo: Alina Bykova
 

Labels: , , , , ,

Monday, February 02, 2026

Autocratic Regimes

"[Havana] aligns itself -- and provides support to numerous hostile countries, transnational terrorist groups and malign actors adverse to the United States [including Russia, China and Iran]."
"[The communist government provides] defense, intelligence and security assistance to adversaries in the Western Hemisphere [while violating the human rights of its citizens]."
"[Cuba] will be failing pretty soon. They got their oil from Venezuela. They're not getting that anymore."
"[I will impose tariffs on any country that] directly or indirectly provides oil to Cuba."  
U.S. President Donald J. Trump 
 
"We did not touch on the topic of Cuba [during their 40-minute telephone conversation], and in the evening then this [executive order] came out."
"The imposition of tariffs on countries that provide oil to Cuba could create a far-reaching humanitarian crisis [severely impacting the operations of hospitals, the electrical grid and the food supply]." 
"[Cuba is currently] going through a difficult moment [but Mexico cannot be put] at risk in terms of the tariffs."  
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum  
https://i.cbc.ca/ais/74cb9521-b1dd-4f6b-b086-64f47ac356a2,1769814708002/full/max/0/default.jpg?im=Crop%2Crect%3D%280%2C0%2C3339%2C2268%29%3BResize%3D796
A drone view shows the Pajaritos terminal of Mexico's state-owned oil company Pemex, in Coatzacoalcos, Veracruz state. (Angel Hernandez/Reuters)
 
An executive order was signed on Thursday by U.S. President Donald Trump when he declared Cuba represented an "unusual and extraordinary threat" to U.S. national security for which tariffs would be imposed on all U.S. imports from any country supplying Cuba with oil. In the wake of the lightning military raid on Caracas in mid-January that took Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro into U.S. custody for trucking with drug cartels, Mr. Trump turned his attention directly on Cuba.
 
Subsequent to the raid, the Trump administration now controls Venezuela's oil exports and took the occasion to block deliveries of oil to Cuba, long reliant on its regional ally in Venezuela to supply it with petroleum. Mexico, under critical trade duress found it necessary to cancel its latest scheduled delivery for the month to Cuba, taking into account the looming renegotiation of Mexico's free-trade pact with the United States and Canada.
 
Under these constraining issues, the sobering 'sovereign decision' was made to temporarily halt Mexican oil shipments to Cuba. Earlier in the day following the Trump order appearing on the White House website, the Cuban government attempted to rally Latin American and Caribbean neighbours to its rescue. "The peace, security and stability of Our America are in danger", Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez stated in a social media post, denouncing the U.S. for imposing "peace through force".
 
In an appearance before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee the day before, Secretary of State Marco Rubio -- of Cuban descent -- was asked whether he would rule out forcing "regime change" in Cuba. "I think we would like to see that regime change", responded Mr. Rubio. "That doesn't mean that we're going to make a change, but we would love to see a change. There's no doubt about the fact that it would be of great benefit to the United States if Cuba was no longer governed by an autocratic regime"
 
Long dependent on Venezuelan supplies of oil which it trades for security and medical personnel with Venezuela under Maduro and previously Hugh Chavez, Cuba produces little oil of its own. Imports averaged 37,000 barrels daily, the bulk of which arrived from Venezuela in 2025. Cuba is now left with a mere 15 to 20 days of oil, according to the Financial Times. Island-wide blackouts are common and frequent, impacting basic human services like drinking water.
 
https://i.cbc.ca/ais/bea02522-c182-4e02-8a34-e15e9940e365,1769814792500/full/max/0/default.jpg?im=Crop%2Crect%3D%280%2C0%2C6049%2C4032%29%3BResize%3D796
Preparing dinner during a blackout in Havana on Wednesday, as Cubans from all walks of life hunker into survival mode, navigating seemingly interminable blackouts and soaring prices for food, fuel and transport as the U.S. increases pressure on the communist‑run nation. (Reuters)
 
Signing a new defence co-operation pact with Havana last fall, Moscow pledged $1 billion in investment over the next five years in efforts to retain a hemispheric foothold. Diplomatic support has emanated to Cuba by both China and Russia. The determination of the U.S. to direct oil supplies away from Cuba along with a fleet of navy and coast guard ships in the Caribbean for operations against Venezuela tasked to stop drug smuggling, the oil blockade of Cuba was next on the agenda.
 
Seven sanctioned oil tankers carrying Venezuelan crude have been seized by the U.S. to date -- blockading legitimate shipments to Cuba risks global criticism of violating international law, according to maritime experts. In response to questions in the immediate aftermath of the Caracas raid, the U.S. president responded that he felt no additional actions were required against Cuba, since lacking oil from Venezuela, "Cuba looks like it's ready to fall"
 
 

Labels: , , , , , ,

Follow @rheytah Tweet