Tuesday, March 09, 2021

Improving Hong Kong's Democratic Governance

"China's Communist parliament has taken the biggest step so far to obliterate Hong Kong's freedoms and aspirations for greater democracy under the rule of law." 
"The Chinese Communist Party [CCP] has ordained that in order to be a Chinese patriot you must swear allegiance to the Communist Party."
"This completely destroys the pledge of 'one country, two systems'."
"[The CCP is] a continuing and brutal danger to all who believe in free and open societies."
Christoper Patten, former colonial governor of Hong Kong
A Chinese propaganda poster showing an enthusiastic celebration after the return of Hong Kong to China in 1997. 

A Chinese propaganda poster showing an enthusiastic celebration after the return of Hong Kong to China in 1997.  Fine Art Images/Heritage Images/Getty Images

 
This is China undoing the legacy of Britain's imperial colonialist past. In countries like India and the vast number of countries forming the British Commonwealth of countries that Great Britain colonized reaping benefit of their natural resources and gifting them with a democratic ideal, it is Hong Kong alone that prospered while under British rule even as the rest of China was mired deep in poverty, that now sees its democracy in end-stage jeopardy. Beijing has deemed it due time to return the former British colony to full Chinese rule. And since China is ruled by the Communist Party of China, Hong Kong too must fall under its complete legislative aegis.

It is, after all, what most countries would do; asserting their full sovereignty over all their territory. The fly in the ointment here is that Hong Kong has long been a territory apart, independent from Beijing's full authority, a giant of industry and trade and proud of its accomplishments, guided toward them by British oversight. The 1997 agreement to return Hong Kong to China held within it a promise to respect Hong Kong's democratic autonomy for a fifty-year period. China had no wish to crush its golden egg. 

Protest as they may, the people of Hong Kong, clinging to their vision of the past, and their devotion to Democracy, are now firmly in Beijing's orbit, clasping it tightly and never more will it be allowed the illusion of being differently-oriented and separate in its ideology to the rest of China. And as long as protests continue the firmer will Xi Jinping's resolve be to squelch that dream denied. Another exodus has been complicated by the global presence of the viral pandemic, courtesy of China.

The control of the pandemic in China has given Beijing ample cover for its crackdown on Hong Kong; the world's attention diverted by the presence of a virus hungry for human casualties, and it has found them everywhere across the globe. And there is China, the world's largest producer of medical protective gear and personal protection equipment the world is now so heavily dependent on, as well as several highly effective vaccines the world is clamouring for. Criticize Beijing's largess?

All of which has sounded the death knell for the Sino-British Joint Declaration on Hong Kong, leading from the overhaul of Hong Kong's electoral system. Removing 'choice' of candidates; outlawing any deemed insufficiently loyal to the concept of China's full and complete ownership of Hong Kong, that priceless engine of mercantile commerce. Pro-democracy candidates henceforth reduced to nonentities may no longer aspire to election in Hong Kong. Imprisonment or exile their choice.
 
The Chinese Communist Party is determined to ensure that 'harmony' exists throughout China. And with the world's largest population base, how better to establish harmony than to erase choices and impose the monoculture of Chinese Communism under its iconic president? The purpose is honourable; "to safeguard national security". What nation doesn't have that top of agenda? Any who threaten China's security are, ipso facto, 'terrorists'. 
 
"We will resolutely guard against and deter external forces' interference in the affairs of Hong Kong", stated the country's premier, Li Keqiang, speaking to the National People's Congress in Beijing as China prepares to put in place a decision to improve Hong Kong's electoral system whereby Beijing will ensure that "patriots:" only are elected to govern the territory. It is more than obvious that opposition politicians are "unpatriotic", therefore disqualified from politics, much less capable of holding public office.
 
Traveler Advice for Hong Kong During the Protests

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Monday, November 23, 2020

"China Will Be The Enemy

Australia PM Defiant After China Airs 14 Grievances
Australia's PM Scott Morrison,  Bloomberg
"We won't be compromising on the fact that we'll set what our foreign investment laws are, or how we build our 5G telecommunications networks, or how we run our systems ... that are protecting against any interference."
"We will always set our own laws and our own rules according to our national interests -- not at the behest of any other nation, whether that's the U.S. or China or anyone else."
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison
 
Justin Trudeau
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau  CP/Sean Kilpatrick
"Do I regret that Canada followed its laws? Do I regret that Canada lived up to a long-standing extradition treaty with our closest ally? Absolutely not."
"Canada is a country of the rule of law. And obeying those laws can't just be when it's convenient or when it's easy. If you're a country of the rule of law, if you're a country of values, you need to stick up for those. And that's exactly what we're doing."
"In the face of pressure and increasingly coercive moves by one of the world's great powers, I think that really highlights at which point we need to be working together as allies, as neighbours, as friends, as countries."
"Very few countries could stand up on its own to a superpower, to a great power. But working together in alignment, we can make sure there is a recognition that the path that China is choosing to take right now is probably not going to be as effective -- even for them -- as they think it will."
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
"[The government must] make a decision on Huawei's involvement in Canada's 5G network within 30 days [and] develop a robust plan, as Australia has done, to combat China's growing foreign operations here in Canada and its increasing intimidation of Canadians living in Canada [within 30 days]."
House of Commons Opposition Conservatives

"We are aware that China is, and will remain, an important commercial partner for Canada."
"China is also a significant source of tourists and students to Canada, and brings economic and enriching social benefits across our nation."
Foreign Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne
Sing4DemocracyHK protest outside the Court of Final Appeal in Hong Kong (Anthony Wallace/AFP/Getty Images)

Australia and Canada have displeased China mightily. China awaits both countries to come to their senses and that would entail sincerely apologizing to Beijing for their intransigent wrong-headed views on China regarding many issues, inclusive of Hong Kong, Uighurs, Huawei, Chinese benevolence, Chinese cyber espionage, copyright infringement, and above all, COVID-19. Beijing's release this week of a list of 14 grievances with Australia put matters out in the open down under when a Chinese official spoke on record to an Australian reporter: "China is angry. If you make China the enemy, China will be the enemy." 

According to Australian sources the list of grievances includes instigating an investigation in the United Nations regarding the spread of COVID-19 at the turn of 2020, cancelling Chinese student visas as a COVID-aversion safety measure, blocking Chinese investments in Australia, leading international focus on violation of human rights by China and the banning of Huawei from contributing to the Australian 5G telecommunications network upgrade. All hostile actions guaranteed to poison relations between China and Australia; the latter the aggressor, the former the victim.

Australia's Prime Minister made it abundantly clear that Australia's sovereign decisions are not up for discussion much less explanation or apology to the world's number one natural resources-hoarder, trade colossus, and cybertheft expert. Australia puts its words into action and lives with the consequences, unwilling to be bullied and coerced into pleasing or pleading with the Chinese Communist Party for concessions and forgiveness. 

Getty Images
Canada's Prime Minister enjoys grabbing the limelight as a victim whose defence of justice and the rule of law has occasioned Beijing's wrath and imprisoned two innocent Canadians for the past two years, charged with threatening China's security, in retaliation for the detention of Meng Wanzhou, CFO of Huawei, on a U.S. extradition request. Canada has appealed to other APEC nations to support Canada in a joint rejection of Chinese bullying in the hopes that Xi Jinping would be confronted at this weekend's G20 Saudi-hosted virtual gathering.

But is Canada prepared to  go it alone, to stand up for its sovereign rights as its Prime Minister boasted? It remains the only Five Eyes intelligence-sharing nation to leave open the question of whether Huawei will be included in Canada's 5G telecommunications upgrade, fearful of Beijing's explosive wrath, whereas Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom and the United States have all clearly stated their positions to shut out Huawei citing obvious security reasons.

Canada, on the other hand, saw fit to award a standing offer for conveyor-style X-ray machines to Nuctech, a Beijing based company partially owned by the Chinese government, once operated by the sun of the former General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party. Canadian, American and British companies all competed for the standing offer, but it was Nuctech who won the tender including delivery, installation, operator training and software training at Canadian embassies located world-wide.

It was only when a national newspaper broke the news of the contract that the federal government committed to a review once the contract was exposed, and ultimately decided not to buy Xray machines for Canadian embassies from the controversial Chinese firm. But it turns out that the Canadian Border Services Agency had already bought and installed Nuctech X-ray machines: 
"We have a number of mitigating interventions that we put in place around this technology. One of the first ones is obviously to keep it disconnected from our networks and from any Government of Canada networks ... the second is (anyone) affiliated with any of our suppliers would be screened through security processes and would be escorted on site if they were present in our facilities", explained the vice-president of the CBSA;s intelligence and enforcement branch. 
 
Why go through all this rigamarole necessitated by the use of the machines to begin with? To do otherwise, it would seem, would be to offend Beijing. Who could easily retaliate as they have done with holding two Canadians they've charged with espionage as hostages to force the release of the Huawei executive. China also flexed its trade muscles when it refused Canadian pork exports and canola products, both commodities that enjoyed a heavy trade prior to the Huawei affair.

Cong Peiwu, China's ambassador Canada (Justin Tang/CP
All of this in light of Canada's Communications Security Establishment's Canadian Centre for Cyber Security releasing a new report in which Russia, North Korea, Iran and China are listed as cybersecurity threats to Canada. An earlier report by the National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians pointed out that China and Russia are using their diaspora, undercover agents and groups based on Canadian campuses as part of "significant and sustained" foreign interference campaigns in Canada, according to a redacted intelligence report.
 
"The committee believes that these states target Canada for a variety of reasons, but all seek to exploit the openness of our society and penetrate our fundamental institutions to meet their objectives."
"They target ethnocultural communities, seek to corrupt the political process, manipulate the media, and attempt to curate debate on post-secondary campuses."
"Each of these activities poses a significant risk to the rights and freedoms of Canadians and to the country's sovereignty: they are a clear threat to the security of Canada."
"[This] so-called genocide [is] a rumour and a farce fabricated by some anti-Chinese forces to slander China." 
"Its groundless statement  [committee report] is full of lies and disinformation. {Parliamentarians would do well to] avoid doing any further damage to China-Canada relations."
"This is blatant interference in China's internal affairs and reflects those Canadian individuals' ignorance and prejudice. China firmly deplores and rejects that."
"[The installations are] vocational training and education centres [where religious] extremists [are educated in the] national common spoken and written language, legal knowledge, vocational skills and de-radicalization."
"The aim is to eliminate the root cause of terrorism and extremism." 
Zhao Lijian, spokesperson, Chinese foreign ministry
In this photo, a guard tower and barbed wire fence surround a detention facility in the Kunshan Industrial Park in Artux in western China's Xinjiang region. (Ng Han Guan/AP Photo)

 

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Friday, October 16, 2020

The Powerful New Bellicose China

 The Powerful New Bellicose China

Ambassador Cong Peiwu  Blair Gable/Reuters

"We strongly urge the Canadian side not to grant so-called political asylum to those violent criminals in Hong Kong, because it is interference in China’s domestic affairs, and certainly it will embolden those violent criminals."
"If the Canadian side really cares about the stability and the prosperity in Hong Kong, and really cares about the good health and safety of those 300,000 Canadian passport holders in Hong Kong and the large number of Canadian companies operating in Hong Kong … you should support those efforts to fight violent crimes."
"I want to make clear that a stable and prosperous Hong Kong … is not only in the interest of the vast majority of Hong Kong residents, but it is also conducive to the majority of those … law-abiding foreigners and enterprises in Hong Kong."
"[Beijing would have a] strong reaction [if Canada's Parliament were to pass any resolution that condemned China’s treatment of its Muslim Uyghur minority as] genocide [referring to the over one million Uyghurs in detention camps in Xinjiang province, facilities for] vocational and education training."
"We will take resolute measures to safeguard our sovereignty and national security. [The Uyghurs] live in harmony … and [China’s] human-rights record is the best in history."
"There is no coercive diplomacy on the Chinese side. The Hong Kong issue and the Xinjiang-related issue are not about the issue of human rights. They are purely about internal affairs of China, which brooks no interference from the outside."
China's ambassador to Canada, Ambassador Cong Peiwu

China has the temerity to have its envoy to Canada lecture the government of Canada on how it may and may not represent China, based on fairly universal knowledge and agreement of China's human rights situation in reference to its treatment of minority populations within the country, its belligerent attitude toward 'splittism' and demand for 'harmony', refusing to honour its commitment to Hong Kong's democratic authority as a semi-autonomous enclave, and its determination to ensure that Shanghai be returned to Chinese authority, through military means if necessary.

China's boastful self-praise over its human rights and respect for the rule of law evinces itself in other ways, as for example the arrest of two innocent Canadians in China, held virtually incommunicado, with no access to lawyers, and charged with espionage. This, in retaliation for Canada holding the CFO of China's Huawei telecommunications giant on an extradition warrant from the United States on a charge of illegally supplying Iran with communications equipment in defiance of UN/US-imposed sanctions. The implied threats in Ambassador Cong's statement are evident and reflect the Politboro sentiments.

"You should focus your minds and energy on preparing to go to war, and stay highly vigilant", a report in the South China Morning Post, a Hong Kong newspaper, quoted China's President Xi Jinping, as lecturing to marine corps at a military base in Guangdong province, at a commemoration of the 40th anniversary of the Shenzhen Special Economic Zone. Priming his military apparatus for action, at a time when the mood in China is decidedly nationalist, fed by this government which has gone out of its way to alienate its neighbours through regional aggression.
 
The Peoples Republic has spent time, energy, and treasury in making friends and influencing people in some parts of the world, happy to be noticed by China, delighted at its investment in upgrading their infrastructure (for its own trade benefit alongside delivering of other countries' natural resources to feed China's rapacious appetite for energy and raw materials), while leaving those dependent countries with debts through infrastructure loans that will ensure they remain vassals-in-debt for the long-range future.
 
Elsewhere in the developed world, Xi and Beijing have soured international relations, while claiming entitlements and ownership of disputed regions it plans to swallow, to China's territorial advantage. China insists it will have jurisdiction over the island democracy of Taiwan off its southeastern coast, sending Chinese warplanes and navy vessels to harass Taiwan in the Taiwan Strait. "The fact that Taiwan is a separate country, democratically elected, they should be seeing Taiwan as a neighbour, not as a point of conquest", pointed out Margaret McCuaig-Johnson, senior fellow, Institute of Science, Society and Policy, University of Ottawa.
 
China's state television recently released a video of military drills with amphibious landing craft, attack helicopters and missile systems. The unsubtle warning is that China could attack should Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen who has repeatedly attempted to placate China, continue maintaining Taiwanese independence, not recognize Taiwan as part of China. "I believe that regional tension can surely be resolved", she responded. China is enraged that the U.S. is considering an arms deal with Taipei with whom the U.S. is establishing a growing relationship. China warns against any such deal.

According to Reuters seven "major weapons systems" were undergoing an export process with a mind to equipping Taiwan with advanced weaponry. Lijian Zhao, spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, warns that China will retaliate: "The United States should immediately cancel the planned weapon sales to Taiwan, stop any arms deals and cut off their military ties." Gordon Houlden, director of the China Institute at University of Alberta emphasizes that Xi is satisfying China's growing nationalist sentiment.
 
"Taiwan is a special case. No Chinese president, in my view, would survive a week if he .. abandoned the goal of reunification. The biggest risk for China is the intervention of the United States. The language is always alarming and we should not ignore it, but I don't think there should be panic about it ... it's not the first time and it shouldn't be surprising. But also, it's a warning, perhaps to the international community and to Taiwan that this [unification] is still a Chinese goal, which they still take seriously and which they intend to complete." 
 
Chinese warships, including an aircraft carrier, in formation during drills in the South China Sea, January 2, 2017. Photo by STR/AFP via Getty Images

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Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Another COVID Complication -- No Simple Solutions

Another COVID Complication -- No Simple Solutions

"The finding does not mean taking vaccines will be useless. Immunity induced by vaccination can be different from those induced by natural infection."                  "The patient got re-infected 4.5 months after the first infection. Therefore, it shows that for this patient, the immunity induced by the first infection is short lasting."    Dr.Kai-Wang To, University of Hong Kong

"Given the number of global infections to date, seeing one case of reinfection is not that surprising even if it is a very rare occurrence."                                                  Jeffrey Barrett, consultant, COVID-19 Genome Project, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Britain

"This case illustrates that re-infection can occur even just after a few months of recovery from the first infection. Our findings suggest that SARS-CoV-2 may persist in humans, as is the case for other common-cold associated human coronaviruses, even if patients have acquired immunity via natural infection or via vaccination."                                                                                                   "Patients with previous COVID-19 infection should also comply with epidemiological control measures such as universal masking and social distancing,"                                                                                                     Research paper

Medical staff wearing protective clothing take test samples for the Covid-19 coronavirus from a foreign passenger at a virus testing booth outside Incheon international airport, west of Seoul, on April 1, 2020.
Medical staff wearing protective clothing take test samples for the Covid-19 coronavirus from a foreign passenger at a virus testing booth outside Incheon international airport, west of Seoul, on April 1, 2020

"What I think is really important is that we put this into context. There's been more than 24 million cases reported to date. And we need to look at something like this on a population level. And so it's very important that we document this -- and that, in countries that can do this, if sequencing can be done, that would be very, very helpful. But we need to not jump to any conclusions."                                       "Even if this is the first documented case of reinfection, it is possible of course because with our.experience with other human coronaviruses, and the MERS coronavirus and the SARS-CoV-1 coronavirus, we know that people have an antibody response for some time but it may wane."                                           Maria Van Kerkhove, World Health Organization's technical lead for coronavirus response, head, emerging diseases and zoonoses unit
 
"The report from Hong Kong of a re-infection in a man by COVID-19 that was genetically different from the first infection should not be too surprising. It is, however, important that this is documented."
"Of particular note was that the case was a young and otherwise healthy person and that the second infection was diagnosed 4.5 months after the initial episode." "Commentators have been saying for some time that immunity is unlikely to be permanent and may only last a few months. Given the different intensity of the antibody response in people with mild or severe illness and the subsequent decay in levels, it is likely that those with a mild illness will have a shorter duration of immunity than those with severe illness."                                                                      Dr. Paul Hunter,  professor in medicine, University of East Anglia's Norwich School of Medicine, Britain
 
"Second infection was asymptomatic. While immunity was not enough to block reinfection, it protected the person from disease. Patient had no detectable antibody at the time of reinfection but developed detectable antibody after reinfection. This is encouraging. [Since reinfection can occur, herd immunity by natural infection is unlikely to eliminate the novel coronavirus.]"                          "The only safe and effective way to achieve herd immunity is through vaccination." "Lastly, while this is a good example of how primary infection can prevent disease from subsequent infection, more studies are needed to understand the range of outcomes from reinfection."                                                                                         Akiko Iwasaki. Yale School of Medicine
Hong Kong researchers say man got Covid-19 twice

There have been reports from various countries; Israel, the Netherlands, of reinfections with COVID-19. People who had once contracted the disease then recovered months later being reinfected with an entirely new infection, and a new strain of the disease; meaning that the antibodies their immune system produced after their first infection were perhaps partially or temporarily effective in warding off new infection, but not long-lasting enough to prevent a future reinfection. This finding, should it turn out to be a common occurrence, would blow the effect of the herd immunity concept out of the water.

A 33-year-old man in Hong Kong, recovered from a bout of COVID-19, some four and a half months later was once again infected. His is the first documented case of human reinfection, and researchers at the University of Hong Kong, reporting on this case produced a study, published in the international medical journal Clinical Infectious Diseases. The man had been judged entirely recovered from COVID on his discharge from hospital in April.

He had later gone on a trip, returning on August 15 to Hong Kong from Spain through Britain. He appeared to be healthy but was found to have contracted a different strain of the coronavirus from that he had previously been infected with. For the second infection he remained asymptomatic, not knowing he was infected and theoretically passing the virus on to others with whom he came into contact. 

The virus which causes the disease has led directly to the deaths of over 800,000 people globally. And according to the findings documented in the newly published paper, COVID may continue to spread around the globe, in spite of herd immunity. The hope that the more people within any given population contracted the disease and community antibodies build, the better the opportunity for the greater, uninfected population to be able to avoid contracting SARS-CoV-2 causing COVID-19.

Dr. To, the lead researcher in the study, cautioned that no such predictions can yet be made with confidence, that results of the vaccine trials would determine just how effective they will turn out to be in preventing the further spread of the virus. Mainland China has reported instances of people having been discharged from hospitals after recovering from COVID-19 infection, later testing positive for the virus. There was no clarity however, whether the virus had been contracted following full recovery as with the patient in Hong Kong or whether these people had virus remaining in their body from the initial infection.

A man walks past a mural in Hong Kong on Sunday.  | AFP-JIJI
A man walks past a mural in Hong Kong on Sunday. | AFP-JIJI

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Wednesday, July 08, 2020

Beijing, Rebuking Canada

"China urges the Canadian side to immediately correct its mistakes and stop interfering in Hong Kong affairs and China's other internal affairs in any way so as to avoid further damage to China-Canada relations."
"Their attempt to exert pressure on China under the pretext of Hong Kong-related issues is completely against the trend of time and doomed to fail like kicking against the pricks [struggling in vain against something]."
Zhao Lijian, spokesman, China Foreign Ministry
This is, of course, the very same China that has invested heavily in building the infrastructure of roads and bridges in other countries of the world, to gain influence and extract concessions with its "One Belt, One Road" trade and diplomacy initiative to gather to China a greater share of the world's raw materials and trade assets, indebting countries that will eventually have to pay off those loans and whose finances will be strained to the limit. The same country whose claims in the East and South China Seas exacerbate relations with its neighbours over contested territory.

This is China, with its investment in other countries' cultural, arts and academic institutions funding their Confucius Institute in colleges and universities internationally to gain traction on spreading Chinese propaganda as a respectable nation admired for its undoubted heritage and linked to the current Communist Party with its penchant for cyber-espionage, gaining state and commercial secrets to advance its own technological reach without expending time, energy and funding to gain its own original knowledge but building on others'.

This is the China that extends its reach abroad, installing spies and handlers for the Chinese Communist Party, to violate freedoms guaranteed the citizens of other countries when it harasses its expatriates with citizenship in Canada, voluntarily foregoing loyalty to the country of their birth where freedoms are denied. This is the China that claims Tibet as its territory, Taiwan as illegal, and Hong Kong as an indivisible part of China in every respect, with no place for democracy to flourish.

Police detain a protester after he was hit with pepper spray during a protest in Hong Kong's Causeway Bay before the annual march on July 1 marking the anniversary of the handover of the city from Britain to China. (Vincent Yu/The Associated Press)

A half-million Hong Kongers have Canadian citizenship or landed immigrant status, and Canada is interested in their welfare as it would be for any of its citizens anywhere, extending an invitation to welcome back those who have returned to Hong Kong only to live through Beijing deciding to relegate its agreement with Great Britain that recognition of Hong Kong's special semi-independent status would be guaranteed for 50 years, deciding that 23 years is enough, and enacting draconian laws on 'treason' that would entrap democracy supporters in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong police arrested more than 300 people on Wednesday, including 10 under China's new national security law, as thousands defied a ban on protests on the anniversary of the city's handover to China. (Anthony Wallace/AFP/Getty Images)

Just coincidentally, a professor at Tsinghua University who in 2018 denounced the removal of the two-term limit for China's President Xi, allowing him to remain in office well beyond his present second term (just as autocratic regimes like Russia and Turkey have manipulated for their presidents-for-life) has seen Xu Zhangrun, 57, arrested, taken from his home by 20 police who searched his house and confiscated his computer. "He felt that the country was going backwards and that as a public intellectual, he has the duty to speak up", explained He Weifang, a Peking University law professor, of his colleague Xu.

The Liberal government of Justin Trudeau finally found its resolve to join other nations to denounce the new security law imposed on Hong Kong, violating the principle of "one country, two systems", and suspending Canada's extradition agreement with Hong Kong. China, in response, warned its citizens to exercise caution in travelling to Canada, where "frequent violent actions" take place through Canadian law enforcement.

Chinese nationals celebrate the new Hong Kong security law (picture-alliance/Xinhua/W. Shen)
Amid a diplomatic crisis triggered by China's clampdown on Hong Kong, Chinese officials harshly condemned retaliatory moves taken by the UK and Canada

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Saturday, May 30, 2020

Beijing Protecting Hong Kong From Terrorism

"Hong Kong has flourished as a bastion of freedom."
"[The security law would ] curtail the Hong Kong people's liberties, and in doing so, dramatically erode Hong Kong's autonomy and the system that made it so prosperous."
Joint statement, United Kingdom, United States, Australia, Canada

"This is the death knell for Hong Kong, make no mistake of it, this is the end of 'one country, two systems' ...the Hong Kong that we loved, a free Hong Kong'.
Dennis Kwok, pro-democracy lawmaker
    Credit...Lam Yik Fei for The New York Times

The National People's Congress, voting in the Great Hall of the People, just west of Beijing's Tiananmen Square, loudly approved and applauded the vote that took place on Thursday, a tally that indicated 2,878 votes supported moving forward with legislation, with one vote opposed and six abstentions. While the world has been distracted and busy attempting to ward off the worst advances of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, Beijing has immersed itself in finalizing the death knell of autonomous Hong Kong, cancelling the formula that recognized its unique status since 1997.

The imposition of a new security law on Hong Kong will now criminalize any such activities like protesting and criticizing Beijing. Either of which is analogous in Beijing's opinion to secession and the detested 'splittism'. As the Communist Party elite explain it to any who might not understand, the purpose of the legislation is to cope with secession, subversion, terrorism and foreign interference in Hong Kong. The plan had sufficed to instill fear into Hong-Kong's pro-democracy factions, triggering large protests.

And those protests brought out the riot police in huge numbers even while its own lawmakers engaged in debating an entirely other piece of legislation with a like purpose, to criminalize disrespect of China's national anthem. Police made 360 arrests while thousands of Hong Kongers marched in protest in the streets over the anthem bill and the national security legislation. It is abundantly clear that Beijing is imposing its authority, eroding the autonomy of Hong Kong in the process.

Attendees of the Second Plenary Session of the National People’s Congress clap their hands during a speech on May 25
China’s National People’s Congress  Photograph: Andrea Verdelli/Getty Images

An assurance was issued by China's Premier Li Keqiang, that the "one country, two systems" formula is meant to remain a national policy, but the new law would provide for Hong Kong's long-term stability and prosperity. Enactment of the law is anticipated prior to September, as details are being drawn up in the coming weeks. But no threat exists to the city's autonomy, Chinese authorities claim, backed by the Hong Kong, Beijing-approved government.

According to Hong Kong's leader Carrie Lam, the legislative work would be completed as soon as possible as she works with Beijing: "The law will not affect the rights and freedoms enjoyed by Hong Kong residents". Somehow, the pro-democracy element finds her statement as reassuring as that emanating out of Beijing.

"We urge China to step back from the brink", stated British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab.
Britain plans to change the status of British national overseas passport holders, should China not suspend the new law, enabling such BNO passport holders to come to the United Kingdom for periods in excess of six months, an effective pathway to eventual citizenship.

Anti-government demonstrators in Hong Kong scuffle with riot police Wednesday during a protest as the second reading of a controversial national anthem law takes place. (Tyrone Siu/Reuters)

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Monday, May 11, 2020

COVID-19 Measures : Lockdown or Common Sense?

"It seems like the lockdowns don't add a whole lot after you've done other social distancing measures."
"[On the other hand], the research on isolation and centralized quarantine is extensive and compelling. We know this works."
"As long as your life doesn't require you to be gathered in large groups, life here is pretty normal [where he lives and works, in Hong Kong]."
"Ideas go viral. When something works people imitate it and it appeared that the lockdown in Wuhan worked. If you follow the official guidance you never lose the lawsuit."
"Information is the most powerful tool we have. Getting good information out there is important."

Lyman Stone, researcher, American Enterprise Institute, Hong Kong

"By quickly implementing public health measures, Hong Kong has demonstrated that COVID-19 transmission can be effectively contained without resorting to the highly disruptive complete lockdown adopted by China, the United States, and Western European countries."
Benjamin Cowling, professor, School of Public Health, University of Hong Kong

"Simulations show that the overall burden is expected to be similar across countries, resulting in about 528 to 544 deaths per million."
"Unlike its peers, Sweden is likely to take the hit sooner and over a shorter period, with the majority of deaths occurring within weeks, rather than months."
Paul W.Franks, professor of genetic epidemiology, Lund University, Sweden
A study published on April 17 in The Lancet medical journal surveyed people on how they were adapting to the COVID-19 outbreak and found that 85 per cent were avoiding public places voluntarily and almost 99 per cent were wearing face masks outside.

The world looks toward Sweden for its approach to handling the country's response to the presence of a high contagious, vicious virus represented by COVID-19, ravaging populations in Europe, with Italy and Spain particularly hard hit with the number of cases and subsequent deaths among their populations, despite going into lockdown. Sweden, unlike its close neighbours, Denmark and Norway, decided to opt for a more open approach, closing most schools but otherwise ensuring that life would go on as normal, depending on the good sense and choices of Swedes to observe social distancing.

Sweden's high-risk experiment was a gamble the government decided on to see whether it could succeed in avoiding having its intensive care units overwhelmed. That outcome would serve as vindication of the government's decision-making. If matters turned out otherwise, "health care professionals in Sweden will face the fight of their lives", since it was at their scientific promptings the government was led to make the choice for a continued open society..

Sweden permitted bars and restaurants to remain open as well as schools for younger children. In Hong Kong, all schools were closed and everyone diligently wore face masks, taking personal responsibility for their health outcomes with the virus, but not shutting the city down as China did, and most Western societies as well. Lyman Stone, the American Enterprise researcher who lives in Hong Kong, is convinced that the world's response to the novel coronavirus by shutting down everything is unwarranted, that people should be trusted to observe physical distancing on their own.

"As long as  your life doesn't require you to be gathered in large groups, life here is pretty normal", he explained. Workers have been encouraged to work from home, and schools have closed, but restaurants remain open and shopping malls are full of shoppers. Hong Kong, with its population of 7.5 million, in close proximity to China has seen four people die from COVID-19. By the end of April there were almost 3,000 deaths in firmly locked-down, business-and-school-closed-down Canada.
A protester is interviewed as he demands the removal of the provincial coronavirus disease (COVID-19) restrictions outside the Ontario legislature in Toronto, Ontario, Canada April 25, 2020. Chris Helgren / Reuters

People in Hong Kong remember the 2003 SARS outbreak that hit really hard in Hong Kong. Masks are worn when colds or the flu appear imminent, and physical distancing becomes second nature every time a new outbreak is reported. The medical journal The Lancet published a study which surveyed how people were adapting to the COVID-19 outbreak, with the result that 85 percent avoided public places voluntarily, with close to 99 percent wearing face masks when out in public.

Before school closures and physical distancing in Hong Kong every person with the flu infected 1.28 people while after the automatic return to social distancing the infection number was reduced to 0.73. A similar effect is likely for COVID-19, according to researchers. The Hong Kong government believes the infection rate for COVID is somewhere below 0.5.

What defines a lockdown is people ordered to remain in their homes other than for essential trips. Disallowing people to mingle with others socially, with the exception of their own household and many businesses in a lockdown are ordered to close, with most social activities of any kind banned temporarily. The adoption of stay-at-home measures in most Western countries was based on world Health Organization guidelines, which in turn based its advice on China's reaction to the coronavirus.

Lyman Stone analyzed the imposition of protective measures in Spain, France and Italy, finding that deaths attributable to COVID-19 in Spain plateaued some ten to fifteen days following lockdown. Deaths were declining in Spain before the lockdowns even started, he found, since it takes about 20 days for death from the disease to occur, from the day of infection. People had adjusted their behaviour based on information about the virus even before government forced them to.

Trusted sources giving information appeared to have a large impact on people's behaviour in the United States, when for example celebrity figures confirmed they tested positive for COVID. Such revelations in tandem with a state of public alarm impacted on people's consciousness. One of the best methods to fight an epidemic, according to Mr. Stone, is the closure of schools and keeping children distant from one another, just as school closures are vital for influenza epidemics since children become the biggest spreaders.

Travel restrictions between states represent yet another important tactic in non-lockdown situations, a move readily taken in Asian countries in close proximity to the early coronavirus outbreak in China where Vietnam immediately imposed travel restrictions, giving them time to invest in other measures, the result being that no deaths were experienced in the country. A ban on large gatherings is another important measure, affecting 50 to 100 people. And still leaving restaurants open, where people maintain social distancing.

Centralized quarantine and generalized mask use have been commonplace in many Asian countries since the outbreak, whereas in Western countries a gradual approach was common. A sophisticated system to track, isolate and feed people in a centralized quarantine area in Taiwan, South Korea and Hong Kong could also have contributed hugely to their successful battle against the pandemic. People who tested positive or were in contact with positive-testers would ideally be isolated in a hotel or a custom-arranged space between seven to 21 days in quarantine. This requires widespread testing.

On the other hand, with Sweden's non-lockdown 'experiment' in trusting its population to self-monitor where the borders remain open, people can still gather in groups of up to 50 people and no one wears masks. One Swedish doctor has accused the government of playing "Russian roulette" with its population, with other experts  urging on stricter measures, in response to Sweden's death figures outdistancing those of its Scandinavian neighbours.

Sweden had about 256 deaths per million people in comparison to 38 per million in Norway and 75 per million in Denmark by the end of April. Sweden feels the number of deaths will even out eventually, accomplished with less strain on their economy and on people's mental health. Swedish professor Johan Giesecke's position is that few of the measures used to control COVID-19 in western countries "have a shred of evidence" in support of their choices, in high approval of his own government;'s decision to avoid full lockdown.

"How long in a democracy do you think you can keep a lockdown? After three or four weeks, people will say I want to go out. I want to go to the pub."

A person rides a bike with their dog past closed stores on April 29, 2020 in New York City. New York City has been on a lockdown of all non-essential businesses since March 23, 2020. Getty Images

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Friday, April 24, 2020

Canada's Toxic/Benign Relationship with China

Jason Kenney (R) with Martin Lee.
"[I was] shocked to learn [of the arrest]. Martin is the elder statesman of Hong Kong democracy. I hope for his immediate release."
"Look, Alberta doesn't have a foreign policy, and I don't freelance in foreign policy. But I'll just say this: when a personal friend of mine is arrested as a political prisoner, I can't in good conscience stay silent."
"I make no apologies for speaking out in the interests of a great champion of human rights and democracy who was a political prisoner."
Alberta Premier Jason Kenney
"Canada is concerned by the arrests of political figures in Hong Kong on April 18 in relation to popular demonstrations that took place last year and believes that this extraordinary measure calls for close scrutiny."
Foreign Affairs Minister, Francois-Philippe Champagne, Ottawa

"No one stays out of the law. Ignoring the facts and openly advocating for the rioters can only undermine the rule of law, which is not in Canada's own interests."
"Local [Canadian] politicians [should] abide by the basic norms governing international relations -- and immediately stop interfering in China's internal affairs."
Chinese Consulate-General, Calgary
Pro-democracy activist Martin Lee waves as he leaves Hong Kong’s Central District police station on Saturday

Pro-democracy activist Martin Lee waves as he leaves Hong Kong’s central police station on Saturday. He was one of 14 people arrested on charges relating to last year’s mass protests © AFP via Getty Images
"It is feeling very, very much like a lost cause now [democratic movement in Hong Kong]."
"The enemy is advancing. We are losing. We are losing at a rate that the international community is not keeping up with as a counter force. It's like we have nothing to fight back with. And it's going to keep getting worse."
"We in the pro-democratic people, within the space of nine months, we've pushed the space against Beijing further than they [Hong Kong's older-generation democrats] have in 20 years."
"There are a hundred reasons under the sun, all the reasons under the sun, that Hong Kongers want to break free, because look at what we're suffering. So long as there is any hint or trace of Beijing rule in Hong Kong, we will always, always be fighting. We will always be struggling with our flesh and blood, with our lives. There are a hundred reasons why we want to break free."
"But where the conflict comes in is that Hong Kongers can't fight alone. We don't stand a chance against Beijing when we're fighting alone. We stand half a chance against Beijing when we have the international support that we really do need, but the international community isn't able to echo what Hong Kongers truly want in their hearts."
Catrina Ko, activist, pro-democracy uprising
Protesters standoff with police during a clash at an anti-government rally in Tsuen Wan district on August 25, 2019 in Hong Kong.
Protesters standoff with police during a clash at an anti-government rally in Tsuen Wan district on August 25, 2019 in Hong Kong.

While the world is distracted with the over-arching issue of gaining control over the novel coronavirus, just incidentally unleashed upon it by cultural-cuisine happenstance or sloppy laboratory techniques in research zoonotics, Beijing has taken advantage of a focus elsewhere to advance its long-range plan a little closer to the present through a "supervisory" role in Hong Kong. In the process, dumping the agreement reached between it and Great Britain with the transition of Hong Kong from British oversight to China's benevolent care.

Martin Lee, 81, an elder statesman of democratic Hong Kong, was responsible for co-structuring the mini-constitution setting out the "one country, two systems" arrangement called the "Basic Law" whereby for 50 years Hong Kong's British-inherited democracy would be the law of Hong Kong. President Xi Jinping, however, is impatient with that rule which he seems to feel should be set aside as a useless historical document of no moment. He envisions complete control of Hong Kong; 'one country, one system'.

His agenda was not unknown to Hong Kong's democratic players who began their response of resistance to Beijing for the past several years. The Chinese Communist Party has done all it could to delegitimize, slander, imprison and demoralize the democratic activists. Last August and September large protests came out in the streets against Beijing's interference in Hong Kong, much less its short-term plan to obliterate the long-term plan. Protests drew 1.7 million Hong Kongers into the streets last August, to Beijing's alarm.



Intent on imposing itself in Hong Kong's internal affairs against the Basic Law, almost 8,000 Hong Kongers were arrested and more latterly along with them the older generation leaders of the democratic movement.And when Alberta Premier Jason Kenney's personal friend, the 81 year-old founder of Hong Kong's Democratic Party was arrested and imprisoned, he responded as a friend and fellow democrat should. Drawing the ire of the ever-irascible Chinese envoys to Canada, quick to respond with scathing comments about foreign interference in China's internal affairs.

It would be comic if it were not so peculiarly-Beijing-sinister. The CCP has spent years infiltrating Canada at every level, political, social, academic, to guide Canada's opinion of Beijing and acceptance of its 'basic dictatorship' as an admiring Justin Trudeau described it, for its ability to respond to situations, as totalitarian governments are known to. Canada has been in Beijing's bleak, back books of late, however.

When, in December 2019, police in Vancouver arrested Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou in respose to an extradition request from the United States, Beijing swiftly arrested two Canadians on espionage charges, sentenced two others to death for drug trafficking, and halted all imports of Canadian canola products and pork with the obvious intention of punishing Canada for its lack of adequate humility when it comes to dealing with China. And threatening repercussions should Ms.Meng not be released swiftly, with all due apologies. Oh, and by the way, inviting Huawei to work on Canada's 5G upgrade.

"To say the very least, it was quite a disappointment [the statement issued by Canada's Foreign Affairs Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne calling for dialogue and restraint on 'all sides'; anodyne and weak]."
"It was really beyond weak. The Canadian government couldn't even bring itself to utter the word 'condemn'. I am torn -- would it have been better to not even have a statement? I don't know. It was such a joke."
Natalie Hui, core member, Canadian Friends of Hong Kong organization

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Thursday, March 19, 2020

Hong Kong's Social Distancing Success

"As soon as the virus started to break out, and people read 'China' and 'coronavirus', people remembered."
"The social part is one of the reasons why we've been able to keep the virus cases so low, because in some way the public has been able to make the government take measures."
"There is a strong responsibility of people to adhere to social norms and respect the wider community."
Nicholas Thomas, associate professor, City University of Hong Kong

"Social distancing becomes more important if there's sustained transmission in the community and we want to slow it down, because at that point, the first two measures won't be as effective."
"And hopefully the U.S and Europe and other countries can learn from Hong Kong and Singapore in how social distancing can be applied and how our populations can be aware."
Benjamin Cowling, professor, co-director, World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, Hong Kong University School of Public Health
Hong Kong Airport As Virus Causes Traffic Slump
A traveler wearing a protective mask sits in the empty check-in hall at Hong Kong International Airport, March 5. Photographer: Justin Chin/Bloomberg

Almost 300 people were killed out of the 1,700 infected with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) in Hong Kong; the most outside of mainland China. That event had an impact on the psychology of the city, according to Nicholas Thomas. Residents wore surgical masks, avoided gatherings from the very beginning of the outbreak, and that practise during the more current zoonotic novel coronavirus is still ongoing. Which is just as well, considering that COVID-19 appears to have gathered steam and may be re-appearing for a second wave.

Still, Asia appears to have shed most of the anxiety about the exponential spread of this new and sometimes deadly virus; in a steady state where the number of cases are diminishing and control is being rewarded. Its spread in Europe and the United States as its newer destination has placed them in a similar position to which China and Hong Kong found themselves a month earlier. Now, the need to avoid large gatherings is being recognized where recent high-profile infections -- including the Australian home affairs minister and the wife of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau have become infected -- has certainly raised awareness of self-isolation.

At the end of January when the world was just being introduced to the fact that a new virus had unleashed itself in China, Hong Kong had already put most of its restrictions in place though there were but a handful of cases there. In total Hong Kong, as a result of its swift reaction to cut off the virus, had a total of 139 documented diagnoses. Of that number four deaths occurred in contrast to South Korea which failed to begin taking measures until a month later, February 23, when hundreds of its citizens had already been infected. It registers over 8,100 people infected, with 75 deaths.

Travellers wearing protective equipment enter the arrival hall at the Hong Kong International Airport on March 17, 2020 in Hong Kong.
Travellers wearing protective equipment enter the arrival hall at the Hong Kong International Airport on March 17, 2020 in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong's relative success came despite a devastating 12 months for the economy and where the virus is further curbing growth, in the wake of violent pro-democracy protests that periodically shut down parts of the city during the second half of 2019. Hong Kong's beleaguered Beijing-appointed leader's popularity is in such high dudgeon that even the effective virus response hasn't lifted her approval rating beyond 13 percent. Carrie Lam had initially resisted shutting the border with China, despite public pressure.

Hong Kong ably demonstrated that the deployment of measures early on would have a dramatic effect. Cities that had implemented multiple 'non-pharmaceutical interventions', closing schools and churches, experienced death rates up to 50 percent lower, with less severe outbreaks than those that did not, during the 1918 influenza pandemic, according to research. Now, according to medical researchers, had China implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions -- from containment and isolation to social distancing -- three weeks earlier, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases could have been reduced by up to 95 percent.

According to a study released this month, funded partly by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, China's cases could have been reduced by 60 percent if those non-pharmaceutical interventions had been undertaken one week earlier. On the other hand, the number could have increased 18 times had such measures arrived three weeks later.Clearly, social distancing measures are to be regarded as a critical part of halting the virus after other containment measures have been implemented by governments.

Governments are required to conduct tests to identify and quarantine infected people and those with whom they had contact while also reducing imported cases from overseas, pointed out Benjamin Cowling. Once an outbreak occurs it becomes increasingly difficult to track down suspected cases, and social distancing measures like closing schools, working from home and voluntarily avoiding crowded areas are key to success in social distancing.

relates to Hong Kong Shutdown a Lesson to the World in Halting Virus

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