Saturday, May 22, 2021

Negotiating With Islamist Terrorists

"As I read history, when a nation's problems become this complex and they are not solved, that could result in violence and revolutions and other unwanted things."
"Water is very soft, but if you put it under pressure, it will explode."
Burhanuddin Rabbani,1990 President of the Afghan Islamic Republic, head, Afghan High Peace Council 

"If the army collapses, and the army is divided along ethnic lines, then I think Afghanistan will be facing a time like in Rwanda."
"You have millions of girls and women going to school and university, and it is impossible now to push them back."
Azis Royesh, Afghan education activist
People inspect the wreckage the day after a car bomb in Pul-e-Alam
The Taliban bombing in Pul-e-Alam on Friday killed at least 24 people   Reuters
 
Throughout its long history Afghanistan has been invaded and occupied countless times. The country has known conflict and bloodshed on a fairly continual basis. The occupation it now awaits is that of the Pashtun Taliban, resurgent and prepared to mount a full-scale war against the established government. That government is committed to an Afghan version of democracy, the Taliban view that as despicable surrender to Western values, and they are prepared to resume where they left off, governing Afghanistan before the U.S.-led invasion following 9/11, in pursuit of al Qaeda and Osama bin Laren.

Western nations led by the United States, NATO members under the auspices of the United Nations, routed the ruling Taliban that had kept the country in the iron grip of Islamist sharia law where anything resembling the values of the West was strictly proscribed, and women in particular were considered mere appendages of men, with no life of their own, relegated to home, kitchen and nursery. No education, no employment, total poverty of opportunity, total dependence on men.

The women of Afghanistan who prospered mightily with the presence of occupying Western troops stationed in the country to keep pushing back an ever-renascent Taliban, spring after spring, accessing education, joining professions, living as equal a life as possible in a Muslim society, now anticipate with dread the return of the Taliban. 
 
The U.S. and its allies have long wanted to depart Afghanistan, pulling out all troops, For years the international community and humanitarian NGOs helped modernize the country's civil infrastructure. Just as the foreign military committed to training the country's national police and military in best modern military practices with the intention of teaching them to fend for themselves and commit solidly to protect the embattled nation.

U.S. Black Hawk military helicopters fly over the city of Kabul, Afghanistan, on April 19. (Rahmat Gul/The Associated Press)

After the long weary years of preparing Afghanistan to look after its interests as a civil society and its military to respond to violent provocations, communication between the Taliban and the U.S. to arrange a ceasefire and agreement leading to shared governance of the country -- not to reward or to trust the Taliban but in acknowledgement of the fact that they remain strong and as lethal to accommodation as ever and in a last-gap effort to create some hope before leaving, entrust the future of the country to an accommodation between the government of Afghan President Ashraf Gani and the Taliban for a rapprochement. 

As a signal of what lies in wait, all the while these negotiations were being carried on -- between the U.S. and Taliban representatives, since the Taliban leaders refused to acknowledge the authority of the Afghan government, considering it a puppet of the U.S., violent attacks by the Taliban against foreign troops, against the country's government and the civilian population were ongoing. Scores of innocent people died in Taliban suicide attacks all over the country.

Now that foreign troops will depart entirely by September, the people of Afghanistan gird themselves psychologically for the horrendous scenario they know will  result, when the Taliban embark on a mission to destroy infrastructure tainted by Western design and purpose, target and murder those whom they consider to have been too warmly involved with the foreign presence, and settle scores with other ethnic groups before once again settling in as government and a dark mantle of Islamist tyranny settles in.
Afghan National Army soldiers search men at a road checkpoint on the outskirts of Kabul, Afghanistan, on Thursday. (Wakil Kohsar/AFP/Getty Images)
 
According to some knowledgeable estimates there will be an initial upheaval and bloodletting. Some Afghan intellectuals foresee the possibility of the country's partition, separating the majority Afghans from the Pashtuns dominated by the Taliban. Pakistan's dark presence over Afghanistan has, in effect, led to the formation of the mujahadeen, the terrorizing Taliban that were originally trained by the Pakistan Secret Intelligence Service in Pakistan's interests in retaining Afghanistan as a vassal state.

Throughout the 'peace' talks and the preparatons under way to see the foreign presence in Afghanistan depart, leaving the country and its government fully exposed to whatever the Taliban has in store, the slaughter and bloodshed that never stopped, occurring even in the protected capital Kabul, has more than adequately informed Afghans what the near future holds for them. Of the 39 million population, 40 percent are Pashtun who consider the ethnic Tajiks, Uzbeks, Almak, Turkmen and Hazaras inferior and unequal.

The month of Ramadan just concluded, 24 hours following the Eid holiday, the government of Afghanistan recorded 110 attacks in 23 of Afghanistan's 34 provinces. Nothing has changed about the Taliban and their mission, nothing has changed for the Taliban; whatever methods they made use of a decade ago remain the methods used today. As head of the Afghan High Peace Council, Burhanuddin Rabbani was assassinated by an emissary of the Taliban whom he assumed had arrived to discuss a solution to the conflict but when the emissary detonated a bomb he wore in his turban in September 2011, that hope faded.

It has been kept in that condition ever since ... hope steadily fading ... and now with the departure of foreign troops and the assurances to the Afghan government that yes, most certainly, you'll reach an agreement, working things out between yourselves, share government and all will be well, assumes the proportions of a massive lie of face-saving. When nothing will now save the people of Afghanistan from a violent upheaval and ultimate tyranny in the living hell of full-blown terror ahead.

US troops training the Afghan Army 215th Corp in Helmand, July 2016
The withdrawal will be completed by 11 September   BBC

 

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Monday, April 22, 2019

Nothing Succeeds Like Success

"I am a staunch supporter of my country establishing diplomatic ties with Israel. I know many people who are in favor of this move. Like myself they wonder why it has taken this long." 
"[Israel has0 immense influence in the region and throughout the world. I am convinced that forging ties with Israel will be in our [Somalia's] mutual interest. One of the reasons we need to establish ties with Israel sooner rather than later is to bring an end to the war of the extremists that is being waged against our people on a daily basis. The bloodletting of our people must end sooner rather than later and we will need all the help we can get to achieve this goal."
"I believe Israel can help us swing the pendulum of violence in our country’s favor. Israel can also open doors for Somalia because of its sheer influence. They say time and tide wait for no man and I believe ties with Israel should have been established a long time ago. But this is now something I have taken on as a mission that must be accomplished."
"The Palestinians are their worst enemies. They never miss an opportunity to miss a chance. They are idiots and losers in Gaza. They should be condemned each time they attack civilians. It is in our interest to welcome Israel.:
"As you know, our country is dependent on the international community for support and solidarity, and the practice of anti-Semitism in our government is unacceptable if not unthinkable. Bigotry in our government is against everything we stand for as a nation."
"There are over 20 Muslim countries that have diplomatic ties with Israel… There is absolutely no reason why Somalia too should not establish diplomatic ties with Israel."
"You are making it like coming out of a closet. I don’t see it that way. To the contrary, I think forging ties with Israel is in the national interest of my country. We can only ignore regional and global trends at [our own] peril."
Abdullahi Dool, senior Somali diplomat, fired for publicly advocating the establishment of formal relations with Israel


Hostility to Israel and the threats and violence that have characterized its neighbours' reaction to Israel's presence in the Middle East have undergone a sea change. Israel is located in a tough neighbourhood. Where tribal, clan and sectarian loyalties represent collaberative alliances and irrepressible flare-ups of antagonistic fervour. The nations of the Middle East, with its ethnic and tribal histories of warfare simmer beneath the facade of civilized demeanor, but none is too far from flare-ups reflecting a history of challenging one another for existential resources.

Even at a time when the oil sheikdoms, kingdoms and tyrannies have found themselves a source of wealth through the simple extraction of petroleum resources naturally endowed in the region, jealousies and power manoeuvring, along with sectarian hostilities ensures that suspicion rules. The people of Muslim-majority countries, tiring of the constant state of manipulated indebtedness to their rulers at a time when mass communication invites them to see how free people in democratic nations live in more equitably-shared wealth and personal freedoms, agitate for change.

Benjamin Netanyahu and Qaboos Al-Said (VOA)

Current-day challenges and distractions along with ongoing divisions between more fundamentalist sharia-observing nations and less restrictive administrations opening themselves to European and Western types of governance and cultural refinements have tempered Sunni-led resistance to Israel's presence, moving from violent military attacks to isolating Israel, to finally relaxing relations toward toleration however grudging in character and critical outwardly, while discreetly opening diplomatic relations.

The rise of Iran's revolutionary Shi'ism and its stealth plans to dominate the region, first by making itself indispensable to the incitement of hatred against Israel through its dedicated aspirations of destroying its presence on 'consecrated' Islamic ground, carefully nurturing terrorist groups cradling a like agenda for themselves while orchestrating attacks against Jewish targets outside the Middle East has ensured that Israel's attention turned from its erstwhile adversaries' threats, now muted, to that of the Islamic Republic of Iran's.

Iran has succeeded in establishing a critical mass in a pincer movement pushing Arab Muslim countries into defensive mode in recognition of its threat inherent in a Shi'ite crescent including Lebanon, Syria, (nominally Qatar and Iraq) and Yemen, minorities though they may be in comparison to the majority Sunni states. Its insistence on establishing itself as a regional power and its unstoppable aspiration to acquire nuclear weapons concern the majority Sunnis. That they and Israel recognize a common enemy has aided their rapprochement.

Arab Inter-Parliamentary Union Flags

AE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt Reject Text Opposing Normalization with Israel at Inter-Arab Forum


Arabs respect power and might. They have no use for half-measures, for reassurances of accommodation in a civilized mode of conciliation. Military prowess as a show of strength and purpose is what gains their respect as opposed to appeasement in the interests of accommodation which is viewed as a sign of weakness. Israel has fought every step of the way to attain its statehood and to protect it from superior military numbers to its own; each of the conflicts forced upon the Jewish state was forcefully dealt with in Israel's favour.

The Arab powers might be angry and resentful but they also admire the determination and strength that achieved that outcome and with that came respect and the self-admission that their own stability in the region might be better achieved with cooperation with Israel against a common enemy. The Arab states became wealthy not because of entrepreneurial skills, scientific achievement, intellectual capability, but because they could rely on the riches of natural resources.

Israel became a power house of technical advances in water desalinzation and purification, agricultural expertise -- but also in advanced science, medicine and technology.

Buildings hit by Houthi rockets in Najran, Saudi Arabia, August 2016. Photograph: Reuters

Recognizing the need for diversification and to achieve skills in entrepreneurship to augment reliance on oil shipments abroad, and tourism, along with the need to protect themselves from the malignant plans of Persian Shi'ite Iran, it's little wonder the grudging admission that peace with Israel became an option, where any manner of 'normalcy' with the Jewish state up to now was anathema. The Palestinians are livid with this state of affairs, which they stigmatize as abandonment of their cause; it was those Arab states to begin with, that assured Palestinians in 1948 that Israel would be destroyed and Palestinians could return to 'their' land.

Alexander Shatilov shown on the screen singing along with Israel’s national anthem “HaTikvah” after winning a gold medal at the Gymnastics World Cup in Doha, Qatar. Photo: Screenshot.

Now, the United Arab Emirates has opened civil diplomatic relations with Israel. Prime Minister Netanyahu visited Oman with mutual compliments exchanged and interest expressed in forging closer alliances. A number of African nations have declared themselves interested in opening closer relations with Israel, thanks to Israel's active and deliberate outreach program. Qatar's Artistic Gymnastics World Cup featured an Israeli winning gold, with the Israeli national anthem and flag played and flown for the first time in an Arab state.

UN peacekeepers with a billboard showing Iran’s late leader Ayatollah Khomeini after the Israel-Hezbollah war, southern Lebanon, September 2006. Photograph: Francois Mori/AP

There was a time when Iran, under Shah Mohammad Rezi Pahlavi, before the 1979 Iranian Revolution, had good, stable relations with Israel. Turkey, until the ascension of Recep Tayyip Erdogan's Islamist Justice and Development Party had close collaborative relations with Israel, since deteriorated beyond repair. The Middle East and Muslim nations are nothing if not changeable and occasionally beyond fissionable.

Which brings us to Israel's relations with the Palestinians, Fatah and Hamas, the former a covert terrorist group, the latter overt, but both sharing a like goal; the elimination of Israel.

They have become lifelong enemies of Israel, aspirants to possession of the heritage Judaic land on which Israel sits. Both have inspired hatred and vengeance in their young through tutoring hate in school curricula, youth camps, television programs, to ensure the next generation of Palestinians willing and able to engage in violent assaults against Jews will not be terminated. Those who die in the attempt to extract life from Jews become celebrated martyrs whom schools, squares, public centers and soccer fields are named after, as heroes.

Palestinian 'protesters' on the border between Israel and the Gaza Strip, October 2018. Photograph: Mohammed Saber/EPA

Palestinian terrorists who plot violence against Israel, who are imprisoned for murdering Jews, are paid salaries by the Palestinian Authority. They view it as their sacred obligation to themselves to make certain that their population hates, fears and pledges to violence against Jews. The Palestinians, had they agreed to reconciliation, cooperation and a peace agreement, could at many junctures over the years have had a state of their own, and with that state as neighbours of Israel they would have benefited hugely, industrially, economically.

They chose, time and again, not to. The allure was vengeance.

Now, Arab states in their aggregate have come around to deciding otherwise, seeking economic benefits from connecting with Israel; seeing benefits that can accrue to them in many spheres of an improved economic, technological, scientific collaborative future with a capitalistic, democratic, liberal nation next to their own. But then, this being the Middle East, the lesson of Iran's and Turkey's once-close relationship with Israel expresses its own cautionary tale for the future.

Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu with the Sultan of Oman, Qaboos bin Said Al Said, in Muscat in October 2018. Photograph: Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

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