Friday, March 21, 2025

Return The Hostages, Live and Dead, Or Face The Consequences

"Gaza residents, this is a final warning. The first Sinwar ruined Gaza and the second Sinwar will completely obliterate it [referring to the slain leader of Hamas, Yahya Sinwar, and to his brother, Mohammed Sinwar, a senior Hamas military commander who is thought to have succeeded him]."
"The Air Force strikes against Hamas terrorists were just the first step. Things will become much more difficult, and you will pay the full price."
"[If the hostages are not released and Hamas is not removed from Gaza], Israel will operate with strength you have not yet seen."
"Take the U.S. president’s advice. Return the hostages and remove Hamas, and other options will open up for you, including leaving for other places in the world for those who desire."
Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz
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Defense Minister Israel Katz visits the Tel Nof Airbase, March 18, 2025. (Ariel Hermoni/Defense Ministry)

 Since the Israel Defence Forces were given orders to restart operations in Gaza, several senior Hamas commanders were killed, both military and government officials. Yasser Muhammad Harb Musa, responsible for security affairs in the Hamas political bureau who promoted and directed terrorist actions against Israel, among them, along with Muhammad Al-Jarnasi, head of the Hamas Emergency Committee.

"As part of his role, Musa handled the advancement and guidance of terror attacks against the State of Israel", advised the IDF and Shin Bet, adding he was considered to have been a confidant to slain Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. Mohammed Jamasi, whose role was also described: "Over the years, Jamasi held key positions in the political bureau and the leadership of the movement and as part of his role in the war, he coordinated a significant portion of the Hamas regime’s government activity in the Gaza Strip, including the guidance of terror attacks against the State of Israel."

The two were among a list of several senior Hamas leaders killed since the renewed offensive, including Hamas’s de facto prime minister of the Strip. The launching of the 'limited ground operation' in northern Gaza Wednesday's statement to retake part of a corridor bisecting the territory was an announcement found wanting in the usual European capitals and spoke of a needless escalatory move that had the potential of rekindling a larger regional conflict. 
 
Israel, always sensitive to criticism from its fellow democracies in Europe, felt that this time it had an obligation to itself to suspend the ceasefire whose purpose was a prisoner-for-hostage exchange that Hamas made a mockery of. 

Part of the Netzarim corridor bisecting northern Gaza from the south, from which the IDF had withdrawn as part of the January-initiated ceasefire with Hamas, has now been retaken. Hamas has received due warning once more that Israel's attacks against it would become fiercer should dozens of remaining hostages held for over 17 months in Gaza not be freed. Hamas appears to have been completely disinterested.
 
The intention is that the Israeli military ground operation in Gaza would create a "partial buffer between northern and southern Gaza". The six-kilometre Netzarim Corridor was previously used by Israel as a military zone during the conflict, running from the Israeli border to the coast, south of Gaza City, severing the largest metropolitan area and the rest of the north from the south in the territory. Israeli defence minister Katz announced that the military was preparing to order Palestinians in Gaza to evacuate from combat zones.
 
"The IDF calls on media outlets to act with caution regarding unverified reports", the military announced after reports circulated that the IDF had struck a United Nations compound located in the central Gaza Strip's Deir al-Balah area.  Military spokesperson Lt.Col. Nadav Shoshani explained that the explosion could not have been caused by Israeli fire. "There were no forces around that building, no aerial attacks on that area", he said.
 
The Gaza Health Ministry operated by the Hamas terrorists had claimed earlier on Wednesday that an Israeli Air Force strike had killed a UN employee, wounding five others. As in the past such claims have been disproved as the usual terrorist ploys to point Israel out as the source of such targeting, when so often the real culprits have been the terrorists themselves catapulting their rockets, going short and falling on their own territory with resultant casualties.
 
The IDF pointed out as it has done on a multitude of occasions that it strikes only Hamas operatives, blaming civilian deaths on Hamas since it operates within densely populated areas in a deliberate scheme to have Israel appear responsible for civilian casualties that Hamas itself relies upon for its propaganda efforts to convince the West that Israel is carrying out a 'genocide' of Palestinians. Gaza's Health Ministry records deliberately fail to distinguish civilians from combatants.
 
The Israeli military, explained Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahyu, went into action when Hamas rebuffed several proposals from U.S. Middle East envoy Steven Witkoff to extend the ceasefire in the enclave during the Ramada and Passover holidays. "Israel will, from now on, act against Hamas with increasing military strength." The goal of the military campaign in Gaza remains to achieve "the objectives of the war as they have been determined by the political echelon, including the release of all of our hostages, the living and the deceased", read a statement from the Prime Minister's office.

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Israeli troops seen as the military re-enters the Gaza Strip   IDF Spokesperson's unit

 

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Thursday, March 20, 2025

Beijing's Deep Concern for Human Dignity

"The facts of the crimes committed by the Canadian nationals involved in the cases are clear, and the evidence is solid and sufficient."
"The Chinese judicial authorities have handled the cases in strict accordance with the law, and have fully guaranteed the rights and interests of the Canadian nationals concerned."
"China always imposes severe penalties on drug-related crimes and maintains a 'zero tolerance' attitude toward the drug problem."
"[Canada should] respect the rule of law and China's judicial sovereignty [and] stop making irresponsible remarks."
China's Ottawa Embassy 

"Global Affairs Canada [Canadian Foreign Affairs Department] can confirm it is aware that, earlier this year, Canadians were executed in the People's Republic of China."
"Canada strongly condemns China's use of the death penalty, which is irreversible and inconsistent with basic human dignity."
"Canada repeatedly called for clemency for these individuals at the senior-most levels."
Foreign Affairs Canada 
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The Chinese flag flies outside Beijing’s embassy to Canada in Ottawa. (Photo: Jharnett44 via Wikimedia Commons)  
 
China is distinct in the world for many reasons, and one of its distinctions is its free use of the death penalty for what it considers to be capital offense crimes. Although there are many countries across the globe that continue to use the death penalty -- the United States among them -- China has the distinction of putting more people to death as a crime penalty than all other countries combined. A runner-up in the state-death competition is the Islamic Republic of Iran whose mode of execution includes hanging, crucifixion, stoning and firing squads.
 
China's choice of state execution for those judged to have run afoul of its criminal laws in capital offenses also die by firing squads, although Beijing has latterly introduced lethal injections as well. Once a charge has been laid by the state of anyone having committed a capital offense, it is almost unknown for a court to strike a trial, instead rubber-stamping guilt with the accompanying penalty of execution. With its vast population of over 1.4 billion people, Beijing is not known to be sensitive to any concept as remote to it as 'human rights'.
 
In the instance of the publicly newly-revealed death by state execution of Canadian citizens, neither the Chinese embassy in Canada's capital of Ottawa or Canada's Foreign Affairs department divulged just how many Canadians had been executed, nor identified those executed by publishing their names. An Abbotsford, British Columbia native, Robert Lloyd Schellenberg, known to have been sentenced to death by a Chinese court in 2019 on a charge of drug smuggling, however, was not among the executed. 
 
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A photo submitted by the RCMP shows a clandestine drug lab where Mounties say a large quantity of fentanyl was discovered in Mission, B.C. in November 2023. (submitted by Mission RCMP)

Those who met their untimely fate may have been dual citizens of Canada and China. China does not recognize or give credence to dual citizenship, and feels no diplomatic sensitivity in ignoring Canadian citizenship alongside Chinese citizenship. Although the Chinese head of mission at the embassy in Ottawa did not clarify whether any of these executed were involved in drug smuggling or trafficking, they did state that Beijing has a "zero tolerance" approach to drug crime.
 
There are, it seems, altogether 100 Canadians currently detained in China. It is interesting to note that while China deals severely with anyone identified and caught being involved in the drug trade, it is from China that the artificial, laboratory-produced opioid Fentanyl arrived in North America to wreak deadly havoc in Canada and the United States. Although on appeal Beijing listed fentanyl making it illegal to transport or sell it abroad, the precursor chemicals associated with fentanyl production still emanate from Chinese labs, where criminal gangs in North America employ 'cooks' to produce lethal fentanyl.
 
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Health Canada says it can only take a few grains of fentanyl to kill someone. (Ben Nelms/CBC)

"As in pre­vi­ous years, exe­cu­tion totals do not include the esti­mat­ed thou­sands of exe­cu­tions car­ried out by the world’s lead­ing exe­cu­tion­er, China, where exe­cu­tion data is con­sid­ered a state secret; secre­cy prac­tices and chal­lenges access­ing infor­ma­tion in Afghanistan, North Korea, Palestine, Syria, and Vietnam also cre­at­ed dif­fi­cul­ties in iden­ti­fy­ing min­i­mum totals. This world­wide increase was pri­mar­i­ly dri­ven by a 48% rise in exe­cu­tions in Iran, which account­ed for 74% of exe­cu­tions world­wide. Iran (at least 853 exe­cu­tions), Saudi Arabia (172 exe­cu­tions), Somalia (at least 38 exe­cu­tions), the U.S. (24 exe­cu­tions), and Iraq (at least 16 exe­cu­tions) were the top five coun­tries respon­si­ble for record­ed exe­cu­tions."
Death Penalty Information Centerhttps://img.dpic-cdn.org/images/Graph_Amnesty-International-Global-Report-Death-Sentences-and-Executions-2023.jpg?w=1024&h=723&q=82&auto=format&fit=crop&dm=1717099922&s=1ba40e62143421c30b021eaed1521090

 

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Israel's Relentless Drive to Destroy Hamas

"It is time for the countries of the world to take seriously our unwavering commitment to bring back all our hostages home and defeat the enemy."
"Nothing will stop us from fighting to free our hostages, who have been held in brutal Hamas captivity for 527 days."
"We will show no mercy against our enemies while our hostages languish in Hamas terror tunnels."
Danny Danon, Israeli Ambassador to the United Nations
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Israeli troops in southern Gaza. Pic: IDF handout

Extensive strikes have been conducted against Hamas targets in the Gaza Strip by the Israeli military on Monday, negating a ceasefire that had exacerbated the pain of Israel's hostage families in the terrorists' hollow gestures of complying with the rules of hostage return while mocking the process as a generous gesture on the part of the Palestinian terrorists. The 'ceasefire' that had given Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad and other such groups the opportunity to recruit, rearm and reaffirm their ironclad intention to continue planning and executing attacks on Israel for which the October 7, 2023 invasion and savagery remains their model.
 
In essence, the 'ceasefire' had ended itself when Israeli intelligence analyzed the intention of Hamas leaders to carry on with their death mission for Israel, leading to the inescapable conclusion that the only fitting response to the situation would be a return to Israel's original goal of wiping out the entirety of the Hamas organization; fighters, leaders, weapons stocks, organizational capability. The essentially vital target, the removal of the Hamas leadership.
 
To that end, it was confirmed by the Israel Defense Forces that "the Hamas prime minister and a senior government figure in the Gaza Strip", Essam al-Dalis was among a number of senior terrorists eliminated in the early stages of the campaign. As is usual for the IDF, a vital warning had been issued Tuesday urging residents of Gaza within specific areas to immediately evacuate, as the Israeli forces' operations intensified. 

Civilians were called  upon by IDF spokesperson Avichay Adrace, to relocate to designated shelters located in western Gaza City and Khan Yunis to avoid becoming casualties of the attacks. Citing local Gaza health officials, the Associated Press reported that over 400 Palestinians had been killed in the overnight airstrikes. No one can actually be assured of the veracity of any such claims made by either Hamas or any of its operating arms. Hamas, in any event, reporting on casualties makes no differentiation between civilians and its terrorist operatives.
 
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Pic: IDF handout

"[An Israeli official] claimed that in recent days during the ceasefire Hamas has been preparing to carry out new attacks against Israel and has taken steps to rearm."
"The official said the IDF kept the operational plan top secret and within a relatively small circle in order to surprise Hamas."
Axios Report
 
"[The IDF is] attacking targets of the Hamas terrorist organization throughout the Gaza Strip in order to achieve the objectives of the war as they have been determined by the political echelon including the release of all of our hostages, the living and the deceased."
"Israel will, from now on, act against Hamas with increasing military strength."
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Office statement
The attack coincided with the Muslim holy month of Ramadan. Somewhat similar to Egypt and Syria attacking Israel in 1973 on Yom Kippur, the Judaic holy Day of Atonement. There is an interpretation that this could signal a full resumption of the war, incited by Hamas when terrorists invaded southern Israel on October 7, 2023, thousands of terrorists primed to enact a scene straight out of Hell, complete with mass rape, mutilation, torching of family homes with the residents huddled for safety in their 'safe rooms', where the mostly civilian population of southern Israel's farming kibbutzim were targeted for annihilation.
 
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Hamas terrorists stand in formation ahead of a hostage release in Deir al-Balah, central Gaza Strip, Feb. 8, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)

Hamas's plans included the hostage-taking of families, the elderly, infants, teens, women, foreign farm workers and Israeli soldiers. Even the dead were considered useful pawns as hostages, bundled off with the terrified living hostages to the extensive tunnel systems of Gaza, to be confined in dark, dank underground cells without natural light, breathing foetid air, and experiencing a lack of adequate food and water and medical supplies. The remaining two dozen hostages believed to still be alive, remain in terrorist hands.
 
"We are shocked, angry and terrified by the deliberate dismantling of the process to return our loved ones from the terrible captivity of Hamas", mourned the Hostages and Missing Families Forum. And one can only commiserate with their anguish, hoping against hope that their loved ones will somehow be returned to them. Hamas enjoys its sadistic cat-and-mouse games with vulnerable and helpless captives.
 
While the United States and Israel have been stepping up attacks across the region this week, the retaliatory campaign against Hamas is being carried out with a view to bringing Israel's goal of eradicating the terrorist group entirely, closer to accomplishment as an end-game goal. In concert with the U.S. launching strikes against Yemen's Houthis spurred on by Iran, Israel has targeted Iran's terrorist proxies in Lebanon and Syria.
 
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Israeli soldiers patrol a street in northern Gaza on Wednesday. The Israeli military launched a new ground offensive in Gaza, a day after Israel 'broke a ceasefire' with a punishing series of airstrikes. Jack Guez/AFP via Getty Images

"[U.S. President Donald Trump] has made it clear: Hamas, the Houthis, Iran, all those who seek to terrorize not just Israel but also the United States of America will see a price to pay."
"All hell will break loose."
"[All of] the terrorists in the Middle East [should take Trump] very seriously when he says he is not afraid to stand for law-abiding people ... and our friend and ally Israel."
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt

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Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Canada Versus U.S. President Donald Trump's Trade War

"He's a different guy and doesn't have a history with Trump. There was some baggage with Trudeau."
"That's positive because Trump is very sensitive to personal interactions."
"There's a fine line between going after Trump, and alienating him entirely." 
Daniel Beland, political-science professor, McGill University, Montreal
 
"The difference between [Mark] Carney and Trudeau is Carney doesn't seek to make a point or to virtue-signal. When he goes to see Trump, it's about getting a deal."
"The president's transactional, and Carney has a lot of experience in negotiating over the years."
Lisa Raitt, former Conservative cabinet minister
 
"Canada needs to continue having a proportionate response to any and all economic attacks from the U.S."
"We will do that, in part, by keeping our tariffs on the Americans for as long as they have their own tariffs and until the Americans show us respect and make credible, reliable commitments to free and fair trade."
Spokesperson for Carney
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Since Donald Trump's re-election in the United States, he has repeatedly spoken of Justin Trudeau, while still Prime Minister of Canada, as 'Governor' Trudeau. Strained relations between the two date back to Mr. Trump's first term in office as President of the United States. They since went from cold to downright frozen, with Mr. Trudeau referring in public statements to 'Donald'. And cementing that hostility by calling his tariffs "dumb". But that was a month ago, and PM Trudeau is no more, to the great relief of most Canadians. In his place is the new leader of the Liberal Party, elevated to the Prime Minister's Office at least as long as it takes for an election to be called.
 
U.S. President Donald Trump has made the political situation in Canada even more tense, at a time when the Canadian economy is hobbling along due to poor decision making and inaction in necessary exploitation spheres of Canadian resources by the Liberal government, hobbling business and trade with its overweening focus on the environment to the detriment of the Canadian economy. Thanks to Mr. Trump's truculent, eruptive behaviour it is not only Canada, but Mexico, China, and the European Union, Japan and South Korea whose economic futures have been thrown a fastball with the threat of steep American tariffs. 
 
For the present, PM Mark Carney governs Canada with the mind of a technocrat and global economist. The country's goal, he has said, must be to build the strongest economy in the Group of Seven. The fly in that aspirational ointment is that while Trudeau's embrace of environment issues was inconvenient to economic growth for Canada, Carney's will be even more so, as a committed environmentalist whose past statements and actions distinguished him as every bit as passionate on the issue as his predecessor.
 
Mr. Carney has stated he is in no hurry to visit Washington to meet with the man who has said that Canada is not a viable country. But that it would make a very good 51st state, in surrendering its sovereignty and that it is his intention to destroy the Canadian economy in a bid to convince Canadians that joining the United States is where their destiny lies. Generally speaking, a great preponderance of the Canadian public has no interest whatever in doing such a thing, and the resentment engendered by these repetitive utterances is of magnitudes of disgust.
 
 At the "appropriate time, under a position where there's respect for Canadian sovereignty", stated Mr. Carney, he would be willing to undertake such a trip. On the other hand, the recognition must be there, that no one can talk reason to an unreasonable mind. In the meanwhile, Carney has undertaken trips to France and Britain in a bid to shore up relations with the two founding countries during the colonial days prior to confederation when relations with the Indigenous populations of the country were fraught with all the ills that accompany colonization.
 
Canadian officials from the provincial to the federal governments had been visiting Washington to speak with their counterparts over the issue of tariff threats. Those threats have turned out to be predictive of the man making them having no intention of not imposing them. Threatening further that if counter-tariffs were to be imposed it would be his intention to raise already-high tariffs even more. In the end the U.S. levies have been matched tariff-for-tariff on incoming U.S. goods to Canada, infuriating the U.S. president, that any other country would be so bold as to thwart his intention of one-way tariffs.
 
Canada's official opposition through Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is now appealing to the voting public with his own agenda items; curbing public spending, reducing foreign aid, cutting taxes and stimulating business investments. The frank hope for the future is, once a general election is called and the voters finally have the opportunity to make their choice between a Liberal government that has spent a decade beggaring the economy, mounting a colossal public debt, alienating the country from East to West, transforming its culture and heritage and burdening the country with an impossibly high and divisive immigration rate that has failed its public health service and housing market, Canada will have a new, commonsense Conservative government.  

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Prime Minister Mark Carney, while speaking in Iqaluit on Tuesday, announced that Canada will be working alongside Australia to build an early warning radar system in the Arctic.  CBC

 
 

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Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Protecting Canada's Medical Supplies from Punishing Tariffs

 

"The announced tariffs on Canadian exports, along with retaliatory tariffs imposed by Canada on the U.S., will likely bring significant risks to Ontario's health care system, including the disruption of access to vital equipment and supplies."
"The OHA [Ontario Hospital Association] is very concerned about the impact of this trade war on the delivery of care and is engaging with the federal and provincial governments and other stakeholders to fully understand and minimize the impact on hospitals."
"[Much is still unknown in the] evolving [political climate]."
Melissa Prokopy, vice-president, policy and advocacy, Ontario Hospital Association 

"We do stand with the government, you know, that U.S. tariffs cannot go unanswered. However, health care must be protected."
"We are looking for exemption of health-care products from any retaliatory tariffs."
"This will be very important to protect supply chain stability and prevent any kind of cost escalations." 
Christine Donaldson, chief executive, Health PRO Canada
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In a global supply system, making pharmaceuticals and medical devices often involves multiple countries, so it might be difficult to pinpoint all the specific components that come through the U.S. that might be subject to counter-tariffs. Photo by Tijana Martin/The Canadian Press files

Federal and provincial governments in Canada are being urged by health associations to make certain that patients in Canada will not become caught in the crossfire of the trade war that the new Trump administration in the U.S. has imposed upon Canada. HealthPRO Canada, a company which purchases medications, supplies and equipment for over 2,000 hospitals, health-care facilities and long-term care homes across the country announced it is seeking clarity on potential future counter-tariffs. 

The company's chief executive made a comparison to the automotive industry, with the manufacturing process for many health-care supplies where raw materials and components often cross borders "several times before they reach their finished production". In other words, a fully integrated system of production shared by the U.S. and Canada. The imposition of tariffs entirely disrupts the free flow of materials and finished products.

While it is not yet clear which products in particular could potentially be affected by future counter-tariffs, some essential medications, medical devices and diagnostic imaging equipment -- including MRI and CT scanners, surgical tools and ventilators -- frequently are manufactured in the United States. 

Hospitals could also be affected through counter-tariffs on food, mattresses and other non-medical goods in the uncertainty brought about by the ongoing trade war, when U.S. President Donald Trump decided that he was dissatisfied with the existing U.S.-Canada-Mexico free trade agreement that he signed on to during his first presidential term, expressing his satisfaction at the time that negotiators representing the three North American countries had hammered out a good free trade agreement.
 
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A treatment room is pictured at the Alberta Children's Hospital in Calgary, Alta. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jeff McIntosh
 

The types of medical devices most affected by tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada include:

  1. Medical Imaging Equipment: Devices such as MRI machines, CT scanners, and X-ray machines are heavily impacted due to their reliance on imported components.
  2. Surgical Instruments: Many surgical tools and instruments are imported, and tariffs can significantly increase their costs.
  3. Diagnostic Equipment: Devices used for diagnostics, including blood analyzers and other laboratory equipment, are also affected.
  4. Electronic Medical Devices: This category includes devices like pacemakers, defibrillators, and other electronic health monitoring equipment.
  5. Personal Protective Equipment (PPE): Items such as gloves, masks, and gowns, which are crucial for healthcare workers, face increased costs due to tariffs.

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Monday, March 17, 2025

"Drill, Baby, Drill!"

"We were running out of Tier 1 inventory; everybody's running out of Tier 1 inventory."
"The best inventory is going to be run out of Pioneer by 2028, Tier 2 by '32, so people don't talk about the fact that we're running out of inventory."
Scott Sheffield, founder, former U.S. Permian fracking giant Pioneer Natural Resources Co.
 
"It's a very touchy topic down here, that the [U.S.] Permian [Basin] is this infinite resource that will always keep going."
"But the Permian is no longer in its first inning."
"[U.S.] oil and gas companies have some pretty deep pockets and they should be turning back to Canada, given that they don't have unlimited running room here."
"We're growing like mad in the Montney [Alberta oilsands]. The major natural gas plays in the U.S. are actually declining versus the Montney [shale] that is actually growing."
Mike Verney, executive vice-president, McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd.
 
"We're Texas-sized as far as gas goes; we've got some big numbers."
"Long term, we are the best place to invest in the world because as other resources dry up, Alberta is not going anywhere for a long time."
Alberta Energy Minister Brian Jean 
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It would cost hundreds of millions of dollars to retool U.S. refineries to handle domestically produced oil. But stopping U.S. exports would also leave Canadian crude with few market options. (Todd Korol/Reuters)
 
U.S. President Donald Trump is on public record, sneering that Canada hasn't got anything that his country needs, including energy resources, of which America has more than sufficient for its needs and more. This, as part of his explosive trade war, which began with Canada and Mexico when he first threatened, then imposed across-the-board tariffs on all goods entering the United States from Canada and Mexico, then extended his tariff war to China, before finally lassoing the European Union, then South Korea and Japan.
 
So  how's the United States doing in providing energy resources for itself beyond the present time? American energy executives at the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston are now agreeing there has been a slowdown in oil production in 2025, anticipating a potential peak in U.S. oil production just around the corner of the near future. This, despite his calls to "drill, baby, drill".  

These types of dismal prognostics seem misplaced  at the conference where peak oil predictions are fairly unpopular, given its close proximity to the most prolific oilfield in the United States, the Permian Basin -- a region spanning parts of West Texas and southwestern New Mexico -- region that is recognized as the primary driver of U.S. oil and gas production growth latterly.
 
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American oil refiners are largely equipped to handle heavier crude imported from other countries such as Canada. (Bing Guan/Reuters)

Permian output saw a record 6.3 million barrels daily in 2024, accounting for some half of the U.S. total production in the last year, at the same time that other shale oil plays plateaued or declined, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). That preceded symptoms the Permian may be entering its declining production years with well-productivity issues being experienced by producers alongside diminishing production growth.
 
This week, the founder of former Permian fracking giant Pioneer Natural Resources Co. said that one of the main reasons his company sold out to Exxon Mobile Corp. in 2023 was the very issue made clear -- that it was running out of top-tier drilling inventory. 
 
Despite tremendous domestic reserves there is uncertainty about the U.S. capacity to feed a booming liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector while tending to growing domestic demands for natural gas-fired electricity generation driven by energy-voracious data centres, due in part to a shortage of pipeline capacity.
 
There are persistent doubts whether President Trump's willingness to make use of emergency powers in expediting, permitting and fast-tracking project reviews, to the delight of the U.S. oil and gas industry, will translate to a significant production increase required to meet the demand of an LNG export sector expected to double in size by 2028.
 
The issues of geological degradation and capital discipline among producers have served to alter the American oil and gas sector, and operators no longer leap with the same alacrity to drill new wells, even when oil prices are relatively high. American companies and investors searching out more accessible resources and economic opportunities are beckoned a couple of thousand kilometres north to the vast Alberta oilsands and Canada's Montney shale play.
 
Compared to a previous Alberta provincial estimate of 24 TCF, new data reveal that Alberta has proven natural gas reserves of 130 trillion cubic feet (TCF). The overall figure comes to 144 TCF when probable gas reserves are added, according to a study commissioned by the Alberta Energy Regulator, conducted by McDaniel & Associates Consultants. That new estimate of gas reserves over-doubles Canada's overall total, placing Canada into the global top 10 with the ninth-most reserves, up from 15th, previously. 
 
As well, new preliminary estimates confirm that proven oil reserves in Alberta reached 167 billion barrels, an increase from the last official estimate of 159 billion; final numbers in coming weeks expected after an audit has been completed for all basins. Texas' proven reserves in 2023 by comparison, were 20 billion barrels, according to EIA estimates. 

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Sunday, March 16, 2025

"Who Knows What They are Going to Demand From Us?"

"The Long-Range Precision Strike [Land] project will significantly enhance Canada's defence capabilities, both domestically and abroad."
"This project is progressing well and we are expecting to share additional details in the coming months."
"[Procurement decisions in Canada are based on national security priorities; the federal government is] closely monitoring the trade situation in the U.S., and assessing potential impacts to existing projects."
Department of National Defence spokesperson Kened Sadiku
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Remarkably, if not damningly, military leadership in Canada seems content to push forward with another sole source agreement for American military equipment in the face of President Donald Trump's relentless drive to destroy any semblance of historical friendliness between Canada and the U.S., vowing to move on with his punishing trade tariffs and continuing his harassment threatening Canadian sovereignty. Unsurprisingly, Canadians are acutely disinterested in becoming their neighbour's 51st state, and nor are they impressed that their erstwhile friendly neighbour has set out to drain Canada's economy through hostile actions. 

In the face of this disruptive tension, the Canadian Armed Forces is leading a move to have the Liberal government purchase the American-built High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS). HIMARS has been in use in combat by the Ukraine military against Russian forces. Once President Trump entered office, he took steps to reduce the weapon system's effectiveness through limiting the flow of data and intelligence required for its critical operations. Effectively leaving the Ukrainian military high and dry with a high-powered system whose software effectiveness and intelligence-sharing has been deliberately tampered with.
 
The Canadian Forces' senior leadership plan is for the purchase of a number of HIMARS built by Lockheed Martin through a sole source deal handled through a foreign Military Sale where Canada would receive the equipment from the U.S. government directly. Department of National Defence spokesperson Kened Sadiku, asked why a HIMARS purchase would even be considered under current hostile circumstances between Canada and the U.S. where the latter has imposed staggering tariffs and sovereignty threats on the former, delivered a verbal shrug in response.
 
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Canada’s military leadership is pushing for a sole source deal for the U.S.-built High Mobility Artillery Rocket System or HIMARS. Photo by Sgt. Adam L. Mathis U.S. Depar /U.S. ARMY

The equipment acquisition could come to about $5 billion with the project involving purchasing launchers, fire control software, munitions and spare parts. The proposed acquisition along with other recent Canadian defence purchases has caused consternation among Canadian industry officials and military analysts. According to one official in the defence industry, the Canadian military leadership is "tone deaf" to the threat the Americans under this new administration poses to the country. 

Assuming a scenario where the U.S. controls most of the technology on its equipment, the Canadian Forces faces a dilemma. With full control over software and hardware upgrades on Canada's $19-billon fleet of F-35 fighter jets on order, the aircraft being built by Lockheed Martin in the U.S. has prompted defence industry officials to warn that with the U.S. controlling many of the key systems on board Canada's new warships, as with the aircraft, the U.S. has the potential to hold Canada hostage over future upgrades or spare parts.
 
Those legitimate concerns aside, pressure from the U.S. has led the Liberal government and Canada's military to double down on ordering American-supplied equipment. 2023 saw close to $30 billion spent in new military systems, most of which were from U.S. firms exclusively, including an $8 billion sole-source deal with Boeing for new surveillance aircraft. That, despite that Liberal cabinet ministers had previously claimed Boeing was not an trustful industrial partner.  

In the hope that the deals could serve to placate American politicians who had raised concerns that Canada was failing to spend enough on defence, this was the chosen route, which in the final analysis did nothing to alter the criticism. The push by the Canadian Forces to acquire American has, in addition, provided little benefit for domestic firms. Much of the sentiment behind these self-defeating procurement efforts can be ascribed to the closeness of the Canadian military leadership to their American counterparts plus its reluctance to shift focus from America's protective shield.
"This is what happens when you exclude Canadian companies: You find yourself potentially being held hostage." 
"We don’t control the [combat management] system; the Americans do."
"Who knows what they are going to demand from us?"
Alan Williams, former procurement chief, Department of National Defence
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Saturday, March 15, 2025

Oh Canada...Where Has Thou Gone?

 

"It has been more than two days that the supply of electricity to Gaza has been shut off. It must resume -- essentials including food, electricity, and medical supplies should never be used as political tools."
"Canada must work with our allies to stand up for international law to promote sustainable peace and security in the Middle East and to support full access to humanitarian aid for Palestinian families."
"As this work continues, both parties must work toward the return of all hostages and the completion of the ceasefire agreement."
Canada's new Prime Minister former financier Mark Carney
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  Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press—AP
 
"For the record, international law is very clear on this point [whether Israel, at war with Hamas, has an international obligation to supply Gaza with humanitarian aid]: Israel is not obligated to provide aid that will be used by an enemy in a time of war, and anyone who argues differently is either illiterate or willfully ignorant."
Law professor Mark Goldfeder, CEO, National Jewish Advocacy Center
It has yet to be seen whether the newly elected leader of the ruling Liberal Party of Canada has the wherewithal to govern the country as its latest -- and perhaps shortest-ruling PM ever -- iteration of the Trudeau government, having never before been elected to a political post to serve a public office. It hasn't taken long in his mandate, however, to realize that in the Liberal Party's attitude toward the State of Israel, Canada has veered from supportive and collegial, to a critic of a country that has suffered a sharp, violent blow of terrorism's savagery wreaked on its population by Palestinian Hamas.
 
The afterthought in Mr. Carney's condemnation of Israel withholding humanitarian aid from Gaza, of the plight of the Israeli hostages held for over a year and a half in monstrously subhuman conditions tacked on to indicate 'fairness' in his approach, somehow lacks both humanity and credibility. That previous humanitarian aid entering the Gaza Strip has notoriously been proven to be purloined under violent duress by Hamas operatives and withheld from the Gazan civilian population, is of no moment to Mr. Carney; damning Israel is the point of his criticism.
 
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A boy sits as Palestinians gather to receive aid provided by UNRWA including food supplies, after Israel says it has ceased entry of humanitarian aid into Gaza, outside a distribution center, at Jabalia refugee camp in northern Gaza Strip, March 2, 2025. (credit: REUTERS/Mahmoud Issa)

No other country but Israel is expected to go out of its way to essentially provide comfort and aid to an enemy that has boasted its pride in the sadistic slaughter, rape and destruction it imposed on Israeli farming villages, most of which had employed Palestinian workers while commiserating with their privation; their empathy repaid by many of those same workers streaming into southern Israel alongside Hamas, Islamic Jihad and PLFP terrorists to take part on the brutality that demolished the calm and trust of a ceasefire on October 7, 2023. That Hamas threatens there will be many more October 7s appears irrelevant to Mr. Carney.
 
The very Hamas authority that most Gazans fully supported in this hideous inhumanity that made hostages of infants, young families and the elderly. In the midst of the first few days of taking up duties as an incoming government with all the files requiring attention relating to a Canada under duress of a neighbour's malign overtures of annexation, a trade war, the country's internal problems of immigration,  housing, expanding crime rates, a faltering health system, the incoming Prime Minister turned his attention to tut-tutting a member-democracy embroiled in a conflict from violent Islamists on its northern and southern borders.
 
Israelis gather to bid farewell to Shiri, Ariel and Kfir Bibas, in Tel Aviv
A woman holds a cut-out picture of hostages Shiri Bibas, 32, with Kfir Bibas, 9 months old, who were kidnapped from their home in Kibbutz Nir Oz during the deadly October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas and then killed in Gaza, on the day of their funeral procession, at a public square dedicated to hostages in Tel Aviv, Israel February 26, 2025. REUTERS/Shir Torem

The ruling government of Justin Trudeau's preference of ignoring a year-and-half of roisterous, threatening harassment of Canadian Jews by ostensible supporters of the 'Palestinian cause', where hordes of keffiyeh-clad antisemites marched through Jewish neighbourhoods, where Jewish-owned businesses have been vandalized, Jewish-Canadians told to 'go back to Poland', the crowds shouting 'global Intifada', and 'From the river to the Sea', with their malicious messages of destruction, have never been called to account for hate-mongering disruption of the public peace.
 
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That the incoming government is satisfied to allow the situation in Canada dividing its population through the auspices of foreign manipulation, as long as the victims are only Jewish, choosing to overlook the fact that everyone is affected when one distinct portion of the population is under constant threat. When the Jewish demographic of Canada suffers the alarm and fear of synagogues being defaced and fire-bombed, Jewish parochial schools being shot at, Jewish businesses boycotted, the entire country is involved, never made more obvious than when large groups of Muslims gather at public intersections, effectively closing them down while engaging in group prayer sessions on public roadways, bridges and parks.
 
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Pro-Palestinian demonstrators gathered at Montreal's Place-des-Arts on Saturday afternoon to take part in an "International Day of Action." (Kwabena Oduro/CBC)

The moral ambivalence of stating repugnance for antisemitism in the public sphere and pledging to address the issue through means not yet to see the light of day, while in the same breath deploring 'Islamophobia' as a public menace is a step too far toward the sophistry of performative art aligned with concerns over the potential of offending an offensive group to the point of risking their votes. The die has been cast, Jews in Canada, in a state of disbelief that this can be happening, that their loyalty to the country of their birth is now in a state of flux forced on them by uncaring governments and an influx of immigrants and refugees with an infused agenda of Jew-hate, now debate whether their children's future is safe in Canada.  

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Israeli hostages, from left, Eliya Cohen, Omer Shem Tov and Omer Wenkert display Hamas-issued certificates while they stand with Hamas militants on a stage in Nuseirat, central Gaza Strip, before being handed over to the Red Cross on Saturday. (Abdel Kareem Hana/The Associated Press)

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