"You
will have heard a debate in Germany -- and that's one of the issues the
next government will address -- of reintroducing conscription. And all
of that is because we see what's happening on the Russian side, how the
Russians are re-arming, doubling their military forces and clearly
preparing for a possible confrontation beyond Ukraine."
"European
leaders and German leaders take [this] very seriously. And this is why,
if we want to underpin the defence plans we have with capability -- and
that's really what it's all about -- and you make the calculation of
what that will cost you will end up significantly higher than two
percent [NATO goal] and this is what the discussion should be about."
"The
German government has said time and again that any settlement regarding
Ukraine, first and foremost, has to be in the hands of the Ukrainians."
"We
will never accept any dictated arrangement. European leaders and the
Ukrainian president have been very clear that we need a settlement that
really ends this war and not something that is just a prelude to the
next aggression."
German Ambassador to Canada Tjorven Bellmann
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| Russia may be using bots on the Telegram messaging app to
enhance the lethality of Geran-2 drones, which have been attacking
Ukraine in increasing numbers, according to a report by The Economist. |
In
the midst of desperately attempting to successfully counter Moscow's
'Special Military Operation', and pursuing the diplomatic circuit in
Europe and North America, Ukraine also faces increasing concern over how
it can secure badly neeeded U.S.-produced Patriot air defence systems.
Stockpiles provided to Ukraine during the previous U.S. Biden
administration are shrinking badly. That the new Trump government is
disinterested in providing Ukraine with fresh arms has become
increasingly obvious, with U.S. President Donald Trump's belligerence
toward Ukraine, and friendly relations with Russia's Vladimir Putin.
Bombarding
Ukraine with drones and cruise missiles, Ukraine fears the ballistic
missiles Russia has been sending across the border. Patriot missiles are
the sole formula for countering Russian ballistic missiles which travel
several miles each second. In power plant strikes by Moscow in 2023 and
2024, ballistic missiles obliterated fifty percent of Ukraine's power
capacity. Speed and size and difficulty in inerception make ballistic
missiles extremely effective weapons in Russia's arsenal, aiming at
pulverizing infrastructure.
Over
the Memorial Day weekend Ukraine's air defence forces were unable to
intercept any of the nine ballistic missiles Russia launched from
Saturday night to early Sunday. According to Ukraine's air defence
forces, two of the Russian missiles were directed at Kyiv, where two
Patriot units are stationed. The launch sites are in place, but the
Patriot missiles are missing in action. Along with the ballistic
missiles, Russia fired over 900 drones and 65 cruise missiles,
representing some of the largest strikes of the war as Russia ramps up
its attacks.
 |
Despite the fact that Russian ballistic
missiles can now deviate from their trajectory, Patriot systems are
successfully intercepting them. One of the latest indicators is 6 out of
9 missiles intercepted Espreso |
Withholding
any promises of additional military aid to Ukraine, U.S. President
Trump condemned Russia for the attacks launched aganst Ukraine on
Sunday. When President Trump wrote that Russian President Putin "has gone absolutely CRAZY!", Putin's spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, spoke of the comment as "connected to an emotional overload of everyone involved". If Ukraine desperately wants anything from the United States at this juncture, it is more Patriot missiles and launchers.
"Which, frankly, we don't have",
responded Secretary of State Marco Rubio at a Senate Foreign Relations
Committee hearing. Instead, according to Mr. Rubio, the United States is
"encouraging" its allies in NATO to donate Patriot missiles and systems from their own stockpiles, adding that "not one of these countries want to give up their Patriot systems, either." The U.S. needs to keep a certain amount for its own defence, "in case of an attack from Iran or another adversary", confided an unidentified diplomat.
In
strictly practical terms under the new U.S. administration it is well
understood by Ukrainian officials that the Trump administration would be
prepared to sell them more Patriots, not as aid, but representing
military sales. Washington, acording to a senior Ukrainian official is
not expected to block the sale of future air defence systems, but the
White House "will
not give it away for free. They think like business people. If I give
you something, you have to give me something in return. We have to adapt
to this."
Russia,
on the other hand, is not lacking support from its own allies, with
North Korea supplying the Kremlin with some 250 ballistic missiles since
last fall, acording to Ukraine's military intelligence. Russia used
North Korean KN-23 missiles in six of nine ballistic attacks in May,
including the massive Sunday attack on Ukraine. Germany was given
permission by the Trump administration to re-export Patriot materials to
Kyiv following the signing by Ukraine of a minerals deal with
Washington.
German
Defence Minister Boris Pistorius informed reporters recently that his
country would give Patriot missiles to Ukraine along with four IRIS-T
systems, short-to-medium-range weapons, effective against cruise, but
not ballistic missiles. Additionally, Berlin plans to send Ukraine its
older PAC-2 Pariot missiles, not as effective as intercepting ballistic
missiles, but useful, withal. Russian Iskander missiles were involved in
dozens of civilians having beeen killed in attacks.
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| Ukraine cannot replace the Patriots for defending civilians against Russian ballistic attacks. Getty Images |
"And
this concerns questions like territorial integrity, security
guarantees, the size and might of future armed forces in Ukraine,
political sovereignty and choice of alliances."
"Putin
could end this war today, if he wanted to, but we don't see any serious
readiness on the Russian side to even engage in serious talks."
"All
of what we see and the answers that the Russian president has given
these past days and weeks is only more aggression and bloodshed and
continuing the war."
"All
of us want this war to end -- nobody more than the Ukrainians -- but it
has to end in a way that brings true peace and not the next
aggression."
German Ambassador to Canada Tjorven Bellmann